Sharp Moves, Public Bets, NFL and College Entering Thursday Night Football

Entering TNF, here are the biggest public and sharp bets and the biggest line moves. Huge weekend of winners from Joe Duffy up at OffshoreInsiders.com   

CFB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baylor, LSU, Oregon, Old Dominion

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Old Dominion, Baylor, Ohio State, Ole Miss

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Ohio, Air Force, Ole Miss, Indiana

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds (preseason): Wisconsin +5.5 to -3.5, Central Florida -2.5 to -11.5, Oregon -1.5 to -10.5, Florida State P to -6.5 at MyBookie

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets (not blindly road favorites): LA Rams, New England, Dallas, Seattle, 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Dallas, LA Rams, Houston

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Washington, Baltimore (v. KC), New Orleans (no Brees), Denver

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds (based on preseason lines): New England -10 to -22.5, Dallas -15 to -22.5, Arizona +3.5 to -2.5 (Newton) at Bovada live NFL lines

Week 3 NFL ATS Picks, Parlay, Moneyline, Totals Locks

Professional gamblers are licking their chops about week 3 NFL picks and betting tips. MyBookie NFL odds are posted and here are some super sharp tips and betting advice. Follow the Twitter sports bettingfeed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel 

Some betting trends of note:

  • New England is 41-15 ATS at home
  • San Francisco is 1-13-2 ATS as home favorites 
  • Baltimore is 9-1 to the number as road underdogs
  • Pittsburgh has gone under 28-9 on the road
  • Denver has gone under 11 straight games
  • The Chiefs have gone under 49-19-5 at home

To moneyline and straight up betting. Win your office pool and also make a fortune gambling. Make sure you check at JoeDuffy.net Saturday and Sunday morning to check the updated super sharp report for both college Saturday and NFL Sunday.

On the other side, Patrick Mahomes has picked up where he left off last season, so this one should be a thriller. There are a couple of reasons to like the Chiefs here, starting with the fact that they have won 8 of their last 10 at home. They are also 9-2 SU in their last 11 games versus conference foes.
NFL Week 3 Betting Trends
Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played in September
Chiefs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chiefs are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the AFC conference

See link below for all the details

Joe Duffy has Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football winners Get the picks now    

Now let’s focus on beating the NFL lines for week 3 totals betting.

Every team in the NFL goes out of their way to ensure that their key personnel make it out of preseason with getting hurt. Some teams even go as far as making their starting QB sit out the 4 games played in preseason. Whether that’s a good idea or not is always up for debate, but the reality is that you cannot protect players once the real action begins. Just ask the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have now lost QB Ben Roethlisberger for the season with an elbow injury that will require surgery.

Full article below

Of course the most popular is betting against the point spread and we definitely have that.

You couldn’t have two teams any further apart after just two weeks of the season. The have lost their opening 2 games, surrendering a total of 102 points in the process. On the flipside, you have the Cowboys are coming into Week 3 after winning their first two games. Their offense is clicking and averaging 33 PPG to this point.
The Dolphins have now failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games, while the Cowboys are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12. It looks to me like the Dolphins are onto another thumping this coming Sunday.

Full bettor’s report below

Parlay betting has the highest return and here is a peak at your best parlay wagers.

Could be that top running back James Conner is out for a while too. He was to undergo tests to determine the severity of his injured knee Monday. Conner went down late in Sunday’s loss to Seattle but not before contributing 45 yards (33 rushing, 12 receiving) and a touchdown on 13 touches. Jaylen Samuels would take his place.
The 49ers improved to 2-0 with a win in Cincinnati on Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 17-of-25 passes for 297 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Matt Breida rushed 12 times for 121 yards in the win. With Tevin Coleman out, Breida started and was the featured back.

Spread betting preview below

Top ATS trends for this week:


@JeffNadu and Joe Duffy Break Down Oregon vs. Stanford

Oregon-Stanford preview from Jeff Nadu, the Big Man on Campus and legendary handicapper Joe Duffy. Oregon is laying 10.5 with a total of 58.5 at Bovada with a total of 58.5. The contest opened the Ducks laying 8 with a total of 60.5.

A stunning 88 percent of bettors and 89 percent of wagers are on the OVER. Even more earth-shattering is that 75 percent of bets and 99 percent of cash is on the under.

Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football. Get the picks now

Friday Night Betting Pick Air Force vs. Boise State

Air Force takes on Boise State Friday night and the top football handicapper Joe Duffy has the spread winner. Boise State is down to -8 with a total of 55. They opened up at -9.5 and 54. Underdog Air Force is getting 52 percent of bets and 76 percent of money on them. Though 55 percent of bets are on the over, the same 55 percentile of money is on the under.

Joe Duffy has Friday night college football total at sports betting picks headquarters.