Understatement of the century is to say Joe Duffy is on fire. He has free picks plus the most critical weather report of the year for college football betting and NFL picks from OffshoreInsiders.com Joe Duffy has a massive college football portfolio is up! Thanksgiving, we have Thursday Game of the Year Buffalo-Dallas, plus Bears-Lions side and Egg Bowl total. Friday, Friday Afternoon Total of the Year among seven Friday college football, two Wise Guys. Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monthly Archives: November 2019
Week 12 NFL Sharp Betting Report, 2 Free NBA Picks
It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville
NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:
- 49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel
- Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week
- Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable
- Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful
- Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving
- Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards
- Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable
NFL weather.
High Precipitation
Game | Precip % |
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots | 66% |
Strong Winds
Game | Wind Speed |
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns | 15 mph |
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets | 15 mph |
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles | 15 mph |
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills | 16 mph |
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins | 16 mph |
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added Get the picks now
NBA
Mavericks at Rockets
Houston -5 with o/u 232
- Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses
- Favorites or pick said situation 36-31
- Dallas won four straight but hitting road
- Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18
- 67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak
Pick: HOUSTON -5
Pelicans at Clippers
LA -12 with o/u 234
- New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
Top NFL teams in terms of MOC:
Team | ATS Record | Margin of cover |
Baltimore | 5-5-0 | 9.9 |
San Francisco | 5-4-1 | 9.2 |
New England | 7-3-0 | 7.0 |
Minnesota | 6-5-0 | 3.1 |
Best teams to bet against in terms of MOC
Team | ATS Record | Margin of cover |
Cincinnati | 4-6-0 | -6.5 |
Washington | 3-7-0 | -5.8 |
NY Giants | 3-7-0 | -4.8 |
Miami | 5-5-0 | -4.5 |
Cleveland | 3-6-1 | -3.3 |
Free Picks, NFL Weather, Sportsbook Spy Consensus Picks
Your daily wager information comes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!
Huge day for Joe Duffy’s picks at http://offshoreinsiders.com 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added.
Free Picks, NFL Weather, Sportsbook Spy Consensus Picks
Your daily wager information comes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!
Huge day for Joe Duffy’s picks at http://offshoreinsiders.com 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added.
Critical College Football Weather for Bettors
Serious weather conditions to worry about today in college football. It’s most precipitation but some winds too. LateInfo has not lost in more than a month in college football. What is up at 4 ET is another lock. Get the picks now
High Precipitation
Game | Precip % |
Samford at Auburn | 75% |
South Alabama at Georgia State | 75% |
Texas State at Appalachian St | 75% |
Marshall at Charlotte U | 72% |
Texas A&M at Georgia | 76% |
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech | 72% |
Duke at Wake Forest | 72% |
Strong Winds
Game | Wind Speed |
San Diego State at Hawaii | 21 mph |
Free Pick NBA From #1 Basketball Betting Service
Joe Duffy is rocking and rolling off a 2-1 night last night. Three NBA winners for Friday as we sweep. Get the picks now
NBA free pick:
MIAMI -5 Chicago
Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 598-467-14.
You saw what Duffy has for today, but a bigger weekend is in store. Duffy is 23-12 football. Saturday, two college football Wise Guys and five college football Majors. I am 15-7 NFL. A bigger NFL portfolio is coming, but NFL Game of the Year is already up at OffshoreInsiders.com
College Football and NFL Tickets vs. Money, Football Betting System
Gee whiz, as we enter Thursday night, it’s again road favorites that the public is pounding on. Here is the tickets vs. money breakdown for week 12 NFL and week 13 college football. Here is the sharp report for NFL. The piping-hot Falcons are the exception to the rule as the home favorites are the fourth most popular public bet. The road underdog New York Giants are the second most lopsided bet in terms of cash.
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle, Atlanta
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, New York Giants, Baltimore
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York Jets, Denver
Betting factoid and winning system: Teams with a winning percentage of .300 or less off consecutive double-digit wins are a stunning 6-1 all-time for 85.7 percent ATS. That applies to the Falcons.
