Expanding on the New Year’s and BCS Bowls podcast, it’s the Capitol One Bowl preview from the Citrus Bowl in Orlando between Michigan State vs. Alabama.

Michigan State is an impressive 11-1 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, while Alabama is 9-3 in the newspapers, but 7-5 in the sportsbooks.

The Spartans get 4.9 yards per rush to foes that are permitting an average of 4.4, 8.3 yards per pass to 7.5 and 6.4 yards per play to 5.8.

They allow just 3.6 yards per rush to teams that usually get 4.3, 6.5 passing yards per attempt to 7.3 and 5.0 yards per play to 5.6.

Alabama gets 5.0 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 4.3, 9.2 passing yards per attempt to 7.4 and 6.9 yards per play to 5.7.

The Crimson Tide defense allows 3.6 yards per rush to squads that normally accumulate 4.3, 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 7.5 and 4.8 yards per play to 5.7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Alabama is 3-8 as an underdog. The Crimson Tide is 5-0 outside the conference, but 2-9 off straight up loss.

Over/under trends: The Spartans have gone over 48-19 as underdogs. Alabama has gone over 6-1 outside conference.

Top expert pick on this game: The top computer play combines several of the top programs such as Accuscore and power ratings from RPI/BCS simulators, Sagarin, Dunkel, SportsLine, TeamRankings, AccuScore, Massey, betting systems and many others to come up with the most accurate computer plays. Top computer play of the postseason is on Michigan State/Alabama total, plus the biggest side on this game as well. Click now to purchase or for more information and a free pick