Bills-Patriots Preview

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Gillette Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 4-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game’s total is sitting at 41½.
The Bills lost to the Jets 26-17 as a 5-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score caused this game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (43).
Trent Edwards threw for 289 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for the Bills and Derek Fine caught four passes for 41 yards and a touchdown.
The Patriots lost to Indianapolis 18-15 as a 7-point underdog in Week 9. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44.5).
Matt Cassel threw for 204 yards with an interception for New England, while BenJarvus Green-Ellis rushed for 57 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries.
Current streak:
Buffalo has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Buffalo: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS
New England: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS
Buffalo most recently:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 6-4

New England most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Buffalo’s last 18 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New England is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England’s last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Next up:
Buffalo home to Cleveland, Monday, November 17
New England home to NY Jets, Thursday, November 13

 

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