Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, August 26, 2006

 

NFL news and notes at JoeDuffy.net

MLB

·       
St. Louis
16-9 team record with Carpenter

·       
NY Mets 19-7 with Glavine

·       
Arizona
18-8 team record with Batista

·       
Toronto
21-5 team record with Halladay

·       
Minnesota
2-15 team record with Santana

·       
Washington Astacio 4-13 career record versus Atlanta

·       
St. Louis Carpenter 6-1 personal career record
to the Cubs

 

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions
including relief appearances. Team
record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the
decision.

Friday Godspicks



Friday, August 25,
2006

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NFL

JETS +5 NY Giants

Our official outlaw line is three, so the two-point
differential is big. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if
there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the
action. It is the more accurate line
from the standpoint of the bettor. This is one of the top sharp versus squares
games. That means most of the sharp
money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to
our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.
We go with the sharp money. The
squares are all excited that Eli Manning will play into the third quarter, but
frankly that is not unexpected and was factored into the outlaw line. Bet the NFL now at -107 juice!
Check out the
latest odds
at CanBet.

Updated NFL News and Notes

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who is hot and who has the big plays
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Sampler.

Friday, August 25,
2006

 

Cardinals-Bears

Daily Herald

Quarterback Rex
Grossman and the Bears’ offense, both struggling through the first two
preseason games, will get three quarters to work out the kinks Friday night
against the Arizona Cardinals at Soldier Field.
Grossman isn’t expecting a repeat of the first
two mediocre performances. Grossman has completed 10 of 25 passes for 130
yards, no touchdowns and 1 interception, while nine-year veteran Brian Griese
is 8 of 9 for 150 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions, playing with
and against second-stringers.

Four starters, including running back Cedric
Benson (shoulder), safety Mike Brown (Achilles), fullback Bryan Johnson
(hamstring) and cornerback Nate Vasher
(back), already have been declared out of Friday’s game.
A
fifth starter, defensive tackle Ian Scott (knee), is doubtful. Defensive
tackles Tank Johnson (quad), Michael Haynes (back) and rookie Dusty Dvoracek (foot) are questionable, as is wide receiver Airese Currie (knee).
Guard Ruben Brown
(general soreness) and running back Thomas Jones (hamstring) are probable.
Bet the NFL now at -107 juice! Check out the
latest odds
at CanBet.
 

Suburban Chicago News

Bears
coach Lovie Smith said he’s hopeful RB Jones will play Friday night at Soldier Field against
the Arizona Cardinals while Cedric Benson will have to wait at least another
week. A couple good runs by anyone would only benefit the Bears’ offense right
now. They’ve gained only 127 total rushing yards on 43 carries, for a 3-yard
average, without a run longer than 15 yards.

 

Rockford Register Star

The
Chicago Bears expect to play their regulars for three quarters against the
Arizona Cardinals at 7 tonight at Soldier Field. Obviously, some of the
starters want, and need, the additional reps. Bet this game now through BetUs. Check
out the lines now

KnockoutPicks.com

Arizona is
expected to play starters into the third quarter.

 

Ravens-Vikings

KnockoutPicks.com  

Baltimore RB Jamal Lewis will rest
the remainder of the preseason

Steelers-Eagles

AllianceHandicapping.com

Steelers wide receiver Hines Ward
will likely miss. Philadelphia is
pressing their wide receiver Todd Pinkston to play, as he has yet to play a
down because of injury.

Lions-Raiders

San Francisco Chronicle

Quarterback Aaron
Brooks had his best game of the preseason, leading the Raiders’ starting
offense to a 10-0 halftime lead in Sunday’s win over the 49ers, and backup
Andrew Walter turned in a pretty nifty performance himself. Walter finished the
game with eight completions in 10 attempts for 99 yards, leading two
second-half scoring drives that put away the Raiders’ 23-7 victory. Brooks
appeared to secure his grip on the role as No. 1 quarterback in what is
becoming a two-man show. All in all, it was an impressive showing on both sides
of the ball, but a particular step forward for an offense that has had its
share of misfires. “Winning is a part of what we do … it creates good habits,”
coach Art Shell said. “Even though we won three games
… there are a lot of mistakes we have to take care of.” The improvement on
offense was seen all the way down the depth chart with the second- and
third-string players holding their own. Shell acknowledged that the
performances in Sunday night’s game could force some difficult decisions when
it comes time to begin trimming the roster to get to the 53-man regular-season
limit. Strong safety Michael Huff, the team’s No. 1 draft pick this year who
turned his left ankle on the infield dirt in Sunday night’s game, probably will
miss Friday night’s exhibition against the Lions at the Coliseum. Bet now through the Greek, home of
the 21 percent sign up bonus

