Monthly Archives: February 2019

Sports Betting News

Super Bowl LIV Betting Odds: Patriots Are Co-Favorites With Another AFC Team

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Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. The New England Patriots are the favorites to win the Super Bowl. More accurately, Super Bowl 54 odds have them as co-favorites with the Kansas City Chiefs at +650 or 13-2. The LA Rams are next at 10-1 or +1000 at Bet Now, one of the top sportsbooks in the world. All the 2019 Super Bowl odds and the favorites to win the NFC and AFC are below. OffshoreInsiders.com remains the go-to shop for all sports winners. 

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV
7:00 PM  @ Sun Life Stadium – Miami, FL
10001 Arizona Cardinals 15000
10002 Atlanta Falcons 2000
10003 Baltimore Ravens 2000
10004 Buffalo Bills 15000
10005 Carolina Panthers 3500
10006 Chicago Bears 1500
10007 Cincinnati Bengals 12500
10008 Cleveland Browns 2000
10009 Dallas Cowboys 2000
10010 Denver Broncos 8000
10011 Detroit Lions 8000
10012 Green Bay Packers 1500
10013 Houston Texans 2800
10014 Indianapolis Colts 1200
10015 Jacksonville Jaguars 4000
10016 Kansas City Chiefs 650
10017 Los Angeles Chargers 1200
10018 Los Angeles Rams 1000
10019 Miami Dolphins 20000
10020 Minnesota Vikings 2000
10021 New England Patriots 650
10022 New Orleans Saints 900
10023 New York Giants 6000
10024 New York Jets 10000
10025 Oakland Raiders 12500
10026 Philadelphia Eagles 1500
10027 Pittsburgh Steelers 1500
10028 San Francisco 49ers 5000
10029 Seattle Seahawks 3000
10030 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8000
10031 Tennessee Titans 5000
10032 Washington Redskins 12500
ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
7:00 PM
10101 Baltimore Ravens 1000
10102 Buffalo Bills 5000
10103 Cincinnati Bengals 6000
10104 Cleveland Browns 600
10105 Denver Broncos 1800
10106 Houston Texans 1500
10107 Indianapolis Colts 800
10108 Jacksonville Jaguars 2000
10109 Kansas City Chiefs 300
10110 Los Angeles Chargers 800
10111 Miami Dolphins 10000
10112 New England Patriots 300
10113 New York Jets 2500
10114 Oakland Raiders 5000
10115 Pittsburgh Steelers 800
10116 Tennessee Titans 3000
ODDS TO WIN NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
7:00 PM
10121 Arizona Cardinals 5000
10122 Atlanta Falcons 1000
10123 Carolina Panthers 2500
10124 Chicago Bears 500
10125 Dallas Cowboys 800
10126 Detroit Lions 5000
10127 Green Bay Packers 550
10128 Los Angeles Rams 400
10129 Minnesota Vikings 800
10130 New Orleans Saints 400
10131 New York Giants 2000
10132 Philadelphia Eagles 800
10133 San Francisco 49ers 2500
10134 Seattle Seahawks 1500
10135 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1800
10136 Washington Redskins 500

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Sports Betting News

2019 Dayton 500 Odds: Individual Matchups

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2019 Dayton 500 odds. Joe Duffy has the winner at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

  Sunday, 17th February 2019 ML
DAYTONA 500
2:40 PM  @ Daytona International Speedway – Daytona Beach, FL
7501 Brad Keselowski -110
7502 Joey Logano -120
2:40 PM
7503 Joey Logano -140
7504 Clint Bowyer 110
2:40 PM
7505 Clint Bowyer EV
7506 Kevin Harvick -130
2:40 PM
7507 Kevin Harvick –
7508 Denny Hamlin –
2:40 PM
7509 Denny Hamlin -135
7510 Chase Elliott 105
2:40 PM
7511 Chase Elliott -130
7512 Aric Almirola EV
2:40 PM
7513 Aric Almirola -130
7514 Ricky Stenhouse Jr EV
2:40 PM
7515 Ricky Stenhouse Jr –
7516 Ryan Blaney –
2:40 PM
7517 Ryan Blaney –
7518 Kyle Busch –
2:40 PM
7519 Kyle Busch -120
7520 Martin Truex Jr -110
2:40 PM
7521 Martin Truex Jr -110
7522 Kurt Busch -120
2:40 PM
7523 Kurt Busch –
7524 Daniel Suarez –
2:40 PM
7525 Daniel Suarez -115
7526 Erik Jones -115
2:40 PM
7527 Erik Jones -115
7528 Jimmie Johnson -115
2:40 PM
7529 Jimmie Johnson -120
7530 Alex Bowman -110
2:40 PM
7531 Alex Bowman –
7532 Kyle Larson –
2:40 PM
7533 Kyle Larson -105
7534 Austin Dillon -125
2:40 PM
7535 Austin Dillon –
7536 Paul Menard –
2:40 PM
7537 Paul Menard -165
7538 Bubba Wallace 135
2:40 PM
7539 Bubba Wallace 115
7540 Ryan Newman -145
2:40 PM
7541 Ryan Newman –
7542 Daniel Hemric –
2:40 PM
7543 Daniel Hemric -160
7544 Ryan Preece 130
2:40 PM
7545 Brad Keselowski -135
7546 Clint Bowyer 105
2:40 PM
7547 Joey Logano -125
7548 Kevin Harvick -105
2:40 PM
7549 Clint Bowyer –
7550 Denny Hamlin –

