This is Part-1 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 20-22.

Navy-Utah

The big underdogs Midshipmen have the numbers on the
offensive side of the ball. They get 4.8 more first downs per game, 81.8 total
yards and 1.1 more yards per play. However while Navy gets 187.8 more rushing
yards per game, Utah passes for
106.1 more.

Navy gets 1.7 more rushing yards per attempt and 2.8 more
passing yards per attempt. Surprising to many, the Naval
Academy also gets 6.1 more passing
yards per reception.

The Utes come back and have the edge in most defensive
stats. They allow 6.2 fewer first downs per game, 118.4 fewer yards on 1.6 less
yards per play. They allow 3.1 less passing yards per attempt and they have a
monster advantage in passing percentage allowing 18.7 less. The Utes have the
upper hand in turnover ratio by 11.

Florida Atlantic-Memphis

Memphis has
slight edges on the offensive side of the ball, but by only 34.3 yards per game and .2 yards per play. However, showing
how close they are mathematically on offense, FAU
gets .5 more passing yards per reception.

Likewise Florida Atlantic gets the nod defensively, but
not by much. They allow 22.4 less total yards per game and .6 less yards per
play. The biggest edge by either team is on turnover ratio where Florida
Atlantic has a superiority of 13.

Southern
Miss-Cincinnati

The Bearcats have the numbers on offense getting 64.2 more
yards on .7 more yards per play. However, the Eagles get 18.4 more rushing
yards per game. Cincy gets 1.9 more passing yards per
reception.

Defensively it’s very close. They are 1.4 yards per game allowed apart
with Southern Mississippi getting the nominal win. But
the Bearcats actually give up .3 fewer yards per play. While Cincinnati is
better against the run by 42.8
yards per game and a full yard per carry, Southern Miss
is superior by 44.2 passing yards per game, though it’s Cincy
allowing .1 less passing yards per attempt and .6 less per catch. As is the
case with many statistically evenly matched squads, where the big advantage
lies is in the turnover margin category. Give that to Cincinnati
by a significant margin of 21.

Nevada Reno-New Mexico

Nevada has a
substantial lead in every significant offensive category except completion
percentage in which New Mexico
gets the edge by 4.8. Nevada gets
130.8 more total yards per game, 1.6 more yards per play. The edge is across
the board 1.5 rushing yards per attempt, 2.2 passing yards per attempt and a
very efficient 5.2 more passing yards per reception. Nevada
also gets 6.2 more first downs per game.

New Mexico
has the better statistical defense, but by slightly smaller margins. They allow
72.3 fewer total yards on 1.0 less yards per play. Talk about consistent, New
Mexico allows 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 less passing yards per
attempt.

UCLA-BYU

The Cougars are a cut above on each side of the ball,
especially on offense. BYU gets 125 more total yards
per game, led by 8.0 more first downs and 1.1 more yards per play. They also
get 1.6 more passing yards per attempt and complete a commanding 11.3 more
percent of their pass attempts.

The teams are dead even defensively on the ever important
yards per play category, though BYU allows 39.5 less
total yards per game. All in all, the teams are extremely close in the major
handicapping defensive comparisons.

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