Monthly Archives: May 2019

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Pitcher’s Reports for Baseball Betting Sunday, May 26

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Sunday’s MLB Pitcher’s Report for Sunday, May 26 from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com the place to go for sports service picks that have been winning since the scorephone days, long before the internet. Want free information like this all the time? Support our sponsors such as MyBookie Casino, which has a $1,500 sign-up bonus to play with live dealers at blackjack, roulette (American and European), baccarat, and super 6.

Dodgers at Pirates

  • Dodgers Meada 0 runs allowed last 2 starts (12 2/3 IP) and none allowed 3-of-4 starts
    • But 5.68 road with .363 OBP against, compared to 1.38 and .208 at home
    • Also worse in day games
  • Pirates Chris Archer 10.66 ERA last 3 with unearned runs in each of his last two
    • Stunning 1.97 WHIP last 3
    • Though he’s been better both home and day games
  • LA Dodgers 117-71 since May 17 of last year +15.94 units and 5.3 percent ROI
  • Pittsburgh over 15-5-1 lately

Red Sox at Astros

  • Sox Eduardo Rodriguez 11 ER last 11 IP, allowing 15 hits
    • Much worse on road with 7.77 ERA and .407 OBP against
    • Home team 6-1 in his starts
  • Verlander 8-1 2.24 ERA, .208 OBP against
    • Home 1.55 and .181 with .62 WHIP
  • Boston over 45-27-1 since Sept 19 of last year
  • Houston 32-12 at home since Sept 1 of last year +10.7 units, but 27-17 on runline for 25.8 percent ROI

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Phillies at Brewers

  • Phillies Zach Efflin, 1 run (including unearned) or less in 4 of last 5 starts
    • .264 OBP against in day games
  • Brewers Brandon Woodruff 5 ER last 5 starts, 30 IP
    • 22 hits and 8 BBs in span
    • But worse at home than road
    • 2.52 road ERA, 4.31 home with OBP against at .263 but .341 respectively
  • Brewers 151-111 at home since May 1, 2016 +32.78 units and 10 percent ROI

Braves at Cardinals

  • Julio Teheran 2 ER last 4 starts last 20 2/3 IP just 10 hits and 11 BBs
    • ERA much worse on road at 4.46 compared to 2.35 home
    • Better at night 3.35 compared to 4.60 day
  • Jack Flaherty 11 ER last 21 1/3 IP
    • 2.48 home, .243 OBP against
    • Compared to 6.20 road, .364
  • Braves 11-3 lastly for 51.1 percent ROI

Bet on these games before the lines move at Betonline, home of the opening line.

Sports Betting News

Massive Online Poker Tournament Big Money Memorial Day Weekend

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Rev heads, gear up for a Memorial Day weekend of speedster thrills and spills of a different kind with our Poker 500 Turbo Series.

While the wild rides, spinouts and pounding-the-wall crashes of the Indianapolis 500 plays out at “the Brickyard”, hit our own action-packed nod to the greatest spectacle in racing! It’s an excitement-fueled three-day series with five daily Turbo Tournaments running from Saturday, May 25th through until Monday, May 27th, and features 6+, PLO, No Limit Hold’em, Boost and Bounty events.

Take your best shot at the guaranteed prize money added to the line-up, with a range of accessible buy-ins from as little as $2.20, and guarantees up to $5,000. We don’t have Thor in the house whipping the green flag in Gasoline Alley, but it’ll be worth taking a lap or two around the BetOnline Poker  tables this Indy 500 weekend! Check out the leaderboard.

TURBO TOURNAMENT SCHEDULE

DAY TIME ET GUARANTEED GAME TYPE BUY-IN
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19:00 $1,000.00 NLHE KO + Boost $16.50
21:00 $1,500.00 NLHE Re-Entry $11.50
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SUNDAY 15:00 $500.00 PLO Re-Entry $3.30
26-MAY 17:00 $5,000.00 NLHE Re-Entry $11.00
19:00 $1,500.00 Texas 6+ Re-Entry $11.00
21:00 $500.00 NLHE KO $5.50
23:00 $1,000.00 NLHE R + A $2.20
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16:00 $5,000.00 NLHE Re-Entry $22.00
17:00 $2,000.00 NLHE R + A $11.00
19:00 $1,000.00 Texas 6+ Re-Entry $5.50
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Free MLB Betting Pick

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Joe Duffy’s Picks: I went 3-1 in MLB led by NL Day Dog of the Month on Phillies en route to another winning day. Thre winning picks at night led by Wise Guy. Get the picks now

MLB 

NY METS (SYNDERGAARD -1.5 -135) Detroit (Soto)

Large favorites on the runline under specific circumstances that apply today are +72.11 units for a 7 ROI. Big favorites have been a very good bet since 2015, even better on moneyline. However, we have corroborating data that says the runline is the best bet. 

