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The Boston Celtics and the Denver Nuggets will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
The Celtics defeated
Rajon Rondo scored a game-high 32 points to go along with 10 assists for
The Nuggets lost to
Current streak:
Team records:
Denver: 37-19 SU, 32-23-1 ATS Boston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4 Before playing LA Clippers are 2-8 After playing Phoenix are 7-3 After a win are 7-3 Denver most recently: A few trends to consider:
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston’s last 7 games when playing Denver Boston is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 7 games when playing Boston Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston Next up:
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Monthly Archives: February 2009
76ers-Nets Lines Preview
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The
Oddsmakers currently have the 76ers listed as 1-point favorites versus the Nets, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The 76ers overcame a slow start but couldn’t complete the comeback, losing 97-91 to the Heat at AmericanAirlines Arena Saturday.
The Nets were upset 107-96 by the Wizards last time out, as 7-point favorites at home. The 203 points made it OVER the posted total of 201.
Current streak:
Team records:
New Jersey: 24-32 SU, 28-28 ATS Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5 Before playing Washington are 4-6 After playing Miami are 4-6 After a loss are 5-5 New Jersey most recently: A few trends to consider:
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey’s last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey’s last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey’s last 8 games when playing Philadelphia New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia Next up:
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Pacers-Knicks Lines Preview
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The Indiana Pacers and the New York Knicks will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at
Oddsmakers currently have the Knicks listed as 6-point favorites versus the Pacers, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Pacers defeated Chicago 98-91 as a 2-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (216.5).
Troy Murphy scored 27 points to go along with 14 rebounds for
The Knicks lost to
Current streak:
Team records:
New York: 23-32 SU, 32-23 ATS Indiana most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6 Before playing Memphis are 4-6 After playing Chicago are 5-5 After a win are 4-6 New York most recently: A few trends to consider:
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York’s last 5 games at home The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York’s last 11 games New York is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home New York is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games Next up:
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Sports Investment Grandmaster Solves the Mortgage Crisis
There is plenty of blame to go around.
The professional inside-the-beltway politicians, negligent lenders and derelict borrowers caused the recession. Yet Barack Obama, an inside-the-beltway elected official has hatched a stimulus package that bails out the reckless bankers and irresponsible borrowers, demanding sacrifice only from Americans who opted for a sustainable lifestyle.
The bailout beneficiaries are those whose standard of living wrote checks their resources couldn’t cash.
Shouldn’t it be the other way around? Defaulting on payments has its privileges in the Great Society II: This Time It Will Work, We Promise.
Perhaps the empty suits in
As Grandmaster sports handicapper I’ve learned a bit about comeuppance of making bad financial decisions and the rewards of crafting the correct ones. Clearly more qualified than elected officials, here is the framework to turn around the mortgage catastrophe.
Ten years ago, Kenny Appleseed wanted to buy a house. By objective and rationale metrics, he should have qualified for a $200,000 mortgage. But because of greedy, predatory lenders the Appleseeds, against their will, were bamboozled and coerced into undertaking a $350,000 mortgage.
While fair reparations to the Appleseed family for steamrolling them to live above their means can never be achieved, this plan will undo the destruction of the predatory lender.
Now Kenny has acquired a loan he can honor.
Finally.
What to do with the $350,000 house the government bought? John Smith 10 years ago could have qualified for a $425,000 loan if he fell prey to the bloodthirsty banker. However Smitty thought leeway to be wiser than luxury, only acquiring a $300,000 loan. He has made every payment in a timely fashion and has an impeccable credit rating.
Think about this for a minute. It sounds crazy, but in order to stimulate the economy, how about Washington undertake something radical and bestow the wealth to the populace who have a history of proving they know how to bankroll and invest wisely?
“Militant” the defaulters will bemoan.
Obama and Congress should be ecstatic help documented trustworthy, sound-investing John sell his $300,000 house and give him a low-interest loan to upsize. Stimulation we can believe in.
Perhaps pragmatic and responsible Smith prefers not to relocate, but instead make home improvements. His sterling resume of timely payback should qualify him for a very low interest loan to make those upgrades that will stimulate jobs—real jobs, real stimulus.
Some will assert rewarding people who have demonstrated to be accountable while showing the irresponsible that there are consequences seems too far-fetched. Logic proves it would work. Then again, if politicians mastered logic, they’d work in the private sector.
Imagine, those who pay on time upsize and those who couldn’t would have to downsize, yet still living the so-called American Dream.
A question asked at the Presidential debates was “What sacrifices will you ask Americans to make?” President Duffy would start with those who have lived above their means. It seems those who have lived within their means have already surrendered enough. It’s the capricious ones turn.
We sports handicappers know that successful teams put the ball in the hands of their proven players. Mr. Obama seems to insist that giving the benchwarmers the ball is the way out of the solution. It was the cause, Mr. President.
The author Joe Duffy is the top broker for those who no longer gamble in the stock market, but invest in the sports market. He is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and can be reached at joeduffy@joeduffy.net
How Professional Gamblers Use the "Bubble Team" Angle In Handicapping
As we approach the final weeks of the college basketball regular season, which includes the major conference tournaments, it’s time to remind you of one of the great pitfalls gamblers make. That is to bet on the team that needs a win more.
Combine this with the public’s infatuation with betting on the better team, some of the best investment opportunities are forthcoming in the early days of March Madness betting simply by fading bubble teams.
Why are they great go-against teams for the sharp player? The previously stated motive is one of them. The linesmakers know that gamblers accept as true that the bubble teams will be more motivated. Thus, bettors are ready and willing to lay extra points.
