Sweat Barometer, Better Known at Margin of Cover Report, NBA Rest

The margin-of-cover standings have some clear-cut undervalued and overvalued teams. The top sports betting service in the world has another Wise Guy winner and today’s NBA schedule features some rested versus unrested matchups including one of the NBATV games.

Now to the NBA rest report:

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Cleveland is playing their third game in four nights.

Hornets vs. Thunder

New Orleans is playing their third game in four nights, fourth in five nights and playing back-to-back nights.

Blazers vs. Nuggets

Portland is playing back-to-back nights while Denver is playing their third game in four nights.

Rockets vs. Jazz

Houston is playing back-to-back nights, while Utah is playing their third game in four nights.

Here is a Margin of Cover (MOC) breakdown for NCAA basketball. Renamed “sweat meter” in Chad Millman of ESPN’s column, MOC is similar to scoring margin, but it is measured by how much a team covers or fails to cover the point spread.

Many sports handicappers believe MOC is invaluable in isolating under and overvalued teams.

At 11-2-1 against the spread, Duquesne has the best MOC in the nation at (+7.5). The Longhorns of Texas have been kind to bettors at 14-3 to the number and a (+6.9) MOC.

The only other team with at least 10 lined games and a MOC of 5.0 or better is Connecticut, which has exactly a (+5.0) margin at 10-4 in the back pocket.

Texas Tech has the worst MOC at (-5.6) and a terrible 5-13 record according to the sportsbooks. With a 5-9 point spread record, Central Florida is second worst with a (-5.4) deficit.

No other regular rotation team has a negative 5.0 or worse, but Ohio at (-4.8) and Michigan State at (-4.7) are next on the Vegas shame list.

Top expert pick on tonight’s card: The greatest just keeps winning. A push on Florida, but a huge moneyline winner on Portland (+186) on the moneyline wins for GodsTips. That’s 57-34 overall, which includes several moneyline underdogs.

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