If you are still on the outside looking in, don’t come
bitching to me about not making a fortune betting. Chicago and Wise Guy Denver make it 7-0
in the NBA.While it’s not
likely that even we can duplicate the yearly March Madness jackpot at The
Center of the Handicapping Universe
Godspicks.com, nobody wins like us in the NBA playoffs.
Again we give your man a splitting headache.We had two Dandy Dogs in MLB and hit Colorado +160.Because of our prowess with dogs, we can hit
50 percent and make you a ton. Skillfully, our winning percentage will never drop that low long-term.
If you have yet to step foot into gambling’s most
exclusive country club, begin the rest of your gambling life today with a
limited time bargain on top of bargain.
Our two-month package is reduced and current clients will get the days added.
Normally $599, you save an additional $74 through the weekend to take you past
the NBA and NHL finals as well as the Triple Crown races.
Friday, two NBA including a Wise
Guy, five MLB including three Dandy Dogs and NHL. Dandy dogs are dogs of 140 or
more in MLB. The ENTIRE cardis just $17 at www.godspicks.com.Alternate
forms of payment
are available. Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net
MLB
ATLANTA (SMOLTZ+102)
NY Mets (Martinez)
Atlanta is
15-3 at home in the series and sends their ace to the hill. The Mets are off to
a good start, but according to the Massey Ratings, which is the best for
ranking strength of schedule, the Mets have had the easiest schedule in the
Major Leagues. Yet they’ve slowed down a bit going 4-5 their last nine. Smoltz’ only home outing was a complete game shutout.
We are presenting the latest in a series of a series of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.
Parlays are Par to Lay Off
We very often get questions about parlays and most people even preface it by admitting they “need a bailout.” First of all, as we’ve stated many times, there is no “bailout” game, parlay or bet of any sort.
But to answer the oft-asked question, we never bet parlays. States Brian Gould of OffshoreInsiders.com, “Any proposition that we can go 4-1 and yet still lose money is something we want no part of.”
This is even truer in baseball, whereby design we can pick 40 percent over a long period and still win thanks to the rudimentary yet again widely abandoned underdog math. Parlays are sports gambling’s get rich scheme.
We believe there are actual “casual gamblers” and parlays do serve an entertainment purpose for weekend warriors who have self-control and little delusions.
Here is an analogy. My parents live about 45 minutes from Atlantic City. They make the trip often but do so to have a good time first and foremost. Hoping to win money is the carrot that increases their entertainment, but they are well aware over the long term they will lose money playing their beloved one arm bandits.
It’s the same way with the parlay card player. If the weekend warrior wants to play $10 on a parlay card or two per weekend to make his coach potato experience more enjoyable, more power to him, that is, as long as he knows parlays decrease his chances of winning in return for the low risk/high return rush.
We see no other use for parlays.
No Middle Class among Baseball Handicappers
Most Vegas, offshore, or local books will tell you the most significant gap between the sharp and square player occurs in baseball. According to Cy McCormick of the online betting syndicate MasterLockLine the balance of power divide is even more pronounced among sports services. McCormick has accurate long-term records of virtually every sports service and says roughly 8-13 percent of touts will turn a profit over a full season in other sports, but less than five percent in baseball.
He believes it comes down to marketing. “Services can pad their records, yet lose money by picking a lot of big favorites. Therefore, they can win for losing by worrying about won-loss record ahead of ROI.”
Stevie Vincent believes there is another reason—handicappers don’t put as much effort into picking baseball games because sales are always going to be higher in other sports. “Some handicappers literally take off during baseball season, while others only do figuratively.”
Bill Kayma, Managing Editor of OffshoreInsiders.com, agrees with Vincent. “Many gamblers will pay for well-marketed coin flips. That’s why we required all handicappers to provide at least a month of samples of their daily write-ups before allowing them on our site. Handicappers should always have quality analysis with their picks. If they don’t, chances are they are trying to pawn a mere hunch.”
The World Keeps Getting Smaller
We’ve touted modern technology time and time again and how this funky thing called the Internet gives the player the edge. That is as long as one has the time, effort and knowledge on how to use it.
As we’ve said, Internet radio is precious in getting the local skinny that was once available to a select few. Finally, the nation’s first and still best sports station, WFAN in New York, can be heard online.
A real sports station, as opposed to the “guy radio” pseudo sports formats polluting the airwaves, WFAN actually has reporters at the New York area teams’ practices. No station in the country is better at breaking news that is of interest to the gambler—the up-to-the-minute status on a star player considered a “game-time decision.”
The insight is quite good and useful to the sports gambler too.
The number of sources for real-time first-hand information continues to increase, but WFAN now being available on our office computer is one of the better ones in a long time.
Joe Duffy’s premium selections are available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com. Also get his exclusive daily news and notes, free sports service picks, approved sportsbooks, and more at www.joeduffy.net.