But the fact is, if a team is on “the bubble” they haven’t been victorious often enough in such “must win” games. The squads that excel in pressure games have their NCAA at-large bid locked up by this time of the year.
The most opportune situation is when a bubble team is matched up against a squad in a pure spoiler role. Let’s clarify the relatively objective definitions. Not that we really need it, but the cheat-sheet we utilize for which teams qualify as “bubble” would be Joe Lunardi’s Bracketology on ESPN.com.
Lunardi essentially has 12 bubble teams: last four in, last four out and next four out. From a handicapping standpoint, the list gets smaller as the year goes on.
Currently the squads that our angle would apply to would be
A team in a “pure spoiler role” is one that has no chance at an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. Again, Bracketology is our favorite cheat sheet if there is any doubt, though we of course follow college basketball to the point where we know who’s certainly in, who is out, and who is on “the bubble”.
One of our Golden Rules is to bet on inconsistent teams to continue to be inconsistent, while the public seems to believe unpredictable teams will somehow improve in stress situations.
When Team Bubble is going up against inferior “spoiler” teams, they are going to be overpriced because of public perception. We do caution that while betting against bubble teams is certainly our strong bias, as always the angle is merely part of our preponderance of data scrutinized before finalizing a bet.
In so far as over/under plays, we also lean towards betting the under in such games. In spoiler versus bubble team circumstances, there is plenty of motivation for both squads. Intensity shows up positively on the defensive end, but the angst of a must-win game shows up negatively with sloppy play on the offensive end.
The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. All professional handicappers are proud to show off the amount of research that goes into a pick. If a handicapper gives you no rationale, rest assured you just paid for a coin flip. Get accurate analysis for every pick from GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com
NBA, College Basketball and Academy Awards Highlight Sunday Betting
Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: Matt Kenseth guns for another Sprint Cup win, the Celtics take on the Suns, and Duke gets set to clash with
Tipping off on the hardwood . . .
The Celtics will be trying to bounce back from a Thursday night loss to
A busy Sunday around the NBA has eight other games on the schedule, including
The march toward Madness . . .
There are two ranked matchups on the college hoops schedule for Sunday, with No. 12 Villanova at No. 24 Syracuse, and No. 8 Wake Forest at No. 9 Duke. The Blue Devils snapped a two-game losing streak last time out against
No. 6 Michigan State will host
As far as winning sports service picks, the MasterLockLine developed data mining software that finds out what happens when two or more top sports services agree in the same side. The top in the 21st century is a handicapper out of
Sports headlines…
Alabama tackle Andre Smith has left the NFL combined…the top receiver in the draft Michael Crabtree of Texas Tech will miss 6-10 weeks because of a foot injury…Lindsey Vonn became the most successful American skier ever in the women’s World Cup winning her 19th race…Maryland beat North Carolina in three overtimes.
Taking a trip around the rink . . .
The Penguins play their second consecutive afternoon contest on Sunday when they travel to
There are four other games on the NHL’s slate for Sunday, including
2009 Academy Awards
Meanwhile Mike Myers The Love Guru dominated the Golden Raspberries. Paris Hilton was also a big “winner”.
Rounding out the Roundup . . .
The Sprint Cup Series will be in
Kyle Busch and Edwards are both sitting at 6/1 odds on the Vegas list for Sunday, with Jeff Gordon at 7/1, Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 10/1, and both Greg Biffle and Tony Stewart at 12/1. Stewart was one of the few big names to have a respectable finish at Daytona last week; he ended up in eighth place in the race.
Arizona-Arizona State Lines Preview
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The Arizona Wildcats and the Arizona State Sun Devils will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Wells Fargo Arena.
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
Current streak:
Team records:
Arizona most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2 Before playing Washington State are 7-3 After playing UCLA are 8-2 After a win are 8-2 Arizona State most recently: A few trends to consider:
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Arizona State Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona’s last 7 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State’s last 5 games when playing Arizona Arizona State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games Next up:
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Wake Forest-Duke Lines Preview
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The Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Duke Blue Devils will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
Current streak:
Team records:
Duke: 21-5 SU, Wake Forest most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 9-1 Before playing North Carolina State are 6-4 After playing Georgia Tech are 3-7 After a win are 7-3 Duke most recently: A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest’s last 6 games Wake Forest is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games Wake Forest is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games Wake Forest is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest Duke is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke’s last 5 games Next up:
Duke at |
Wisconsin-Michigan State Odds Preview
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The fans at
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
Purdue cashed as 3.5-point home favorites as the game played under the 129.5-point total set by oddsmakers.
Current streak:
Team records:
Wisconsin most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 9-1 Before playing Michigan are 6-4 After playing Indiana are 8-2 After a win are 8-2 Michigan State most recently: A few trends to consider:
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 5 games Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State Michigan State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Wisconsin Michigan State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games Michigan State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games Next up:
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Villanova-Syracuse Odds Preview
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The Villanova Wildcats and the Syracuse Orange will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Carrier Dome.
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
Villanova jumped out to a six point lead en route to an 82-72 victory over
Scottie Reynolds led Villanova with 21 points and six assists, while
Jonny
Team records:
Villanova: 21-5 SU, 13-9 ATS Syracuse: 19-7 SU, 9-13 ATS Villanova most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2 Before playing DePaul are 3-2 After playing Rutgers are 4-6 After a win are 6-4 Syracuse most recently: A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Villanova’s last 5 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 5 of Villanova’s last 5 games Villanova is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games Villanova is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home Syracuse is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games Syracuse is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse’s last 6 games at home Next up:
Villanova at DePaul, Wednesday, February 25 |