This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29.

Michigan State-Boston College

To say the least, these two teams are closely matched
statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per
game but they are dead even in yards per play. Michigan
State gets 93.5 more rushing yards
per game but Boston College
accrues 103.8 more passing yards. It’s a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.

However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per
attempt and .8 more passing yards per reception.

Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7
less yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, MSU allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key
areas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt
allowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception
of .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with Mich State
having a net edge of two.

TCU-Houston

It’s Houston
as the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but TCU on defense. Houston
gets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, 1.4
more yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more
passing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars
also complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.

The only exception to Houston
winning every offensive and TCU every defensive matchup
is Houston allowing 2.6 less
percent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are
allowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The
biggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6.

Maryland-Oregon State

Oregon State
has slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in
all the yards per rush/pass/play categories. OSU has a 20.3 yards per game upper hand on
offense. However the Terps get a slight .2 yards per play edge. Maryland
gets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per
reception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes.

Oregon State
allows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. Maryland
though does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing
yards per attempt, but Maryland
allows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per
reception. Oregon State
allows 7.4 less percent of their opponents passes to
be completed. Maryland has a
turnover ratio advantage of six.

Central Florida-Mississippi State

Central Florida has accrued 121.3
more total yards per game on 1.4 more yards per play. UCF
gets 1.6 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.6 more passing yards per attempt
as well as 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Golden Eagles complete 7.2
more percent of their passes.

Mississippi State
has the advantage in more defensive categories though. They allow 66.1 less
passing yards, though Central Florida allows 27.9 less
rushing yards. The biggest edge is in turnover ratio where UCF
is 10 better.

Penn
State-Texas A&M

The teams could not be closer offensively with A&M
getting a measly 3.8 more yards per game but they are dead even in yards per
play and close in ever other category.

Penn State
sweeps the defense, allowing 109.4 less yards per game on 1.3 less yards per
play. The Nittany Lions allow 1.5 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.3
passing yards per attempt.

The Aggies have a turnover ratio
of seven better.

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