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Sports Betting News

Sportsbook Posts Odds on How Big of a Fool Drake Makes of Himself Game 6

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For better or for worse, Drake has become the sideshow of the 2019 Eastern Conference Finals, and one bookie is having some fun with the antics. SportsBetting  has posted a number of prop bets surrounding Game 6 of the Raptors and Bucks series, which goes down Saturday night in Toronto.

Bettors can wager on Drake coming into contact with Raptors head coach Nick Nurse again, how many free throws Giannis will miss, Drake’s sideline boundaries and more.

Will Drake touch Nick Nurse during Game 6 broadcast?
Yes +300
No -500

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo speak to Drake during Game 6 broadcast?
Yes +400
No -700

How many free throws will Giannis Antetokounmpo miss in Game 6?
Over 3.5
Under 3.5

Will Drake’s upper piece of apparel (shirt) at Game 6 have a hood?
Yes +100
No -130

Will Drake cross the sideline and step onto the court during Game 6 broadcast?
Yes -300
No +240

How many times will TNT broadcast team (Albert, Miller, Webber, Ledlow) say “Drake” during Game 6?
Over 2.5
Under 2.5

Will TNT studio team (Barkley, O’Neal, Smith, Johnson) say “Drake” during halftime show of Game 6?
Yes +200
No -300

Will the NBA publicly warn Drake regarding his on-court behavior?
Yes +750
No -2500

Will Drake be removed from Game 6 by security?
Yes +900
No -3500

The site reports that “during the broadcast” means from tipoff to final whistle and does not include halftime (except for the halftime prop). Must be shown on TV and TNT broadcast only. SportsBetting has all these props and of course OffshoreInsiders.com with the winners.

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Betting Picks: Indianapolis 500, Stanley Cup Finals, NFL Team Win Totals

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Today’s sports betting rundown is breaks down some NFL, Indianapolis 500

For example, the Indianapolis Colts 2019-2020 season predictions are posted. From the linked article, “Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are completely revitalized! Now, as they get set for the upcoming 2019 campaign, there’s only one question surrounding the Colts that football fans and betting enthusiasts need to answer. Will Luck and the Colts soar again in 2019 or will Year 2 of the Frank Reich era be a lot more difficult now that the Colts are squarely in the bullseye? Fans will be checking out OffshoreInsiders.com for ATS predictions.

How about game-by-game predictions on the Jacksonville Jaguars as well? We have that to crush the offshore sportsbook projections. These are as good as free picks you get here. “Will Foles lift Jacksonville to new heights this coming season? Will the oft-injured Leonard Fournette stay healthy for a reasonable amount of time or is Jacksonville in for another trying campaign? If you’re an NFL fan and betting aficionado that wants to know just how the Jaguars are going to fare against their value-packed NFL win total odds, then you’ve come to the right place!”

The Indianapolis 500 is here and we have the picks against the Indianapolis 500 odds. The article tells us, “The last Indy Racing League event took place at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on May 11. Simon Pagenaud won the race. Pagenaud’s been in excellent form. He’s finished in the Top 10 in 5 of the past 6 events.”

“While superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be back to lead what was the most explosive offense in the league a year ago, the Chiefs have some big question marks with Kareem Hunt gone and Tyreek Hill almost certainly sure to miss some time because of his own alleged misdeeds. Will the Chiefs put points on the board like a pinball machine in 2019 to challenge for an appearance in Super Bowl 54 or will they fail to live up to ‘Super Bowl or Bust’ expectations?” That’s all in the Kansas City Chiefs season preview.

It’s Stanley Cup Finals and the Boston Bruins take on the St. Louis Blues. “Although St. Louis head into the Stanley Cup a major underdog, a case can be made that the Blues battled the much tougher teams to make it to the Stanley Cup Finals. While Boston didn’t have to face Tampa Bay, the New York Islanders, Pittsburgh, or Washington, St. Louis had to beat some excellent teams in the Western Conference.

St. Louis had to get by Winnipeg, a Central Division foe and a 2-seed, before facing tough Dallas. Then, they had to beat the San Jose Sharks, another 2-seed. Not only that, but St. Louis had to fight past a non-call hand pass that resulted in a Game 3 loss in the San Jose series.”

OffshoreInsiders.com has vetted sportsbooks and best sports handicappers. 

Sports Betting News

Belmont Stakes Odds Posted, Free Belmont Bet

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Belmont Stakes odds are posted at US Racing. Tacitus is the favorite at 2-1 or +200. However, it is expected to be quite competitive with four horses at 5-1 or less and seven at 8-1 or less. OffshoreInsiders.com will have the winning pick.

Tacitus 2/1 200
War Of Will 7/2 350
Game Winner 4/1 400
Country House 5/1 500
Owendale 13/2 650
Code Of Honor 8/1 800
Plus Que Parfait 10/1 1000
Intrepid Heart 11/1 1100
Master Fencer 12/1 1200
Global Campaign 12/1 1200
Everfast 12/1 1200
Spinoff 16/1 1600
Sir Winston 16/1 1600
Tax 20/1 2000

US Racing has 8% rebates, 10% signup bonus, and $150 member bonus, plus free Belmont Stakes bet.

