This is Part-5 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Jan. 1.
Wisconsin-Tennessee
The offensive stats are close.
gets 2.0 more first downs per game on 25.1 more total yards. However,
has the most modest of edges, getting .1 more yards per play. Yet the Vols get 62.6 more passing yards per game. Talk about
conflicting stats, the Badgers get 1.1 more passing yards per attempt and 2.7
more passing yards per reception.
The numbers give
the check marks on defense. They allow 5.3 fewer first downs per game on 83.9
less yards. The Volunteers permit .2 fewer rushing yards per attempt. Every
other comparison gives a small edge to the Badgers. But
has a turnover ratio of nine better than Wisky.
Arkansas-Missouri
While Missouri gets 6.1 more first downs per game on 35.4
more yards, Arkansas has the upper hand in the most important category
(according to sports
betting expert Joe Duffy), getting .3 more yards per play. But it’s a
battle of differing styles as much as any bowl game.
picks up 131.7 more rushing yards per game; Mizzou
167.1 more passing yards per game. The Razorbacks get a significantly more 1.8
more rushing yards per attempt but
.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Razorbacks have a more efficient passing
game, accumulating .9 more passing yards per reception, yet the Tigers complete
11.9 more percent of their pass attempts.
It’s see-saw on defense as well.
allows 29.1 less rushing yards per game, but Arkanas
50.3 fewer passing yards per game. The two most significant differences on defense
are the Tigers permitting 1.8 less passing yards per reception, but the
Razorbacks with a humungous passing percentage against superiority of 16.6.
Michigan-Florida
the huge upper hand on offense getting 4.7 more first downs per game,
yards per play including 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Gators also
complete 13.1 more percent of their passes.
On defense, it’s the Wolverines who are superior. They
allow 4.7 less first downs per game on .5 fewer yards per play. However,
allows 27.4 fewer rushing yards per game on .6 less rushing yards per attempt.
advantage is 98.2 fewer passing yards per game on 1.2 less passing yards per
attempt and 1.6 less passing yards per reception.
has a turnover ratio upper hand of seven.
Texas
High powered Tech gets 6.1 more first downs per game,
210.8 total yards per game on 2.4 more yards per play. However, the Cavs have
the advantage in rushing yards per game by 61.8. The Red Raiders accumulate 2.1
more passing yards per attempt. They also have a commanding superiority in
completion percentage by 13.8.
It’s pretty close on defense. The Cavs allow 62.7 less
rushing yards per game, and 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt. But the Red
Raiders permit 14.2 fewer passing yards per game. They have minimal edges as well in passing
yards per attempt, passing yards per reception and passing percentage against.
has the upper hand in turnover ratio by nine.
Illinois-USC
Contrary to what many may believe,
actually averages a slight 4.9 more total yards per game on offense led by a
superiority of
rushing. They also get 1.0 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 more passing
yards per reception. The Trojans though complete 5.8 more percent of their
passes.
USC allows 3.3 fewer first downs per game on 96.6 fewer
total yards per game and 1.1 less yards per play. It’s a clean sweep of
superiority on defense for Southern Cal giving up 1.3 less passing yards per
attempt, 1.4 less passing yards per reception, and a completion percentage
against of 4.8 less.
Hawaii-Georgia
7.3 more first downs per game on 143.6 more yards offensively. However, the
Bulldogs run the ball much better getting 97.6 more yards per game on .8 more
rushing yards per attempt. The Rainbow Warriors have a completion percentage of
16.8 better than the Dawgs.
The defensive comparison shows the teams closer than many
may think. UGA allows 24.7 fewer yards per game, but
actually concedes .2 fewer yards per play.
allows .6 fewer passing yards per attempt on .7 less passing yards per
reception. Turnover ratio comparison goes to the Bulldogs by five.
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