NCAA Football Handicapping: Miami vs North Carolina

The Miami Hurricanes and the North Carolina Tar Heels will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Kenan Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Hurricanes listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Tar Heels, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.
Miami dominated the entire game as they ran past Virginia 52-17 in Week 10. Miami covered the 14-point spread, and the 69 points sailed OVER the posted total of 44.
Damien Berry led the way with 53 yards rushing with two touchdowns.
Jheranie Boyd’s touchdown run in the fourth quarter finished off a 19-6 win for North Carolina over Duke in Week 10.
The Tar Heels covered the 10-point spread, while the final score played well UNDER the day’s posted total of 44.5.
Current streak:
Miami has won 2 straight games.
North Carolina has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Miami: 7-2 SU, 5-3 ATS
North Carolina: 6-3 SU, 3-4 ATS
Miami most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4

North Carolina most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina’s last 5 games when playing Miami
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
North Carolina is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
North Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Next up:
Miami home to Duke, Saturday, November 21
North Carolina at Boston College, Saturday, November 21

 

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