This is What Pro Gamblers Demand Every Day

The fact Joe Duffy’s Picks is outperforming the rest of the industry is nothing new. It’s par for the course. Now we are even outperforming ourselves. We win again. Of course the AL Central Underdog Game of the Year proves to be money in the bank. Why is Joe Duffy’s Picks the best? See the video below.

https://youtu.be/IayOqA-GuKw

MLB

Wise Guy

DETROIT (RYAN +125) Cleveland (Bauer)

AL Central Underdog of the Year

We have an angle that says to bet on divisional dogs under specific situations that is a staggering +186.5. Trevor Bauer is one of those pitchers who is much better on the road, but is now pitching at home. Despite an uncanny road ERA of 1.10, he is at home where his ERA is 5.40. Though his batting average against is .266 on the road, at home it is scary .331. Kyle Ryan has a .750 WHIP in two starts.

We have said time and time again, sharps use splits mostly where a team or pitcher does not clearly pitch or play better at home. Put the killer system on top of it and it is certainly a Wise Guy.

Major

CUBS (WADA +170) LA Dodgers (Kershaw)

LA is 2-5 the last seven. The Cubs are 9-5 the last 14. Clayton Kershaw has a 4.27 road ERA and LA is -3.1 with him on the highway. The home team is 9-5 in his starts. LA is 3-8 off win, 3-9 to teams with a winning record, 1-8 road to teams with a winning record. Cubs 9-2 home versus an opponent to teams with a losing road record.

WHITE SOX (DANKS +130) Minnesota (Milone)

We have an angle that says to bet on divisional dogs under specific situations that is a staggering +186.5. The Sox have turned things around, winning two straight off a big slump and beating the team with the best ROI in MLB in consecutive games.

Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or less in his last three starts is +125.1 units.

HOUSTON (OBERHOLTZER +113) LA Angles (Santiago)

We have an angle that says to bet on divisional dogs under specific situations that is a staggering +186.5. Houston is 6-2 the last eight. They are 4-1 with Brett Oberholtzer for +3.2 units.

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MLB

Wise Guy

PITTSBURGH (BURNETT -117) Washington (Ross)

Pittsburgh has won eight straight and they are 21-5 the last 26. Washington is 6-14 the last 20. AJ Burnett has been nothing short of sensational. In 13 starts he has 1.89 ERA and 1.132 WHIP.

After two suspect starts back-to-back, he responded with one run in his last 16 IP, allowing just 12 base runners. AJ Burnett has a personal mark of 12-5 to Washington with a 3.11 ERA and 1.178 WHIP.

TEXAS (LEWIS +167) White Sox (Sale)

The White Sox have lost seven straight. In that span, they are hitting .178 with a horrid, rancid .237 slugging percentage. In their last five games they have a slugging percentage edge of .188 compared to Texas .388. Texas is 20-8 all and 16-7 as an underdog. White Sox are 1-4 in Sales last 5 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. Texas is 5-0 with Lewis to Sox. He got the win in each game. His ERA to them is 1.20.

Major

BOSTON (RODRIQUEZ +114) Kansas City (Pino)

We have an angle that says go with underdog facing a quality opponent off win is +202.9 units.

TAMPA (KARNS +144) Cleveland (Carrasco)

Tampa is 14-5 the last 19. However, this is a great splits game. We have said time and time again, the home/road dichotomy that sharps exploit are when a team and/or pitcher is actually better on the road.

Tampa is 20-13 road +8.5. Cleveland is 13-19 at home -12.7. Nate Karns for Tampa has a 1.95 road ERA and .831 WHIP. Compare that to at home where it is 4.70 and 1.48. Carlos Carrasco is also strong on the road, but horrid at home where his ERA is 5.28. Cleveland is 0-6 off a win.

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NBA

Major

GOLDEN STATE -4 Cleveland

The Warriors depth has clearly worn down Cleveland. They are playing at their pace. One guy cannot win it on his own. Even in the Sunday game with two days rest, Golden State clearly had the fresher legs. Now with just one day rest it gets ugly.

MLB

Wise Guy

Seattle-San Francisco OVER 7

IL Total of the Month

Both pitchers are coming back down to earth. JA Happ has 1.88 home ERA but now he is on the road where it is 7.48. His batting average against is .351 on the road to .283 at home. His day batting average against is .388 to just .273 at night.

Streaky Tim Lincecum has a 6.40 ERA his last four starts with a 1.60 WHIP.

ATLANTA (TEHERAN +150) Boston (Miley)

Day IL Game of the Month

Boston has lost seven straight -8.4 units. Atlanta is +2.3 units their last seven games. Julio Teheran last three starts has .984 WHIP. Wade Miley has 7.05 ERA and 1.761 WHIP.

Major

MIAMI (PHELPS +105) NY Yankees (Eovaldi)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.

KANSAS CITY (YOUNG -110) Milwaukee (Garza)

Royals are 5-2 the last seven. Milwaukee has dropped three in a row. In 52 IP Chris Young has a 2.25 ERA and .942 WHIP. At night he is 4-1 personally with a team mark of 5-1. On the other hand Matt Garza is 0-6 at night with a 7.41 ERA and 1.699 WHIP. His team record at night is 1-6 -5.2 units. Garza is 3-6 to KC.

 

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NBA

Major

CLEVELAND +1.5 Golden State

These teams have in every sense of the world played dead even with the series tied at 1-1 and for the first time in history, the first two games went into OT. Yes Golden State is the deeper team, but the Cavs have the best player on earth.

Cleveland is a city hungering for a championship and I do not think there will be a bigger home court advantage than one will see tonight. Yes during the regular season you won a ton with an angle that says to go with big road favorites with a road winning percentage less than their home team home winning percentage. But in the playoffs, small home underdogs with a better home winning percentage than the foes away winning percentage are a strong bet. In fact since 2013 such teams are 12-5-2.

MLB

Wise Guy

NY YANKEES (TANAKA -117) Washington (Scherzer)

Washington is back struggling. As teams with so much preseason hype do, they are horrid losing 5-of-6 and 8-of-10. New York has won six straight and 10-of-13. Masahiro Tanaka has a .818 WHIP on the year and in his last three starts his ERA is 0.89 with a WHIP Of .492.

In their last five games New York has a slugging percentage edge of .522 to .366. In their last 10 games the edge is still .098.

Major

TAMPA (KARNS -101) LA Angels (Shoemaker)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.

WHITE SOX (RODON +125) Houston (Keuchel)

Yes Houston has one of the best pitchers in MLB on the mound, which is why they are heavy road favorites. But overachieving Houston is regressing to the mean having lost five straight including the previous start by Dallas Keuchel.

Home underdogs with a starting pitcher averaging five or more strikeouts per start and stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game is 303-243 +109.5. Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or less in his last three starts is +125.8 units, though admittedly this year it has not been profitable. Still an angle that has won that much long-term is sensational.

CINCINNATI (DESCLAFANI -134) Philadelphia (Harang)

It is an outsourced pick, previous called a competitor consensus, but renamed to more accurately reflect the parameters. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side or if we are neutral on a pick, but at least two elite sources or contacts have a bet sans any conflicting bets from said sources, it is a bet for us as an outsourced pick.