 

Detroit Free
Press

Barring any setbacks,
linebacker Boss Bailey (hamstring) will play the first half Friday when the
Lions visit the Oakland Raiders

 

Michigan Live

With their starting offensive unit on the field in the first
half against the Browns’ top defense, the Lions were held to two yards on nine
carries. Kevin Jones, who had 25 yards on seven carries the week before against
the Denver Broncos, was held to seven yards on six attempts against the Browns.
“It’s not a concern—it’s a statement we want to make—that’s something we want
to be able to do and do a good job with it,” Marinelli
said. Fullback Cory Schlesinger pointed the finger of blame at everybody,
himself included. He said the two biggest factors in the poor performance were Detroit’s
lack of aggression and Cleveland’s
3-4 defense. Another reason the Lions believe they
still aren’t clicking on all cylinders—an excuse they don’t want to talk about—is
that they’re still missing the entire right side of their offensive line. While
backup right tackle Barry Stokes (hamstring) will be back after a two-week
absence, three starters are still out: right guard Damien Woody (hand), right
tackle Rex Tucker (knee) and tight end Casey FitzSimmons
(wrist).  Bet the NFL now at -107 juice! Check out the latest odds at CanBet. 

 

Mercury News

The Raiders enter Friday night’s exhibition against the
Detroit Lions having won their first three preseason games for the first time
since coach Art Shell was a starting tackle on the 1976 team that ended up
winning Oakland’s first Super Bowl. The Raiders beat Philadelphia
and Minnesota in the first two preseason
games despite struggling offensively. With improved play from the offensive
line and efficient passing from Aaron Brooks and Andrew Walter, the Raiders put
together a more complete effort in a 23-7 victory over the San
Francisco
49ers last Sunday and hope to build off that
performance when they face the Lions. The Raiders have won just 13 games the
last three seasons, the worst stretch since Al Davis came aboard in 1963 to
coach and eventually own the team.

 

Giants-Jets

AllianceHandicapping.com

Giants QB Eli Manning and the starters will play into the
third quarter. 

 

Journal News

Manning led the regular offense, then the no-huddle, to two
touchdowns against Kansas City. He
went 15 of 21 in the two games. That’s a 71.4 percent completion average, far
above the 52.8 he finished at last season. Those are elite percentage numbers.
That’s why tonight’s game represents yet another important preseason step in
Manning’s development. He needs to play with his fellow starters over an
extended period. This marks his last chance before he opens against brother
Peyton and the Indianapolis Colts on Sept. 10. Bet now through the Greek, home of the 21 percent sign up bonus

Saturday, August 26,
2006

 

Falcons-Titans

Tennessean

The Titans stunk up the rarified Rocky
Mountain
air in losing 35-10 to the
Denver Broncos. The Falcons departed at halftime trailing Green
Bay
, 24-10. Atlanta’s
reserves packed it in as the Birds wound up on the wrong end of a 38-10
blowout.  Bet the NFL now at -107 juice! Check out the latest odds at CanBet. 

49ers-Cowboys

San Francisco Chronicle

The Titans stunk up the rarified Rocky
Mountain
air in losing 35-10 to the
Denver Broncos. The Falcons departed at halftime trailing Green
Bay
, 24-10. Atlanta’s
reserves packed it in as the Birds wound up on the wrong end of a 38-10
blowout.  The news and notes are from Godspicks.com
private clipboard.  They are compiled
from hometown newspapers and the team’s own press releases.