On the college gridiron:
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Air Force, San Jose State, Florida Atlantic, Miami Florida
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Miami Florida, Temple
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Texas Tech, Iowa State, Oregon State, South Florida
Joe Duffy is blistering hot entering the weekend. His football updates will move a lot of money on very likely winners at OffshoreInsiders.com
NBA Champions Odds Since Substantial Love Movement
The Golden State Warriors have worse division odds than the Knicks, Bulls, Cavaliers, Hornets and Wizards.
Of course, the numbers reflect the stacked Pacific division the Warriors compete in that holds the top two title contenders (Clippers, Lakers). Still, who would’ve thought Golden State would have worse Finals odds than the Suns one month into the season.
Below are comparative charts that display odds from the day before the season started (10/21/19) through November 19, which spans exactly 30 days.
Current SportsBetting odds (subject to change):
Championship | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) | |
Clippers | 7/2 | 3/1 | |
Lakers | 5/1 | 3/1 | |
Bucks | 5/1 | 6/1 | |
Rockets | 8/1 | 9/1 | |
76ers | 9/1 | 8/1 | |
Warriors | 12/1 | 100/1 | |
Jazz | 12/1 | 16/1 | |
Nuggets | 16/1 | 16/1 | |
Celtics | 16/1 | 16/1 | |
Raptors | 25/1 | 20/1 | |
Nets | 25/1 | 50/1 | |
Trail Blazers | 33/1 | 66/1 | |
Pacers | 33/1 | 33/1 | |
Mavericks | 40/1 | 66/1 | |
Heat | 50/1 | 25/1 | |
Spurs | 66/1 | 80/1 | |
Pelicans | 80/1 | 100/1 | |
Thunder | 100/1 | 150/1 | |
Magic | 100/1 | 100/1 | |
Kings | 125/1 | 150/1 | |
Hawks | 125/1 | 250/1 | |
Timberwolves | 150/1 | 50/1 | |
Pistons | 150/1 | 150/1 | |
Bulls | 150/1 | 250/1 | |
Wizards | 250/1 | 250/1 | |
Grizzlies | 250/1 | 250/1 | |
Knicks | 250/1 | 250/1 | |
Cavaliers | 500/1 | 250/1 | |
Hornets | 500/1 | 500/1 | |
Suns | 500/1 | 80/1 | |
Eastern | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) | |
Bucks | 3/2 | 2/1 | |
76ers | 2/1 | 3/1 | |
Celtics | 8/1 | 5/1 | |
Nets | 8/1 | 20/1 | |
Raptors | 10/1 | 9/1 | |
Pacers | 12/1 | 12/1 | |
Heat | 14/1 | 9/1 | |
Magic | 40/1 | 50/1 | |
Pistons | 50/1 | 50/1 | |
Hawks | 50/1 | 66/1 | |
Bulls | 66/1 | 100/1 | |
Wizards | 100/1 | 80/1 | |
Knicks | 100/1 | 100/1 | |
Cavaliers | 150/1 | 100/1 | |
Hornets | 150/1 | 150/1 | |
Western | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) | |
Clippers | 2/1 | 2/1 | |
Lakers | 7/2 | 2/1 | |
Rockets | 7/2 | 5/1 | |
Warriors | 7/1 | 66/1 | |
Jazz | 8/1 | 9/1 | |
Nuggets | 10/1 | 9/1 | |
Trail Blazers | 20/1 | 40/1 | |
Mavericks | 25/1 | 40/1 | |
Spurs | 40/1 | 50/1 | |
Pelicans | 50/1 | 66/1 | |
Thunder | 66/1 | 100/1 | |
Kings | 80/1 | 100/1 | |
Timberwolves | 100/1 | 33/1 | |
Grizzlies | 150/1 | 150/1 | |
Suns | 250/1 | 50/1 | |
Atlantic | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
76ers | -150 | -110 |
Celtics | +350 | +175 |
Nets | +600 | +3300 |
Raptors | +600 | +450 |
Knicks | +10000 | +10000 |
Central | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
Bucks | -500 | -1500 |
Pacers | +400 | +800 |
Pistons | +1600 | +5000 |
Bulls | +5000 | +10000 |
Cavaliers | +15000 | +10000 |
Northwest | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
Jazz | +125 | +150 |
Nuggets | +140 | -125 |
Trail Blazers | +550 | +1400 |
Timberwolves | +2000 | +1400 |
Thunder | +2500 | +5000 |
Pacific | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
