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NBA

Major

GOLDEN STATE -4 Cleveland

The Warriors depth has clearly worn down Cleveland. They are playing at their pace. One guy cannot win it on his own. Even in the Sunday game with two days rest, Golden State clearly had the fresher legs. Now with just one day rest it gets ugly.

MLB

Wise Guy

Seattle-San Francisco OVER 7

IL Total of the Month

Both pitchers are coming back down to earth. JA Happ has 1.88 home ERA but now he is on the road where it is 7.48. His batting average against is .351 on the road to .283 at home. His day batting average against is .388 to just .273 at night.

Streaky Tim Lincecum has a 6.40 ERA his last four starts with a 1.60 WHIP.

ATLANTA (TEHERAN +150) Boston (Miley)

Day IL Game of the Month

Boston has lost seven straight -8.4 units. Atlanta is +2.3 units their last seven games. Julio Teheran last three starts has .984 WHIP. Wade Miley has 7.05 ERA and 1.761 WHIP.

Major

MIAMI (PHELPS +105) NY Yankees (Eovaldi)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.

KANSAS CITY (YOUNG -110) Milwaukee (Garza)

Royals are 5-2 the last seven. Milwaukee has dropped three in a row. In 52 IP Chris Young has a 2.25 ERA and .942 WHIP. At night he is 4-1 personally with a team mark of 5-1. On the other hand Matt Garza is 0-6 at night with a 7.41 ERA and 1.699 WHIP. His team record at night is 1-6 -5.2 units. Garza is 3-6 to KC.