Saturday, January 06,
2007

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CBB

COLORADO STATE +5.5 New Mexico

CSU is shooting the lights out right now making the 5.5
points look very big. They have shot 50
or better from the field in four straight and 6-of-8. They are shooting a
stunning 48.9 percent against teams normally allowing 44.6.

New Mexico
is beatable. They have lost 3-of-5 and
one of the wins was to Alcorn State, the other they beat a rebuilding Pepperdine team by five at home.

It’s a statement game for CSU. They are greatly improved but need to win a
road conference game. “That’s something we need to do,” head coach Dale Layer
said. “We need to have a breakthrough. I like some of the things we’re doing as
a team, and I think we’re progressing in that direction, but we just need to
cut through and get it done.”

They should win, but we like the buckets as cushion.

 

1-6-07

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>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is
on CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Eastern Michigan

Forensic ATS information on this game: Eastern Michigan
0-10 home off consecutive games in which they attempted 50 or less shots, 4-14
home conference, 0-10 home after consecutive games where they attempted 50 or
less shots, 17-35 off SU win, 3-8 home opponent road winning % of less than
.400, 3-9 home v. teams w/losing record,

 

 

Thursday, January 4,
2006

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CBB

Pittsburgh-Syracuse

Press Notes

Pitt enters the contest ranked No. 10 in both the
Associated Press and ESPN/USA Today coaches polls. Syracuse
begins conference play unranked. Pitt is 2-1 in road games this season after
claiming victories at Buffalo and Auburn
and dropping a contest to Wisconsin.
The Panthers are 9-0 at home on the season. Pitt opens Big East play with a 12-2
record. It concluded its December slate with a 77-51 Saturday victory over
Florida A&M. Pitt concluded a difficult three-game
stretch against No. 7 Wisconsin, No. 15 Oklahoma State and Dayton.
Pitt dropped consecutive contests to Wisconsin
and Oklahoma State
and defeated Dayton by 30 points.
The combined record of those three Panthers opponents was 33-4. The 30-point
win over Dayton marked Pitt’s
largest margin of victory since it defeated Penn
State 91-54 on Dec. 10, 2005. It marked Pitt’s largest victory
of the year. With its back-to-back games against Wisconsin
and Oklahoma State,
Pitt played two consecutive games against nationally ranked non-conference
opponents.

Pitt and Syracuse
meet for the 95^th time in series history. Syracuse
owns a 61-33 advantage in the series which began in 1914. The Panthers have
claimed eight of the series’ last 11 meetings. Pitt has won two of the last three matchups
between the two schools at the Carrier Dome. Pitt is 10-33 all-time vs. the Orange in games played in Syracuse.

Santa Barbara-Long Beach State

Press Notes

UC Santa Barbara enters the week
with an overall record of 10-3 and a Big West Conference record of 2-0. The
Gauchos, winners of six of their last seven overall, swept a pair of games to
open league play last weekend. On Thursday, Dec. 28, UCSB
struggled past UC Riverside, 73-65, and then on
Saturday, Dec. 30, in an early-season showdown between the teams with the two
best non-conference records, the Gauchos defeated Cal State Fullerton, 84-76.
The consecutive wins came on the heels of a Dec. 22 loss at the University
of San Diego which ended UCSB’s second four-game winning streak of the season.

Saturday, January 6,
2006

 

Cincinnati-Middle Tennessee State

Detroit News

Brian Kelly will be coaching his new team, Cincinnati,
in the International Bowl on Jan. 6 against Western Michigan
in Toronto. There was some question
about who would coach the Bearcats in the game after Mark Dantonio
left Cincinnati to become the coach
Michigan State.
Pat Narduzzi, Cincinnati’s
defensive coordinator, was named interim coach before Kelly was hired Sunday. Cincinnati
athletic director Mike Thomas confirmed Tuesday that Kelly will have a coaching
staff in place to work the bowl. The number of CMU assistants who will join him
remains to be seen.

