I like it on Facebook: gamblers status is that they like it wherever Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world has his Performance Gap Analysis picks. It’s week 5 NFL trends.
After injuries wreaked havoc in the NFL betting results last week, let’s hope our luck changes in Week 5. Here’s a look at the early-game trends.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 10
Broncos (2-2) vs Ravens (3-1)
The Broncos love to surprise good teams and play them close; they’re 4-1 ATS over their last five against teams with winning records. Then again, the Broncos are also 1-5 ATS over their six against AFC opponents. The hosting Ravens are also 42-18-1 over their last 61 games as a home favorite. Is Ray Rice poised for a huge bounce-back game? Baltimore is 6-1 ATS over its last seven after running for less than 90 yards the previous game.
Giants (2-2) vs Texans (3-1)
Maybe the Giants do better when they’re not expected to win? They’re 8-1-1 over their last 10 ATS as road underdogs of 0.5-3.0 points. But could grass play a factor? The Giants are 1-7 ATS over their last eight on grass whereas the surging Houston Texans are 5-1-1 over their last seven on grass.
Rams (2-2) vs Lions (0-4)
Crazy to think the Rams have a real shot to be over .500 after five weeks. Sam Bradford has them playing with confidence and they’re 7-2 over their last nine ATS after winning straight up by more than 14 points the week before. Betting sharps should also note that the lowly Lions are just 16-36-1 ATS over their last 53 games as a favorite and that six of the Rams’ last seven games have fallen UNDER the total.
Packers (3-1) vs Redskins (2-2)
The Redskins pulled the minor upset on the road last week but sportsbook bettors should tread carefully; they’re just 4-12 ATS over their last 16 home games. Aaron Rodgers’ Packers are 9-3-1 ATS over their last 13 games and 5-2 ATS over their last seven road contests.
Chiefs (3-0) vs Colts (2-2)
These ain’t your granddaddy’s Chiefs. Though they’re 2-7 ATS over the last nine meetings with Indy, they’ve beaten the spread five straight times overall and six times in their last seven road games. The Colts are, however, 5-1 ATS over their last six as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. It’s a tough sports pick to make. This week should tell us a lot about Kansas City’s true identity.