Service Plays

Friday NFL betting odds information

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has the 2006 Pro Football Side of the YEAR. More details from KnockoutPicks.com…

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The Sportsman’s Club is so absurdly ahead of the
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Their ESPN Parlay of the Year goes tonight. More details from Godspicks.com…

Friday Computer Trends



Friday, August 24, 2006

MLB

·       
Philadelphia
5-0 team record with Wolf

·       
Colorado
under 16-7 with Francis

·       
Detroit Bonderman 11-5 personal mark

·       
Boston Schilling 14-5 personal, 18-9 team record

·       
Yankees Wright 14-7 team record

·       
Greg Maddux 1-10 personal lifetime record to Arizona

Personal record is a
pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances. Team record is how the team did in his starts
whether or not he was involved in the decision.

Chargers Preview

NFL Team Preview: Chargers

By Mike Brody

WagerWeb

Contributing Writer

The San Diego Chargers had the most talent of any non-playoff team last season. Their frustrating season was marked by inconsistency. A demoralizing loss to Miami at home in Week 14 and back-to-back losses to division rivals Kansas City and Denver sealed San Diego’s fate a year ago. Now, the Chargers look to rebound with a new quarterback at the helm and a suspect defense.

The biggest decision San Diego made this offseason was to let Pro Bowl QB Drew Brees go to New Orleans as a free agent. That leaves third-year pro Philip Rivers in charge of the offense. Rivers has thrown a total of 30 NF> passes in two seasons, completing 17 of them. Despite his lack of experience, Rivers has been groomed for this job, and he and his teammates are confident the potent San Diego offense won’t miss a beat with the former North Carolina State star directing it.

“He’s been throwing strikes all camp,” RB LaDainian Tomlinson said. “Not only has he been throwing hard, but he’s been accurate and making perfect reads. He feels defenses very well.” WR Keenan McCardell has also noticed Rivers’ passing prowess. “He’s very accurate. He shocked me with how accurate he is.”

Key Additions: DB Marlon McCree, TE Aaron Shea, CB Antonio Cromartie (rookie), OT Marcus McNeill (rookie), QB Charlie Whitehurst.

Key Subtractions: LBs Donnie Edwards and Ben Leber, QB Brees, WR Reche Caldwell, TE Justin Peelle, C Bob Hallen.


WagerWeb

Sportsbook Odds>: The Chargers have a much easier schedule than last season. As long as Rivers keeps performing well, San Diego will be in the playoff hunt and has a good shot of winning the AFC West.

WagerWeb

has San Diego as $+250 to win the AFC West, +$1000 to win the AFC championship and XXX to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: Rivers has plenty of weapons around him to be a successful NFL quarterback. Tomlinson is arguably the best running back in the league. Antonio Gates is the unquestioned best tight end in the league. McCardell is a great possession receiver, and Eric Parker, Vincent Jackson and Kassim Osgood will round out a decent receiving corps. If the Chargers’ solid offensive line can give Rivers some time and LT continues to tear it up on the ground, San Diego will be better than last season.

Outlook: Rivers should be able to get off to a good start and gain more confidence as San Diego opens the season against two of the worst defenses in the league, Oakland and Tennessee. The Chargers’ offense won’t be the problem, however. Their defense, which ranked 30th against the pass last season, hasn’t improved much. If Cromartie can shake off the injury-prone tag he acquired in college, and Quentin Jammer continues to improve, San Diego should be able to outscore most of its opponents and get back to the playoffs.

Previewing the Ponies

Horses to Watch

Compiled by handicapper racing writer Greg Melikov, who won six races, finished second five times and ran third once since Aug. 4.


WagerWeb

ARLINGTON PARK
Golden Glen: Raced four wide 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and lost by a neck at a mile on Aug. 18; ran final quarter in 24 3/5.
Polly the Dolly: Exchanged bumps at break, dropped back to last, trailed by more than eight lengths after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from fifth to make up more than four lengths and lost by a length at 5 ½ furlongs on Aug. 13.
Whitetail Dove: Raced third early, dropped back to fourth 1 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, checked repeatedly in traffic before angling out for drive and gained second by 1 ¼ lengths at seven furlongs on Aug. 4.
Nan Ann Rocks: Raced seven lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out for drive, rallied from fourth to make up more than 4 ¼ lengths in stretch and lost by a head at 1 1/8 miles on July 27.
Dollar for Dollar: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied to make up more than two lengths in stretch and lost by a neck at 1 1/8 miles on July 23. (Raced fourth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied late in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and lost by a half-length at 1 1/8 miles on Aug. 11.)
Renee’s Regent: Raced fourth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile, rallied to second in stretch, bothered by pacesetter and finished third beaten by two necks, but was advanced to second via disqualification at five furlongs on a yielding turf course July 14. (Raced two lengths behind in third after three-eighths of a mile, rallied along the rail to second in stretch and took command by a neck in the final strides at five furlongs on a soft turf course Aug. 4.)
Killing M Softly: Raced seventh more than 4 ½ lengths after a half-mile, angled out for drive, rallied from sixth to second making up more than two lengths and lost by a neck at 1 1/8 miles on a good turf course July 5. (Raced along inside more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied up rail in stretch to second and won by a nose at about a mile on the turf Aug. 9; returned $29.20 on the front end and $7 for place.)

CALDER
Lilredwagon: Raced sixth early, steadied on first turn to avoid running up on third-place finisher, advanced to third four lengths behind after a half-mile, dropped back to fourth after six furlongs, angled outside leaders on far turn, made up 1 ¾ lengths in stretch and lost by three-quarters of a length at a mile and 70 yards on Aug. 20.
Ashlee the Great: Stumbled at start, raced fifth more than two lengths behind after a half-mile, angled outside leaders, losing ground entering stretch, made up more than three lengths and lost by a head at 6 ½ furlongs on Aug. 12.
Kipper’s Song: Broke next to last, advanced from 11th to sixth early, steadied in traffic down backstretch, inched up to fifth more 4 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile and rallied from fourth in stretch to gain second by two lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on July 23. (Raced more than six lengths behind in eighth after a half-mile, closed well on outside to make up five lengths and lost by a half-length at 5 ½ furlongs on Aug. 18.)
Causeway to Heaven: Raced ninth more than 4 ½ lengths after a half-mile, steadied in heavy traffic on far turn, angled out for drive, rallied from fifth to make up more than two lengths in stretch and lost by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course July 16.
G City Gal: Tracked pace in third early, advanced to second, challenged for lead after a half-mile, impeded at eighth and sixteenth poles by second-place finisher, ran third, but was advanced to second upon disqualification at six furlongs on July 15.

DELAWARE PARK
Rutland: Raced six lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, advanced to third entering stretch, rider lost whip at sixteenth pole and finished a head back at six furlongs on Aug. 14.
Durajazz: Raced 6 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from fourth to make up 3 ½ lengths and lost by a length at six furlongs on a sealed good track July 15.

DEL MAR
Run to the Border: Raced sixth more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, went three wide on far turn, surged between rivals late in stretch, made up four lengths and lost by two heads at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Aug. 6.
Midnight Lute: Bobbled at break, dropped back to ninth off rail early, inched up to eighth more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, moved up outside on turn six wide for drive, closed willingly in stretch to make up more than two lengths and lost by a half-length at six furlongs on July 28. (Pressed pace in third through turn, took lead by a half-length in stretch and drew off by 3 ½ lengths under some urging at seven furlongs on Aug. 20.)
Record: Steadied at start, trailed early, inched up to eighth more than 7 ½ lengths after a half-mile, moved up on turn, came out for drive, steadied off heels of rival in upper stretch, rallied between foes from fifth to make up 4 ¼ lengths and lost by a neck and 1 ¼ lengths at 6 ½ furlongs on July 27.
Fanatical: Bumped at start, steadied, raced eighth more than nine lengths behind after a half-mile, steadied off heels of rival, swung out four wide for drive, rallied from fifth to make up 2 ¾ lengths in stretch and finished a game second beaten 2 ¼ lengths at six furlongs July 23.