NFL

Chiefs-Colts

Sign On San Diego

The Indianapolis
run defense was by far the worst in the league, allowing 173 yards a game. The
Chiefs have Larry Johnson, the NFL’s second-leading rusher with 1,789 yards.
Nonetheless, Indianapolis is favored
by 6½ points, largely because it is 8-0 at home and has Peyton Manning and
Marvin Harrison to match anything Johnson can do – even though the Chiefs’
defense under Herman Edwards is certainly better than it was in January 2004.
For those who dabble in such things, the over-under is 51, a very reachable
figure unless the Chiefs keep the clock running with their rushing game. Funny
thing about the Colts: nobody expects much of them this year, unlike last
season, when they entered the playoffs as the top seed in the AFC. So maybe
they’ll go farther than most people believe.

Associated Press

Bob Sanders, who made the Pro Bowl last season, missed 12
of the past 14 games after having arthroscopic surgery on his right knee. His
absence exposed the Colts’ oft-criticized defense for what it lacks without
him: an energizing playmaker. At 5 feet 8 and 206 pounds, he is built like a
cannonball, hurls himself toward runners like a missile and is at his best in
run support. Without him, the Colts aren’t the same.In
2005, Sanders earned a trip to Hawaii
after helping the Colts allow the second-fewest points in the league. This
season, with Sanders primarily on the bench, the run defense dropped to No. 32
and set a franchise record by allowing 5.3 yards per carry. Coach Tony Dungy
warns Sanders cannot solve all the team’s defensive problems, but when he
plays, the Colts are different. The defense plays quicker, more aggressively
and with more confidence.

MasterLockLine.com

Sanders has practiced and we
expect him to play.

Cowboys-Seahawks

Sign On San Diego

The Cowboys are playing badly – the defense allowed 39
points to Detroit last week. The
Seahawks are playing better, perhaps in time for a push back to the Super Bowl in
a conference where nobody stands out. Seattle
is short at cornerback.

King 5

The bloom appears to off the Tony Romo
rose. But the Seahawks secondary woes may get him back on track. Seattle
could be down to converted safety Jordan Babineaux
and rookie Kelly Jennings on Saturday with Marcus Trufant
laid low by a high ankle sprain. This could give the Boys a chance to get Terry
Glenn and Terrell Owens free on the outside where both are most potent. The
smoothness of the Seahawks’ passing attack and the composure of quarterback
Matt Hasselbeck have evaporated. Maybe it was the injury Hasselbeck suffered
that cost him. Maybe it was getting used to not having an explosive Shaun
Alexander, the absence of guard Steve Hutchinson or getting Deion Branch
involved at wideout. Whatever it is, they’ve been off
much of the year and Hasselbeck’s regressed this
year. The Cowboys’ secondary has been a pack of big-play enablers all season.
Safety Roy Williams is laboring through an awful year in coverage and so is
fellow safety Keith Davis. Terence Newman and Anthony Henry, the corners, are
prone to giving up the big play as well. The Cowboys pass rush is highlighted
by DeMarcus Ware (11.5 sacks) but he’s been
hit-or-miss in a few games.

Sunday, January 7,
2006

 

NY Jets-Patriots

Connecticut Sports

Patriots coach Bill Belichick
said Wednesday that safety Rodney Harrison is out of Sunday’s Jets-Patriots
playoff game. Harrison, 34, who returned to the lineup Dec. 24 against the
Jaguars after missing six games with a broken shoulder blade, sustained
ligament damage to his right knee in the second quarter of a 40-23 win over the
Titans Sunday in Nashville, Tenn.

Newsday

The Jets trudged through the season, overcoming bad losses
to the Browns and Bills, earning emotional wins over the Patriots and Dolphins,
and now head into the playoffs. Finally, this team gets some respect.But then comes the nine-point spread from Vegas,
even though the two Jets-Patriots games this season were decided by an average
of five points, one of them a Jets win, and five of the last eight meetings
were decided by a touchdown or less. Following closely behind are the
statistical analyses, pointing out that the Jets are ranked 25^th in
overall offense, 20^th in overall defense and 24^th in
rushing defense.