If you are still on the outside looking in, don’t come
bitching to me about not making a fortune betting. Chicago and Wise Guy Denver make it 7-0
in the NBA.While it’s not
likely that even we can duplicate the yearly March Madness jackpot at The
Center of the Handicapping Universe
Godspicks.com, nobody wins like us in the NBA playoffs.
Again we give your man a splitting headache.We had two Dandy Dogs in MLB and hit Colorado +160.Because of our prowess with dogs, we can hit
50 percent and make you a ton. Skillfully, our winning percentage will never drop that low long-term.
If you have yet to step foot into gambling’s most
exclusive country club, begin the rest of your gambling life today with a
limited time bargain on top of bargain.
Our two-month package is reduced and current clients will get the days added.
Normally $599, you save an additional $74 through the weekend to take you past
the NBA and NHL finals as well as the Triple Crown races.
Friday, two NBA including a Wise
Guy, five MLB including three Dandy Dogs and NHL. Dandy dogs are dogs of 140 or
more in MLB. The ENTIRE cardis just $17 at www.godspicks.com.Alternate
forms of payment
are available. Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net
NBA
· Cleveland
under 22-7 against teams that make six or more three point shots per game
· Cleveland
under 15-1 this year after consecutive games of forcing 11 or more turnovers
· Phoenix
is 9-0 on the road this year when playing six or less games in 14 days
· Phoenix
is 5-1 at the LA Lakers this year
MLB
· Cubs are 9-17 at home the last three years -22.2
after hitting .240 or worse over their previous 10 games
· Maddux 2-12 team record the last two years as a
favorite of 125-175 -14.5 units
· Cincinnati
has gone over 19-5 the last two years after hitting .225 or worse over their
previous five game
· Arizona
has gone under 16-3 the last two years if they are 4-1 their last five games
· Detroit
under 11-1 this year after three straight road games
4-28-06
STEVIE HAS 3 FRIDAY BASEBALL AND AN NBA PLAY. THE GREAT ONE’S PLAYS INCLUDED A LEVEL 5 IN BASEBALL. THE GREAT ONE IS HITTING BETTER THAN 80 PERCENT OF HIS PLAYS IN BOTH BASES AND PRO BASKETBALL SINCE HE CHANGE THE ENTIRE LANDSCAPE.
Remember the Great One has already clearly established himself as the top totals handicapper on the World Wide Web and baseball is perhaps his best sport knowing walks/hits per game is the most important statistic.
FORENSIC HANDICAPPER STEVIE VINCENT HAS BECOME THE TALK OF THE HANDICAPPING WORLD CHANGING THE COMPLEXION OF HANDICAPPING AS HE PROMISED.
Get the Universal Pass: You can now purchase TOTAL ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s Vincent’s Knockout Picks, top sports service plays at Alliance Handicapping, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s Picks for more than 50 percent off the daily price. You get access to all three. Buy here or at any of the Bet It Trinity sites.
Knockout Picks is a revolutionary new site using the science of forensic handicapping. Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5. They are available for $25 per day, cheaper long term.
Your URL for the new revolution in handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/
Knockout picks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler, the complete daily rundown of who is hot and who has the big play.
Baseball:
1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -140 (D. Bush, G. Maddux)
Forensic team and pitching information on this game: Maddux 0.99 ERA, last 3 appearances 0.86 ERA, 6.00 walks/hits per game, Mil 4-11 L15 road games, 2-8 L10 v. teams w/winning record, Cubs 7-1 L8 O/U 6.5 or less, 4-0 w/Maddux, 7-2 w/Maddux v/Cubs
Your four-day pass starts out with a Wise Guy day winner (and an additional
surprise!).We then have two NBA
including a Wise Guy. If it were not for NHL OT or MLB extra
innings, we would never lose.We win yet again in MLB and the NBA
Wednesday. It’s now a quiet 5-0 NBA run while our baseball dog
domination goes back to the 80s and our Cadillac Club days.
Far from classic, yet still a great illustration how we
became the premier MLB handicapper because of our mastery of risk/return, we
split eight baseball games but win thanks to dogs barking led by Dandy Dog on Arizona.
· New Jersey
has gone under 17-3 road after failing to cover 2-of-3
· Miami
is 4-16 this year to teams that attempt 18 or more three points shots per game
· LA Clippers are 8-21 this year after consecutive
games as a favorite
MLB
· Colorado
is 2-18 on the road the last two years versus pitchers who walk 1.75 or fewer
per game -14.6 units
· Philadelphia
is 0-4 with Lieber -5.1. His ERA is 7.99
· Washington-St. Louis has gone over 9-2 last
three years
· Minnesota
over 11-of-14
· Toronto
over 8-0 at night this year
NBA
Nets-Pacers
Newark Star Ledger
The Pacers’ injury toll mounted when Stephen Jackson was
added to the list of banged-up players, a list that already included PejaStojakovic and Jamaal
Tinsley. Jackson jammed his right
pinkie while fouling out of Game 2 on Tuesday, and had X-rays taken yesterday.