LAUREL
Ode d’Punch: Chased pace early in eighth, shuffled back between rivals on first turn to ninth, raced more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, angled out six wide for drive, closed fast from fourth in stretch, made up nearly 3 ½ lengths in stretch and lost by a head at a mile on July 23 at Delaware Park. (Raced seventh more than 5 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung very wide in upper stretch, gained lead by a head in mid-stretch and drew off by 3 ¾ lengths at seven furlongs on Aug. 17.)

LOUISIANA DOWNS
J C Engineer: Bothered slightly early, raced 4 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied outside to third entering stretch, made up more than 1 ¾ lengths while being carried out late by winner and lost by three-quarters of a length at a mile and 70 yards on Aug. 17.
Vision of Speed: Raced eighth early, dropped back to ninth more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, steadied in tight quarters entering far turn, advanced, fanned five wide from eighth to fourth for drive, made up more than 1 ½ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Aug. 11.
Gran Punch: Off slow in last, moved up early behind leaders to fourth, raced 3 ½ lengths behind in third after three-eighths of a mile, angled out slightly looking for room in mid-stretch, bumped with third-place finisher, made up 1 ½ lengths and lost by a half-length at 5 ½ furlongs on July 28. (Tracked pace in fourth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile, advanced outside to third in stretch and won by a half-length at 5 ½ furlongs on Aug. 13)
Cajun Hot Sauce: Chased pace in third more than 2 ½ lengths back after a half-mile, began advancing on two leaders on turn, steadied, moved out for drive, carried farther out by winner in stretch, resumed rally nearing wire and lost by a neck at seven furlongs on July 16.
Thornhill: Raced more than seven lengths behind in ninth after a half-mile, rallied five wide on far turn, finished full of run to make up more than seven lengths in stretch and gained second at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf July 2. (Raced eighth more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, angled to far outside for drive, rallied from seventh in stretch to make up three lengths and lost by 1 ½ lengths at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf Aug. 13.)

MONMOUTH
Briefcase Beauty: Raced sixth early, advanced to fourth 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, steadied looking for room entering stretch, clipped heels of third-place finisher nearly unseating rider and recovered quickly to gamely take second by three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on July 20. (Trailed early, inched up to sixth 5 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out some in stretch, made up 2 ¾ lengths and lost by 1 ¼ lengths at six furlongs on Aug. 18.)
Extra Bend: Raced 11 lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, launched drive near quarter pole angling four wide, came inside to avoid winner drifting out in stretch, made up nearly 4 ½ lengths and lost by a neck at a mile on the turf four ticks off track record July 9; zipped final quarter in 23 4/5. (Demolished at break, severely pinched back, spotted field several lengths, trailed by more than seven lengths after a half-mile, waited patiently at top of stretch, closed steadily four wide and lost by two noses at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Aug. 6.)
Pulpit Talk: Raced third early, dropped back to fourth more than a half-length behind after a half-mile, lost ground to fifth angling five wide near the quarter pole, dueled though stretch and lost by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on the turf July 1.

PHILADELPHIA PARK
Parado: Stumbled at start, raced fifth more than 6 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, split rivals in stretch, made up nearly three lengths and was nosed out at 6 ½ furlongs on Aug. 13.
Soldier’s Promise: Pressed pace in third about a length behind after a half-mile, steadied repeatedly in traffic through much of far turn, forced to wait for room after failing to slip through inside winner near quarter pole, eased off rail at head of the stretch, came again in deep stretch and lost by a neck at a mile on Aug. 6.
For Fun: Stumbled badly at start, raced fourth more than 1 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, lacked room from midway on turn to mid-stretch, angled inside during brutal trip and gained second by a neck at 6 ½ furlongs on July 30. (Quickly sprinted clear, led by seven lengths after a half-mile, caught in stretch, but held second by five lengths at seven furlongs on Aug. 12.)
Letters: Raced eighth lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, closed well from fourth into the lane, made up 4 ½ lengths and lost by a half-length at six furlongs on July 27; ran final quarter in 24 2/5. (Trailed early, advanced to sixth more than five lengths behind after a half-mile, circled field on turn and finished strongly to win by a length going away at six furlongs on Aug. 8.)
Red Magic: Chased pace four lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, blocked repeatedly on far turn, angled wide for drive, finished strongly to make up nearly two lengths in stretch and gained third by a head, beaten only 1 ¾ lengths at a mile and 70 yards on a good turf course July 8.

