TNT NBA Odds: Celtics vs Cavaliers

The fans at Quicken Loans Arena will be treated to a game between the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers when they take their seats on Tuesday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cavaliers listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Celtics, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.

2008/09 team records:
Boston: 62-20 SU, 43-39 ATS
Cleveland: 66-16 SU, 49-33 ATS

Boston most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Charlotte are 8-2
After playing Orlando are 6-4
After a loss are 8-2

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Before playing Toronto are 7-3
After playing Orlando are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Boston is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Boston’s last 21 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston

Next up:
Boston home to Charlotte, Wednesday, October 28
Cleveland at Toronto, Wednesday, October 28

ESPN College Football Odds: East Carolina vs Memphis

The East Carolina Pirates and the Memphis Tigers will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Liberty Bowl.
Oddsmakers currently have the Pirates listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Dwayne Harris returned a kickoff 92 yards for a touchdown and added two touchdown catches to help East Carolina beat Rice 49-13 in Week 7.
The Pirates covered the 18.5-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 55.5.
Memphis was defeated 36-16 by Southern Miss in Week 7 as 15.5-point underdogs. The 52 points went UNDER the posted total of 54.
Duke Calhoun had 77 yards receiving with a touchdown in the loss.
Team records:
East Carolina: 4-3 SU, 2-4 ATS
Memphis: 2-5 SU, 1-5 ATS
East Carolina most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

Memphis most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
East Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of East Carolina’s last 9 games on the road
East Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing East Carolina
Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against East Carolina
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Next up:
East Carolina home to Virginia Tech, Thursday, November 5
Memphis at Tennessee, Saturday, November 7
 

 

Bronx Bombers will open World Series odds with a win

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
Wednesday, Oct. 28 (Time TBD)
Cliff Lee (2-1, 0.74) vs. C.C. Sabathia (3-0, 1.19)

Cliff Lee has been nothing short of sensational during the postseason. The lefty was brought in from Cleveland via midseason trade to boost Philadelphia‘s World Series odds, and he’s done nothing but deliver since then. The Phillies have won all three of Lee’s postseason starts, and the former Cy Young winner has allowed just two runs in 24.1 innings. He was only called upon once during the NLCS, but he delivered in fine fashion, striking out 10 batters during eight innings of shutout baseball. Facing the Yankees shouldn’t faze Lee; he was 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and nine strikeouts in two starts against the Bronx Bombers this season.

Sabathia, who could very well win the AL Cy Young this season, has been pretty darn good himself. He’s 3-0 during the post season while allowing just a single run in each of his starts. He’s coming off a five-hit, one-run gem against the Angels. Sabathia faced the Phillies in interleague play this season and earned a no-decision after giving up three runs in eight innings of work, and he’s going to be very tough to beat at Yankee stadium, where he had a 3.17 ERA and .223 opponents’ batting average.

While two aces go head-to-head on Wednesday, there’s still great potential for fireworks. Both teams led their respective league’s in runs and homers this season. Alex Rodriguez’s sudden emergence as a reliable postseason threat has been beyond impressive. His brutal struggles have been well documented, but this year he’s hitting. 438, five homers and 12 RBIs in the playoffs—with many of those hits coming in crucial situations. Philadelphia will counter with Ryan Howard, who’s been almost as good with a .355 average, two homers and 14 RBIs. If you’re betting on run totals, take the over.

Offshore sportsbook fans know there isn’t much seperating Philly and New York. On Wednesday, both send out their top pitcher and both will employ lineups packed with All-Stars. If there’s an edge, it’s new Yankee Stadium, where the Bronx Bombers have yet to lose a postseason game. Is something magical happening this year in New York? The team certainly looks more cohesive than it has in years. Expect the Yanks’ lineup to continue riding the home crowd and power Sabathia to a narrow victory over Lee. Bet on the Yankees with your MLB picks.

Indiana vs. Iowa Vegas Point Spread, Vegas Betting Odds, Handicapping Info

Indiana vs. Iowa college football betting lines have the Hawkeyes a 17.5 point favorite. Keep an eye on the MasterLockLine which features Bill Tanner who about a dozen years ago, he lapped dinosaur “Doc Sports Services” as the top Big 10 handicapper in the land.

First there was the 976-LOCK, then the SuperLock, now it’s taken to the highest level. The MasterLockLine is the top consensus sports service site ever. They don’t tout the cappers who are coin-flippers or perennial losers. It’s only the top picks from the top 4-7 percent of handicappers, based on sustained winning. It is now exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com   

The StatFox college football match-ups are up on this and all contests.  

West Virginia vs. South Florida Vegas Line, Betting Odds, Point Spread

West Virginia vs. South Florida NCAA football spread has WVU -3 at USF. The game is one ESPN.  College football trends are up on this and all games.

Of course live odds for the NBA are underway. The top football handicappers and basketball sports services are featured on power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine.  

Sharp players are winning more than ever and squares losing more. The highlighted article explains why.

North Carolina-Virginia Tech Vegas Line, Betting Odds, Point Spread

North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech ESPN college football odds for Thursday night has the Hokies -16.5. VA Tech is the home team.

