The Dallas Mavericks are at the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The point spread is Oklahoma City (-3) with a total of 202. The best-of-seven game series is deadlocked at a game apiece.
Dallas enters with a 66-28 straight up mark, 55-37 against the spread going over 54-29. On the road they are 31-15 outright, 30-16 to the sportsbooks going over 27-19. In the postseason, they are 9-3 outright, 11-1 to the number.
Oklahoma City is 64-32 straight up and 50-43 to the number. At home they are 36-12 straight up and 24-22 spread wise. In OKC, they have exceeded the total at a 29-19 rate. In the playoffs, they are 9-5 and 7-6 respectively.
For the year Dallas makes 47.5 percent of their field goals to teams that normally allow 45.9 while allow 45.0 to teams normally getting 45.8.
The Thunder make 46.2 percent from the field to defenses that permit 45.9. They allow 45.4 to teams that usually get 46 percent.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5, 12-3 to teams with a winning record.
Oklahoma City 6-1 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or above, but 3-8 home versus an opponent with a winning road record. Road team is 18-7 in the series.
Over/under trends: Oklahoma City over 8-2 road underdogs.
Top expert pick on this game: The wunderkinds of The Canadian Crew have the biggest release by any sports betting service all postseason. It’s the 2011 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year. The Crew has never had a losing month and is well on the way to a May treasure chest. Get the picks