RETAMA PARK
Molly’s Gem: Broke last, jostled after start, raced seventh more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, raced three wide on turn losing ground, angled in near furlong marker, finished fast rallying from fourth in stretch to make up 3 ¾ lengths and lost by three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on Aug. 19.
Bullet Crane: Broke next to last from outside post, trailed by more than 6 ½ lengths after a half-mile, lacked room entering stretch, rallied outside to make up more than two lengths and gained second by 1 ½ lengths at 7 ½ on the turf Aug. 18.
Prospector Mattie: Leaned out at start, brushed with rival, raced third early, dropped back to fourth after a half-mile, waited while saving ground on turn, rallied from third near the eighth pole, closed willingly and lost by a neck at 6 ½ furlongs on Aug. 17.
Expectant Diva: Trailed by more than 6 ½ lengths after a half-mile, swung out at top of the stretch, rallied from fourth to make up more than 2 ¾ lengths and gained second by a neck at six furlongs on Aug. 12; ran the final quarter in 24 2/5.

SARATOGA
Cat’s a Rockin: Broke from outside post, raced eighth more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, launched bid three wide entering stretch, made up more than five lengths and lost by a length at seven furlongs on Aug. 12; ran final three furlongs in 36 4/5.
Imperial Reign: Raced fifth in second tier more than 5 ½ lengths behind after a quarter-mile, boxed in from three-eighths of a mile into stretch, looked for room, split rivals in fourth at three-sixteenths pole and gained second by 1 ¼ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Aug. 10.
Keen Lassie: Raced sixth more than 6 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung out five wide at quarter pole, finished strongly to make up more than 2 ¼ lengths in stretch and lost by two necks at a mile on the turf Aug. 6.
Solewisher: Broke ninth awkwardly from outside post, stalked two leaders three wide in third four lengths behind after a half-mile, dropped back to fourth on turn, launched rally outside in upper stretch, battled heads apart outside winner in deep stretch and lost by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on the turf July 27.
Desire to Excel: Stumbled badly at break, raced sixth early, moved up to third within two lengths of leaders after a half-mile, encountered heavy traffic on turn, swung out four wide for drive, drew even with winner in upper stretch, couldn’t keep up, but prevailed in second by 7 ¼ lengths at six furlongs on July 26.


WagerWeb

Phillies Preview

A Tale of Two Cities

By Jonathan Wachs

WagerWeb

Contributing Writer

“Realistically, I think it’s a stretch to think that we’re going to be there in ’07. I think probably right now, it’s going to take longer than that.” — Phillies GM Pat Gillick after the Bobby Abreu trade.

“Our goal is to put ourselves in a position to win 95-plus games and make the playoffs every single year. That’s always been our goal for this year and for next year and for the year after that. We still have a chance to do it.” — Red Sox GM Theo Epstein after the Yankees’ five-game sweep of Boston this weekend.

Clearly, one general manager was greatly underrating his team while the other is overrating his.

The Abreu trade has had a major impact on both the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies, as it sent them heading in opposite directions. Abreu is turning out to be the most impactful trade deadline acquisition (although Greg Maddux for the Dodgers is pretty close). What was seemingly an even race between two flawed teams in the AL East is now in danger of turning into a Yankee route.

Abreu drove in the winning run in the fifth game of the Yankees’ sweep of the Red Sox. Abreu finished the series with 10 hits in 20 at-bats. He drew seven walks, scored five runs, knocked in three runs and hit four doubles. In 21 games with the Yankees, Abreu has hit .395. His presence in the New York lineup has made the Yankees almost impossible to pitch to. Their lineup is now filled with players who know how to work the count and make a pitcher work. While it remains to be seen if they have the pitching to compete with some of the other AL playoff teams, it is clear that the Red Sox are now just pretenders.