Giants-Eagles

Memphis Commercial Appeal

Jeremy Shockey’s swollen left
ankle has improved considerably and there is a good chance the Pro Bowl tight
end will play for the New York Giants on Sunday in the NFC wild card game
against the Philadelphia Eagles. Shockey had a team-high 66 catches for 623
yards and seven touchdowns.

Gainesville Sun

A funk that lasted into late November saw Philadelphia
drop five of six to fall below .500, but more importantly, the team lost star
quarterback Donovan McNabb to a season-ending knee injury. Garcia, though, went
on to lead the Eagles to four consecutive victories – he barely played in Week
17 while Philadelphia won a fifth
straight – and a 10-6 record to win the NFC East.

Thursday, January 04,
2007

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CBB

PORTLAND STATE +4 Northern
Arizona

This is a good time to play overrated NAU.
The ‘Jacks have struggled to a 6-7 record. NAU also split a pair of home conference games last week,
beating Sacramento State
and losing to Weber State.

Portland State’s
rotation has been a little uneven this season until recently as SR G Paul Hafford has stepped up to be a big scoring threat off the
bench. Hafford is averaging 14.0 points and 3.6
rebounds in 20.0 minutes over the last five games.

Northern Arizona’s defense is
non-existent. They allow more than 10
points above their normal average.

PSU has the edge in most
defensive categories, allowing about seven points less per game in 3.1 fewer
field goals and a 2.8 lower field goal percentage against. In the short conference season so far, the
‘Jacks allow a significant 5.5 lower field goal percentage.

 

The Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy’s
GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the NFL wild-card round

Chiefs-Colts

·       
Indianapolis
gets 4.1 more first downs per game

·       
The Colts average 57.9 more total yards per game
on offense, getting .8 more yards per play

·       
Kansas City
accumulates 23.8 more rushing yards per game, but Indy gets 81.8 more passing
yards per game

·       
KC has a .2 rushing yards per attempt edge, but
Indy gets in back by 1.07 passing yards per attempt

·       
On defense, KC has a small 3.4 yards per game
edge

·       
The Chiefs allow .3 less yards per play

·       
KC’s biggest defensive edge is in rushing yards
per game allowed by 52.9, but the Colts allow 49.1 fewer passing yards

·       
The Chiefs have a gigantic defensive superiority
in rushing yards per attempt by 1.2

 

Cowboys-Seattle

·       
Dallas
gets 1.5 more first downs per game on offense

·       
The Cowboys get 49.7 more total yards per game

·       
The Cowboys have an impressive .9 more yards per
play advantage on the offensive side of the ball

·       
The Pokes average 1.62 more passing yards per
attempt and complete 4.2 percent more of their pass attempts

·       
Dallas
allows 7.5 fewer yards per game on 23.1 rushing, though Seattle
has the passing defensive edge at 15.6 yards per game

·       
Dallas
allows .7 fewer rushing yards per attempt

·       
Seattle
allows .4 less passing yards per attempt

·       
Dallas
has a turnover ratio edge of 9

 

Jets-Patriots

·       
New England gets 2.6 more
first downs per game

·       
New England gets 29.8
more total yards per game

·       
The Pats get .4 more rushing yards per attempt

·       
The Jets complete 2.3 higher percent of their
pass attempts

·       
New England allows 2.9
fewer first downs per game and 37.3 fewer total yards per game

·       
The Patriots have a defensive passing rate edge
of 2.6 percent

·       
New England’s turnover
ratio is eight better

 

Giants-Eagles

·       
Philadelphia
gets 55.6 more total yards per game, though NYG gets
10.8 more rushing yards per game

·       
The Eagles average 1.0 more yards per play and
1.72 more passing yards per attempt

·       
Philadelphia
allows 14.4 less total yards per game

·       
NY allows 22 fewer rushing yards per game,
Philly 36.4 fewer passing yards per game

·       
NY allows .5 less yards per rush, Philly .59
fewer passing yards per attempt

 

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