The X-rays were negative and Jackson
will almost certainly play tonight, but he could not shoot yesterday in
practice and there is some worry about his level of effectiveness. “He was
really sore and couldn’t shoot the ball,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle
said. “He’ll get treatment and we’ll see where he is. I know he’s going to
play, because he plays. But we’re concerned about it because it is his shooting
hand.” Carlisle also said Tinsley, who returned form a sore right Achilles’ tendon to play in Game
2, is very sore and is questionable for tonight. Meanwhile Stojakovic,
whose swollen right knee kept him in street clothes for Game 2, did not
practice and remains uncertain for tonight, though he claimed to “believe,” he’ll
play.
Heat-Bulls
Chicago.com
Not too long ago, the Chicago Bulls owned the NBA’s
stingiest defense. And then, the playoffs began. A Bulls team that led the
league in field-goal percentage defense during the regular season has allowed
the Miami Heat to shoot 50.3 percent, and, no shocker, trails 2-0 as this
first-round playoff series shifts to Chicago
for Games 3 and 4 Thursday and Sunday. Center Alonzo Mourning is questionable
with a torn calf muscle—an injury he sustained in an 82-73 loss at Detroit
on March 22. Skiles expects Bulls F Malik Allen, bothered by back spasms, to be available for
Game 3.
Clippers-Nuggets
Sports Illustrated/CNN
The Denver Nuggets know they can win without Kenyon Martin.They’ve gone 29-9 in games he’s missed due to injury
since signing a seven-year, $93 million contract two years ago, including 19-6
this season, when his surgically repaired left knee limited him to a career-low
56 games and drove to Nuggets to hold him out of the regular season finale, as
well.
4-27-06
KNOCKOUT IS BETTER THAN EVER EXPECTED! 15 WINNING DAYS IN 18. KNOCKOUT KNOCKS OUT THE BOOKS WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER GREAT DAY. IT’S A SHORTER CARD THURSDAY, BUT THE GREAT ONE HAS PRO BASKETBALL AND PRO BASEBALL. AS THE MANIAC USED TO SAY “WHAT ARE YOU WAITING FOR, WAHOOOOOOOOOOOOO”
Remember the Great One has already clearly established himself as the top totals handicapper on the World Wide Web and baseball is perhaps his best sport knowing walks/hits per game is the most important statistic.
FORENSIC HANDICAPPER STEVIE VINCENT HAS BECOME THE TALK OF THE HANDICAPPING WORLD CHANGING THE COMPLEXION OF HANDICAPPING AS HE PROMISED.
Get the Universal Pass: You can now purchase TOTAL ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s Vincent’s Knockout Picks, top sports service plays at Alliance Handicapping, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s Picks for more than 50 percent off the daily price. You get access to all three. Buy here or at any of the Bet It Trinity sites.
Knockout Picks is a revolutionary new site using the science of forensic handicapping. Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5. They are available for $25 per day, cheaper long term.
Your URL for the new revolution in handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/
Knockout picks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler, the complete daily rundown of who is hot and who has the big play.
Pro Basketball:
1 Unit on New Jersey Nets +1 -110
NJ 7-0 L7 dog, 5-0 road dog, 10-2-1 playoff dog .5-4.5, 7-2 L9 road, Ind 2-8-1 home playoffs, 3-12 L15, 1-9-1 home fav playoff
Your four-day pass starts out with a Wise Guy day winner (and an additional
surprise!).We then have two NBA
including a Wise Guy. If it were not for NHL OT or MLB extra
innings, we would never lose.We win yet again in MLB and the NBA
Wednesday. It’s now a quiet 5-0 NBA run while our baseball dog
domination goes back to the 80s and our Cadillac Club days.
Far from classic, yet still a great illustration how we
became the premier MLB handicapper because of our mastery of risk/return, we
split eight baseball games but win thanks to dogs barking led by Dandy Dog on Arizona.
The Pacers do have some injuries, so we backed off making
this a premium play, but things are looking better for one of their weapons. “It
feels better because I didn’t do anything (Wednesday),” Peja Stojakovic said of his injured knee. “I’m hoping I’ll
be able to play. We’ll see.”
Jermaine O’Neal is a much better
player than he has shown so far, so it would be a shock if he does not bounce
back at home.
Going against road teams after giving up 75 points or less
when two teams that score 92-98 ppg is 41-10. Injuries and all, we have to take
a team that’s 27-14 SU laying a single point to a squad that is under.500 on
the road.
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