As Curt Schilling said after the sweep, “What weaknesses weren’t exposed?” The Red Sox have had some bad luck with injuries to Jason Varitek, Trot Nixon and Tim Wakefield coming at the worst time. Some of the key acquisitions the club made in the offseason have yet to play up to expectations, including Josh Beckett and Coco Crisp. Beckett, in particular, has struggled more than anybody would have expected. The bullpen has been a disaster with even Jonathan Papelbon struggling of late. The pen gave up 46 runs in 38 1/3 innings vs. the Yankees this weekend.

The Red Sox’s schedule does not generate optimism. They are just starting a nine-game road trip vs. the AL West, and their road record is 30-32 after dropping Tuesday’s opener in Anaheim. Series vs. the White Sox and Twins still remain as does a visit to the Bronx. Sorry, Theo, it just isn’t your year.

A strange thing is happening in Philadelphia. Even though it appears the Phillies were positively fleeced by the Yankees, they have played their best ball of the season, making Gillick’s concession speech seem woefully premature. In fact, the Phils are 13-7 since the trade and have actually turned into buyers, having obtained veteran pitcher Jamie Moyer last week.

Jon Lieber, whom the Phillies tried to dump at the trade deadline, has posted a 1.76 ERA in his past four starts. Cole Hamels is 3-1 with a 1.35 ERA in August and is looking like the ace many projected him to be. The offense has been producing, and with a September schedule that contains only one team with a winning record, the previously underachieving Phillies may actually steal the wild card despite Aaron Rowand’s injury.

How is it possible that a team that gave up a player capable of having the impact Abreu is having with the Yankees is playing better without him? The Phillies are a team that needed to change the mix. Once they got rid of Abreu, they firmly entered the Ryan Howard/Chase Utley era, which allowed them to turn the page on their past and move forward with a fresh start. This is actually similar to what has happened to the Mets, who were energized this year when they officially converted from the Mike Piazza era to the David Wright/Jose Reyes era.

There is little reason to believe the Red Sox and Phillies won’t continue on the same paths they are on now. Look to bet the Phillies, particularly when Hamels is on the mound, and look for opportunities to bet against the Red Sox when they face good hitting teams on the road and have anyone not named Schilling on the mound.

WagerWeb

Grand Prix Preview


WagerWeb

Grand Prix to Return to Indy

By Sean Toth

WagerWeb

Contributing Writer

Indianapolis Motor Speedway recently announced that it signed a one-year contract extension with Formula One to again host the U.S. Grand Prix in 2007.

Tony George, IMS CEO, signed the contract with top Grand Prix officials on Aug. 15.

A one-year deal was signed because the sport’s organizational structure, known as the Concorde Agreement, is good only through next year. No definitive date for the 2007 U.S. Grand Prix has been announced, but IMS officials said they are shooting for early-to-mid June. The date will be decided upon when the F1 sanctioning body approves next year’s schedule.

Although the contract was for only one year, George said that he hopes to have a long-term commitment to F1 racing.

This year’s Grand Prix was very controversial when 14 of the 20 drivers pulled their cars off the track before the start because of concerns over Michelin’s tires. Only six cars, all with Bridgestone tires, completed the race. The incident made the relationship between the IMS and USGP uncertain, and that is said to be another factor in the short-term contract. Michelin helped the situation by purchasing 20,000 tickets to fans that renewed their orders. But Michelin will not be participating in next year’s F1 events.

A plan for purchasing tickets will be announced to the public next week.

“It seemed appropriate to see how things shake out and see what the lay of the land is,” George said of F1’s instability. “There are too many unanswered questions to commit any longer than that.”

Of the three major events at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway (The Indy 500, Grand Prix and the Brickyard 400) the F1 race is thought to be the most financially beneficial for the area because a higher percentage of the race attendees are from out of town, giving more of a demand for businesses such as hotels and restaurants. And the teams and sponsors have larger financial backing than the other two races. This year’s race had an approximate attendance of 100,000 people.

No other details, including how much the Speedway will pay F1, were revealed.

I’ll keep you up to date on any more relevant information concerning this event and situation when it’s released!


WagerWeb

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