Your free pick winner for Thursday comes from Matt Rivers. It’s on the Giants minus 1 ½ runs at SportsBook.

Matt says: When I say this is a bottom of the barrel comp play I mean this is a bottom of the barrel comp play. To lay a run and a half with the mediocre at the very best San Francisco offense against a decent enough sinkerballer in Derek Lowe is asking a lot. Plus one never fully knows which Tim Lincecum will show up each start. But with that said “The Freak” is still a top-notch hurler and better than Lowe, even if not completely on his game.

I would say that these offenses overall are fairly similar in that neither is all that good. Losing Chipper, Prado and a few others has hurt Bobby Cox’ club and right now besides young Jason Heyward and Brian McCann the Bravos don’t have too many threats. Omar Infante has had a nice little season but he is still Omar Infante and therefore I don’t see the boys from the Atl exactly getting off with the bats.

Buster Posey is a total stud and with a few others by the Bay and the potential of Lincecum in a small play I will back the G-Men. If the two time Cy Young award winner brings his A-game then this is a total bargain. I’m not all that sure that will happen so this is a small play. But the Bravos have not been very good away from Turner Field all season long and with the way they come limping into this thing I’ll back that Freak.

The pick: San Francisco -1.5.

For more information: Matt Rivers has a very solid 2-1 day on Wednesday with the 300,000* Phillies minus 1 ½ runs plus a little along with the 200,000* Yankees. I certainly didn’t predict the Halladay no-no but I’ll take it for sure. 400,000* of profit yesterday and the run is up to right around 3.5 million* of profit in a tad less than the last month.

Two more rock solid locks today and note your times as the game from the Trop goes early. 300,000* Texas-Tampa Bay plus a 200,000* Nebraska-Kansas State. 2-0 sweep? Another 300,000* winner leads the way. Maybe another 300,000* no-hitter? Probably not but a winner nonetheless. Click now to purchase

BetUs has some groovy prop bets on this game: