Piping hot Matt Rivers says free pick winner for Thursday is on Georgia State.

Of course the Alabama Crimson Tide are going to win by a billion here against the first year program of Georgia State but my bet is that a billion is 50 or less and that’ll be good enough. Due note that this line has moved as of right now from 56 or so down to 52 and may not be up at every book but it should be up in most places and this still too high number is worth a play.

Sports betting experts note that the Panther players obviously are light years behind Greg McElroy, Mark Ingram, Julio Jones, Trent Richardson and the rest of the defending National Champions. This thing may be fairly ugly by the half but there is absolutely zero motivation here for ‘Bama as undefeated Auburn is on-deck and we all know how insane the Auburn-Alabama rivalry is. Just think about it, you play a brutal SEC schedule, were upset at LSU a few weeks back then went to Mississippi State and looked very good in a win and now the week before Auburn come back home to play a first year program. I mean come on. These guys are going to be too good obviously but they are also going to go through the motions with little intensity and little overall effort.

Let’s also not forget how State head coach Bill Curry is a former Alabama guy who is loved by all and out of respect to him I can’t see Nick Saban letting his guys get off too much in too much of a blowout. Of course Saban won’t be able to help a lot early but in the second half we are going to see everybody pulled and far lesser talented Alabama players on the field for at the very least a full 25-30% of this game. Those guys are still better than what we will have but it will neutralize the playing field to the extreme.

Quarterback Drew Little may get killed in this thing but the bottom line is that covering 50 plus when you don’t care is just too much,.

50-3 and we win!

The pick: Georgia State