 

 

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2019 World Series Favorites Posted at Top Online Sportsbook

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Once Bryce Harper and Manny Machado’s destinations are determined, odds to win the 2019 World Series will shift. Currently, there is a three-way tie for favorites among Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, and New York Yankees are each 6-1, with the LA Dodgers next at 7-1. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1 and come from Bovada.

There is literally no dispute that the top MLB handicapper is Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com. 

  • Boston Red Sox+600
  • Houston Astros+600
  • New York Yankees+600
  • Los Angeles Dodgers+700
  • Chicago Cubs+1100
  • Milwaukee Brewers+1200
  • Philadelphia Phillies+1200
  • Atlanta Braves+1400
  • Cleveland Indians+1400
  • Louis Cardinals+1400
  • Washington Nationals+1600
  • Colorado Rockies+1800
  • New York Mets+2200
  • Oakland Athletics+2500
  • Tampa Bay Rays+3500
  • Arizona Diamondbacks+5000
  • Chicago White Sox+5000
  • Los Angeles Angels+5000
  • Minnesota Twins+6000
  • Seattle Mariners+6000
  • Cincinnati Reds+7000
  • Pittsburgh Pirates+7000
  • Toronto Blue Jays+9000
  • San Diego Padres+10000
  • San Francisco Giants+10000
  • Texas Rangers+20000
  • Detroit Tigers+25000
  • Kansas City Royals+25000
  • Miami Marlins+35000
  • Baltimore Orioles+60000

 

Sports Betting News

Kentucky Derby 2019 Odds: Game Winner, Improbable, Hidden Scroll, Instagrand Lead Way

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2019 Kentucky Derby odds are posted at Bovada sportsbook. Game Winner, which has won all four races including the Breeders Cup Juvenile, is the favorite at +700 or 7-1. Improbable, with three first place finishes in as many starts, is next at 10-1. Kentucky bred Hidden Scroll follows at 12-1. OffshoreInsiders.com Joe Duffy is famed for his outsourced plays, complementing his industry standard advanced analytics winning in sports.

Bovada also has a $3,000 casino welcome bonus. Complete odds below. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. All bets are action.

Winner

  • Game Winner +700
  • Improbable +1000
  • Hidden Scroll +1200
  • Instagrand +1600
  • Global Campaign +2000
  • Rowayton +2000
  • Signalman +2000
  • War Of Will +2000
  • Win Win Win +2000
  • Complexity +2500
  • Maximus Mischief +2500
  • Mucho Gusto +2500
  • Nolo Contesto +2500
  • Roadster +2500
  • Vekoma +2500
  • Frosted Ice +3300
  • Gunmetal Gray +3300
  • King For A Day +3300
  • Mucho +3300
  • US Navy Cross +3300
  • Cairo Cat +4000
  • Call Paul +4000
  • Code Of Honor +4000
  • Mihos +4000
  • Network Effect +4000
  • Royal Marine +4000
  • Standard Deviation +4000
  • Coliseum +5000
  • Knicks Go +6600
  • Walking Thunder +6600

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Sports Betting News

Luka Doncic Already Won NBA Rookie Of the Year; MyBookie Already Taking Bets on Zion Williamson at 3-1

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With Luka Doncic a lock to win the 2019 Rookie of the Year, MYBookie saw no reason to make people wait until the end of the season to receive their winnings, so we are paying out $150,000 in winning tickets for those who bet Doncic during the season.

For the unlucky ones who did not, should Luka not win the 2019 Rookie of the Year, we will double the payout on the player who does. 

BUT WAIT, THERE’S MORE.

