MLB Handicapping: Mets vs Nationals

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Tuesday when the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals meet at Nationals Park.
The Mets will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Michael Pelfrey in this game. Pelfrey has a 10-12 record and a 5.07 ERA this season.
It’ll be J.D. Martin toeing the rubber for the Nationals in this contest. righthander Martin is 5-4 with a 4.71 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Nationals listed as 115-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Mike Morse went 3-for-4 with a solo homer to lead the Nationals over the Mets 2-1 on Monday night.
Washington cashed as a -110 home pick ’em, while the game played UNDER the 9.5-run total listed by sportsbooks.
Ross Detwiler allowed one run over six innings to earn the win for the Nationals, who got a run batted in from Ryan Zimmerman in the payday.
Fernando Tatis was 2-for-4 with a run batted in for New York, while Nelson Figueroa gave up two runs over six innings to take the defeat for the Mets.
Team records:
New York: 67-90 SU
Washington: 53-103 SU
New York most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing Washington are 5-5
After a loss are 3-7

Washington most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 3-7
After playing NY Mets are 3-7
After a win are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets’s last 10 games when playing Washington
NY Mets are 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington’s last 10 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Next up:
Washington home to NY Mets, Wednesday, September 30

 

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