Clippers | -150 | -175 |
Lakers | +275 | +150 |
Warriors | +350 | +25000 |
Kings | +5000 | +5000 |
Suns | +25000 | +2500 |
Southeast | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
Heat | -125 | -400 |
Magic | +175 | +300 |
Hawks | +700 | +2000 |
Wizards | +2000 | +10000 |
Hornets | +5000 | +10000 |
Southwest | (10/21/19) | (11/19/19) |
Rockets | -275 | -1000 |
Spurs | +450 | +1200 |
Mavericks | +800 | +1200 |
Pelicans | +1000 | +3300 |
Grizzlies | +10000 | +5000 |
Beat the SportsBetting odds with the best picks from OffshoreInsiders.com
Jackson, Wilson Top NFL MVP Odds; Updated Rookie of the Year
A week after Russell Wilson claimed the MVP top spot, he’s been supplanted by another dangerous quarterback.
Lamar Jackson is the latest MVP favorite, according to SportsBetting. Jackson started the season with 30/1 odds to take home the honor.
In the Rookie of the Year race, Josh Jacobs is running away from the field as he now has 1/2 or -200 odds in that category.
Current MVP and ROY odds from SportsBetting
MVP
Lamar Jackson +125
Russell Wilson +200
Aaron Rodgers +1200
Deshaun Watson +1200
Patrick Mahomes +1200
Christian McCaffrey +1600
Dak Prescott +1800
Jimmy Garoppolo +2500
Dalvin Cook +3300
Kirk Cousins +3300
Drew Brees +5000
Michael Thomas +5000
Tom Brady +5000
ROY
Josh Jacobs -200
Kyler Murray +175
D.K. Metcalf +1600
Daniel Jones +2500
David Montgomery +2500
The sportsbook has also set odds on which team Cam Newton will be on next season, and the Panthers aren’t favored.
Another fun speculation prop bet on the board, mostly prompted by Philip Rivers’ poor outing Monday night, involves three quarterbacks selected in the 2004 NFL Draft and which of them will retire first.
Week 12 prop bets:
Cam Newton team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season
Chicago Bears +250
Cincinnati Bengals +300
Carolina Panthers +400
Denver Broncos +500
Miami Dolphins +500
Los Angeles Chargers +900
Pittsburgh Steelers +900
Tennessee Titans +900
New England Patriots +1000
Tampa Bay Bucs +1200
Who will announce retirement first?
Eli Manning -200
Philip Rivers +200
Ben Roethlisberger +300
Finally, here are the current miss/make playoffs odds for 23 teams SportsBetting
The best NFL picks are at OffshoreInsiders.com
NBA Free Pick, Sharp Betting Info Wednesday, November 20
If you follow us on Twitter you have the betting percentages and breakdown of Toledo-Buffalo, Akron-Miami Ohio. There is an underdog that is a strong public bet tonight. Now here is the NBA sharp and square analysis:
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Toronto, Miami, Boston
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, San Antonio, Philadelphia
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Minnesota
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: LA Clippers opened -5 to -7
Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Yes, it hurt sales short-term that I did not release a football pick Monday or Tuesday. But my talent and credibility is why I remain on top of this industry after 31 years. Quality over quantity saw Western Conference Total of Month win with Golden State under easily. Finally, Wise Guy college football side Wednesday. Two NBA led by Wise Guy and college basketball. Get the picks now
Free pick from NBA
UTAH -3 Minnesota
Road favorites off a loss under specific situations especially is 748-597-20. A subsystem is 708-555-19.