Now you can bet on Zion Williamson to be the 2020 NBA Rookie of the Year at 3/1 odds. If Zion does not take home the title, we’ll refund all of the bets.

No risk. All win. Bet Now.

Promo runs from Thursday Night until Monday Night, February 18 at MYBookie.

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Gambling Secret Revealed: Zig, While Others Zag

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The capacity and willingness to think outside the box—counter-intuitive logic—is imperative in sports betting. Zig while the other gamblers zag. It is distinct from contrarian betting, which acknowledges the masses are asses, applying betting data to fade the public.

The intuitive approach is to bet on the hotter and better team. Said method is in part why the public adores risking on favorites. Again, one of the most underlying precepts of sports betting: the line is not a prediction on the outcome of the game. It’s a spread or over-under set based on getting equal action on each side. Thus, bookies inflate numbers when rolling the dice with quality teams playing well.  

Winning gamblers recognize there is a substantial opportunity in wagering with undervalued struggling or bottom rung squads. Here is an example for demonstrative purposes:

Team A is playing at home and is in a streak that is at least nine games better than the road team. The means any combo of team A consecutive wins (six for example) and Team B losses (three to demonstrate) is at least nine. Furthermore, A’s season winning percentage is at least .200 points better.

There is no debate that most gamblers would much more eagerly bet Team A. I added that the inferior team is not a road favorite to weed out outliers like injury, expected to rest key players, etc. As of this writing, the inferior, and the much colder road team is 352-291-8 for a solid 54.7 percent. When odds sharks add other factors, such as rest, margins, etc. many sub-systems are well into the upper 50 and 60 percentile or above.

The stock market adage of sell when others are buying and buy when others are selling is true in betting. The demand bettors make is investing in superior and hotter squads. Such action causes serious rising prices. Bookmakers take advantage of conventional thinkers because that’s what most gamblers are.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abkzAPVYoTU

I assert it regularly. One of the fundamental principles of gambling is never, ever make a bet based on what is most natural to root for. While JoeyBagadonuts is always going to hit 47-49 percent betting on superior teams and overs, sharps thank him for creating distorted lines and ample windows of opportunity.

The author, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been a full-time gambler and handicapper since 1988. He is CEO and anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports handicapper site on earth.

Sports Betting News

Sharp Moves, Vegas Line Moves, Public Consensus NBA, College Basketball For Monday

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Who are the sharps betting on for Monday NBA and college basketball? Let’s start out in the NBA.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Milwaukee, Washington OVER at Bet Now

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee, Indiana, Denver, Detroit, Denver UNDER, Washington OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Dallas, Charlotte at Bovada

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -3.5 now -5.5

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Don’t be foolish and take a lull in between Super Bowl and March Madness. JDP is rolling along at a nice 21-14 despite some excruciating OT dogs, half, and one-point losses. NBA Total of the Week is a Wise Guy among three winners. Oh, my lawd, I definitely must mention, the Wise Guy angle has been slightly enhanced to eliminate when it conflicted with another top angle. It is 1626-1303 overall and a draw-dropping 85-34. Okay, I will even hint: it does so well this year due to inflated totals because of the public’s fear of unders. No more hints, just winners.  Get the picks now

Now to college basketball:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baylor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Baylor

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UNC UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

 

Sports Betting News

Woods, Spieth, Johnson, Rose, McIlroy Top Masters 2019 Odds Leaderboard

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Tiger Woods is among the favorites in which oddsmakers expect will be a closely contested 2019 Masters golf tournament. Jordan Spieth is the mild favorite at 10-1 or +1000, with Woods a notch behind at 11-1. Odds are from Bovada. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. OffshoreInsiders.com has had strong success with Joe Duffy’s outsourced picks throughout the years. 