Sports Gambling Strategy Articles

Square Bettors: Stop Making This Inane Blunder, You Know You Are

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There are ceaseless illustrations of how counterintuitive understanding is one of the potent tools of the sharp player. This prose is neither my first nor last story that shares formulas befitting under the classification of winning sports systems that are contrary to expectation.

If I had .01 bitcoin for every time I’ve heard the canard about isolating teams that are much better on the road than they are at home and ride this dichotomy, I’d be a bitcoin millionaire. Okay, maybe hyperbole in an article refuting urban legends was over-the-top but grant me some literary license.

To illustrate, let’s say a team is 5-0 SU and ATS, winning by an average of 12 points per game, yet 0-6 SU and ATS on the road, losing by an average of 12 points per game, the “angle” would command to bet them at home and against them on the road.

I positively identify Sportsbook Review to be valuable for a lot of information, but this is as emblematic of square falsities of an article ever scripted about fabled home/road dichotomy. Correcting the grammar, which was every bit as inept as the claim, “The numbers don’t lie, brother, and it’s never a bad idea to really focus on bets when good home teams play bad road teams,” urging us to bet the home teams, while using inductive, not deductive evidence. As said prevarication was written about baseball, let’s commence on MLB wagering.

When a home team has a home winning percentage a whopping .490 better than the visitors away winning percentage, it must be a lock to unload on the home team? Not so fast. Under those exact parameters, the home team is 416-403, but for -144.22 units. With the juice and betting against the splits wins 96.16 units, said vig accounting for the variance in betting for and against the assumption.

When a home underdog has a home winning percentage of .150 or better than their opponent’s away winning percentage, going with the home puppy with great splits would be a good wager, correct? Conventional logic and the clones who regurgitate the same “home/road dichotomy” theory would scream yes. #FakeNews. The away favorite with inferior splits is +61.49 units and even better on the runline at +78.8 for 7.3 ROI.

Ah, but indubitably employing home/road dichotomy triumphs in the NBA, correct? Maddux Sports says so. “Consider the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Effect. This is the team that cannot be beaten at home and cannot win on the road. They exist, and you should bet on them when at home and also bet against them when on the road until the NBA oddsmakers make a home/road dichotomy adjustment.”

When a team is a home underdog of five or more in defiance of their home winning percentage being .110 or higher than the chalk’s away winning percentage has to be a gift from heaven, right? Risk with them on the money line will have high returns the folk tale would strongly insinuate. Nope, such teams are 75-200 straight up and 124-165-6 against the spread the factual data rejoins.

The reasons the oxymoronic “conventional logic” keeps the bookies prosperous and fully financed for us sharks is rudimentary. Oddsmakers comprehend public proclivities and modify accordingly. Bookies and sharps zig, while most bettors zag. But history bears witness to the fact considerable home/road splits are an outlier. Regression towards the standard home court/field advantage occurs more times than not.

Jekyll and Hyde (as so far as utterly different at home than on the road) teams are genuinely an aberration. You can bet on it.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the one-stop shop for best sports picks and vetted sportsbooks. Follow him on Twitter @OffshoreInsider His mastery of advanced analytics is why he has been a full-time gambler and handicapper since 1988. Theories are tested, enabling facts to supersede bias. Check out his sports betting YouTube channel

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Daily Sports Gambling Update: Baseball & Golf

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It’s a matchup of two young right-handers on the mound Wednesday afternoon from Cleveland as the Athletics start young ace Frankie Montas against the Tribe’s Jefry Rodriguez. The Indians are the slight home dog on the MLB betting lines. Read the full article here: Athletics vs Indians MLB Odds, Preview & Expert Pick

Arguably the worst starting pitcher in the majors this season has been Baltimore’s Dan Straily. He might be pitching for his job Wednesday night with his Orioles as huge MLB betting underdogs against the visiting New York Yankees. For the rest of the article: How to Bet Yankees vs Orioles MLB Spread & Prediction

A competitive field of professional golfers head to Colonial Country Club this week for the 2019 PGA Charles Schwab Challenge. Favorites Justin Rose and Jon Rahm offer above +1000 odds. Are Rahm or Rose worth backing? What underdogs have a chance? Keep reading for golf betting odds and analysis of this week’s PGA Tournament, the Charles Schwab Challenge. Read the full article: 2019 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds & Preview

One reason the Minnesota Twins are leading the AL Central is the surprising success of pitcher Martin Perez, who was basically signed off the scrap heap the last offseason. He’s on the bump Wednesday as the Twins visit the LA Angels, who are slight favorites on the MLB lines. The full article here: Twins vs Angels MLB Lines & Pick for Wednesday Night

Twins vs Angels is going to be a close one.