Matt Rivers is widely accepted as the top college sports handicapper: basketball and football. The all-time leader in money won on a large network of websites, he is now part of The Show at OffshoreInsiders.com

He is among the few elite handicappers who could have a pick on this contest.

ESPN Odds: Expert NFL Picks in on Eagles-Redskins Spread and Total

If your bets continue to look worse than Brooke Hundley’s MySpace pics, then you have only yourself to blame. The nation’s best sports handicappers continue to roll and now here is the objective look at which handicappers are hot and who has the big plays.

Betting on ones own can prove to be more costly than Ivanka Trump wedding photos.

With NBA Vegas odds starting tomorrow, the no-brainer to bet with is Stevie Vincent as mastering over/under continues to be his specialty.

Sensational handicapper Stevie Vincent is 9-1 for 90 percent over the last four days.

He has his Monday Night O/U of a GENERATION on the Redskins/Eagles. It’s all on OffshoreInsiders.com

How about the greatest betting expert ever, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com? Yesterday was another classic day of GodsTips not only winning you money but saving it. Face it, without us you likely would have jumped on the s-u-c-k-e-r bet on the Falcons. Luckily we explained why the Cowboys, a Wise Guy winner, would blow out the Birds. We are 5-1 the last six sides as the beat goes on.

This legend has the Monday Night Football side, Eagles-Redskins.

Big plays—oh it does not get bigger than the Duke, Jonathan Mardukas. Jonathan’s stone cold lock is on the Philadelphia-Washington total.

The Duke, Jonathan Mardukas built up a large scorephone following over the last dozen or so years.  With a database that goes back to 1980 the MasterLockLine say he is the top ranked college and pro football handicapper EVER. He has his biggest prime time NFL total ever in all his years of betting on the Eagles/Redskins.

For any or all of the above picks Click now to purchase

UNIVERSAL PASS: Get total access to the “Bet It Trinity”: Stevie Vincent’s BetonSports360, and the MasterLockLine, and Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for just $64 per pick and even less for long-term pick packs.

NFL Odds: Eagles vs Redskins

The division rival Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins are set to renew hostilities on Monday when they meet at FedExField.
Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 8-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game’s total is sitting at 37½.
The Eagles lost to Oakland 13-9 as a 14.5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Donovan McNabb passed for 269 yards for Philadelphia and Brian Westbrook rushed for 50 yards on six carries.
The Redskins lost to Kansas City 14-6 as a 6.5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (36.5).
Jason Campbell passed for 89 yards with an interception for Kansas City and Clinton Portis rushed for 109 yards on 15 carries.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Philadelphia: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
Washington: 2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS
Philadelphia most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-2-1
When playing within the division are 5-5

Washington most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Next up:
Philadelphia home to NY Giants, Sunday, November 1
Washington at Atlanta, Sunday, November 8

 

The Single Dumbest Stat in Sports Betting Still Getting Regurgitated

Sports gambling posting boards are generally good for a few laughs but rarely for worthwhile information. The most comical case of wasting bandwidth is the futility of the “just pick the team that wins outright” cliché.

Now a sport betting website pays tens of thousands of dollars to have FoxSports.com carry their infomercial videos and the guy starts out telling you how amazed he is that “the team that wins outright covers 85 percent of the time.”

No offense but these would be handicappers don’t know what they are talking about and we can only hope they can get enough clients to subsidize the bookmakers.

“When an underdog wins they cover 100 percent of the time,” reminds Max Hartman of Lines-Maker.com.  The favorite cannot cover unless they win outright.  It’s impossible.  The only scenario in which a team can win and not cover against the Vegas odds is when the favorite wins but by a smaller margin than the spread. 

Not shockingly the numb nuts who perpetuate unscientific preposterousness almost always quote stats relevant to the NBA or NFL betting.  In college sports there are more mismatches and hence larger spreads where the margin is larger for a favorite to win and not cover.

If a team is a 3.5 point favorite the only way the team that wins will not cover is for the favorite to win by one, two or three points. Any other result will have the team that wins covering.  At what percentage do these half-wits think a team should win and not cover?

Obviously the stupidity of this widely circulated inductive blather can be refuted from now until eternity.  Or at least until an underdog wins but fails to cover, whichever comes last.  But to those who subscribe to it as if there is any logic, thanks for keeping the books in business for the rest of us.

Since the prevailing premise behind this urban myth is “it’s so much easier to pick the SU winner than the spread winner” why don’t these fancied geniuses just pick dog winner after dog winner on the moneyline?

There are plenty of underdogs that win outright, many huge dogs in fact.  If one wants to postulate how much easier it is to pick the SU winner, why waste such foreknowledge on collecting $100 for every $110 risked?  Just keep picking those 250 dogs and get your money’s worth.

I don’t want to ruin this fool’s gold with such a logical question, but like I keep saying, I guess those pipe dreamers are needed to keep the sportsbooks in business for the rest of us.  

No oddsmaker will go broke underestimating the intelligence of the betting public. Wow, we just discovered that the team that scores the most points wins more than 99 percent of the time. Let me purchase valuable webcasting time on Fox Sports to impress you with my discovery.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the single most respected sports handicapping site on the World Wide Web.