US Masters 2019

  • Jordan Spieth +1000
  • Tiger Woods +1100
  • Dustin Johnson +1200
  • Justin Rose +1200
  • Rory McIlroy +1200
  • Brooks Koepka +1400
  • Justin Thomas +1400
  • Bryson Dechambeau +1600
  • Jon Rahm +1600
  • Rickie Fowler +1600
  • Bubba Watson +2500
  • Jason Day +2500
  • Tony Finau +2800
  • Adam Scott +3300
  • Hideki Matsuyama +3300
  • Patrick Reed +3300
  • Tommy Fleetwood +3300
  • Xander Schauffele +3300
  • Cameron Champ +4000
  • Francesco Molinari +4000
  • Phil Mickelson +4000
  • Sergio Garcia +4000
  • Marc Leishman +4500
  • Paul Casey +4500
  • Gary Woodland +5000
  • Henrik Stenson +5000
  • Matt Kuchar +5000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +6600
  • Patrick Cantlay +6600
  • Billy Horschel +7000
  • Cameron Smith +7000
  • Hao Tong Li +7000
  • Webb Simpson +7000
  • Alexander Noren +8000
  • Danny Willett +8000
  • Thomas Pieters +8000
  • Shane Lowry +9000
  • Adam Hadwin +10000
  • Brandt Snedeker +10000
  • Charley Hoffman +10000
  • Daniel Berger +10000
  • Emiliano Grillo +10000
  • Ian Poulter +10000
  • Lee Westwood +10000
  • Matt Wallace +10000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +10000
  • Thorbjorn Olesen +10000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +10000
  • Zach Johnson +10000
  • Aaron Wise +12500
  • Branden Grace +12500
  • Charl Schwartzel +12500
  • Charles Howell III +12500
  • Eddie Pepperell +12500
  • Keegan Bradley +12500
  • Kevin Kisner +12500
  • Rafael Cabrera Bello +12500
  • Abraham Ancer +15000
  • Beau Hossler +15000
  • Brian Harman +15000
  • Jimmy Walker +15000
  • Kevin Chappell +15000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
  • Martin Kaymer +15000
  • Russell Henley +15000
  • Ryan Moore +15000
  • Si Woo Kim +15000
  • Julian Suri +20000
  • Kyle Stanley +20000
  • Lucas Bjerregaard +20000
  • Pat Perez +20000
  • Patton Kizzire +20000
  • Andrew Landry +25000
  • Dylan Frittelli +25000
  • Jamie Lovemark +25000
  • Paul Dunne +25000
  • Ross Fisher +25000
  • Stewart Cink +25000
  • Shubhankar Sharma +30000
  • Aaron Rai +40000
  • Bernhard Langer +50000
  • Fred Couples +50000
  • Vijay Singh +50000
  • Angel Cabrera +75000
  • Trevor Immelman +100000
  • Mark O’Meara +150000
  • Mike Weir +150000
  • Jose Maria Olazabal +200000
  • Sandy Lyle +200000
  • Ian Woosnam +250000
  • Larry Mize +250000

Get a $3,000 casino welcome bonus now at Bovada.

Sports Betting News

Trade Deadline Odds Moves: Sixers Rise in NBA Championship Odds

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Following the close of the NBA trade deadline, BetDSI has adjusted its odds to win the Finals this summer.

The 76ers’ odds moved from +1500 to +1200 following the acquisition of Tobias Harris.

Toronto saw its odds drop from +900 to +800 while the Lakers’ odds jumped from +1800 to +3000.

Golden State’s odds at the beginning of the week were -240, and they remain unchanged.  

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -240

Toronto Raptors +800

Boston Celtics +1200

Philadelphia 76ers +1200

Houston Rockets +1400

Milwaukee Bucks +1400

Oklahoma City Thunder +2500

Denver Nuggets +2800

Los Angeles Lakers +3000

Utah Jazz +5000

San Antonio Spurs +5500

Portland Trailblazers +6000

Charlotte Hornets +9000

Minnesota Timberwolves +10000

Indiana Pacers +10000

Detroit Pistons +10000

Miami Heat +10000

Los Angeles Clippers +12500

Brooklyn Nets +12500

New Orleans Pelicans +15000

Washington Wizards +15000

Dallas Mavericks +15000

Sacramento Kings +15000

Orlando Magic +20000

Memphis Grizzlies +30000

Atlanta Hawks +200000

Phoenix Suns +300000

Cleveland Cavaliers +400000

New York Knicks +400000

Chicago Bulls +400000

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Joe Duffy’s Picks, Another Smooth 7-2 Night

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Advanced analytics is flawless. It eliminated biases and computer software ensures I never miss a great situation. You went 7-2 last night. If not, don’t focus in the money you’ve blown by being on the outside looking in. Focus on how much you will make for years to come. Begin the rest of your gambling life today with Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

CBB

Major

MARYLAND +2 Nebraska

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

CONNECTICUT +3.5 Temple

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

COLORADO +6 ucla

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

GA SOUTHERN +0 UL Lafayette

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

NBA

Major

Houston-Sacramento OVER 233.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

Golden State-San Antonio OVER 232.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

NEW ORLEANS -1 Chicago

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued 102-52-0.

HOUSTON -2.5 Sacramento

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 546-422-14. Fade home underdogs off consecutive win as an underdog.

BROOKLYN -3.5 Denver

Home favorite or small underdog despite significantly inferior record is 302-212-5.