It’s Navy vs. San Diego State in the Poinsettia Bowl. San Diego State is a three-point favorite with a total of 57. There is a flood warning in San Diego as the rains have been falling on the field.
Now to the official betting preview. Navy is 9-3 straight up and 7-5 to the number. San Diego State is 8-4 straight up and 7-4 against the spread. Navy is 7-3 their last 10.
Navy averages 5.4 yards per rush to defenses that permit 4.2 and a stunning 10.0 yards per pass to defenses that permit just 7.3. Overall they gets 6.2 yards per play to 5.5.
However, Navy permits 4.4 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.1, 6.6 passing yards per attempt to 6.8 and 5.4 yards per play to 5.3.
San Diego State averages 4.6 yards per rush on offense to teams that normally allow 4.6, 8.8 yards per pass to 7.6 and 6.7 yards per play to 5.9.
They are extremely stout on defense allowing 3.6 yards per rush teams normally getting 4.1, just 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 6.6 and 4.8 yards per play to 5.1.
Top expert pick on this game: Scary good. No great. But the most accurate adjective is unprecedented. ScoresOddsPicks has a lot more winning left in a football betting season that will never be approached. At +46.7 units on one unit per play, it is the sports record most likely to stand forever, but they are not done yet. Recently it’s 26-7. This included Miami Ohio +775 on the moneyline in the MAC Championship, Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship as the Best Bet of the Year, and Oakland December 5 as the Underdog Best Bet of the Year, December 19, the Jets as the Oddsmaker Overreaction Best Bet of the Year, and the Bears December 20 as the Monday Night Best Bet of the Year.
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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Navy 7-0 to teams with a winning record, 14-2 to Mountain West and 3-7 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
San Diego State is 0-4 off spread win.
Over/under trends: Midshipmen have gone under 6-1 on grass. The Aztecs have gone under 17-2 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.