After TCU-Baylor UNDER and FSU-Boston College UNDER bad bets, you know the bookies would pay—big time. And so they did. Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com, magical advanced analytics went 9-1 NFL Sunday and 10-1 for the week. How did you do on your own?
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
Thursday it was:
Major
LA Chargers-Oakland OVER 48
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 716-517-25.
Then came Sunday NFL
NFL
Wise Guy
Cincinnati-Baltimore UNDER 44 1 ET
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1452-1192-55. This includes 295-157-13 since 2014.
Major
NY JETS +3 NY Giants 1
This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.
NY Jets-NY Giants OVER 44.5 1
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 717-517-25.
Tennessee-Kansas City OVER 49.5 1
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 717-517-25.
Chicago-Detroit UNDER 41.5 1
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1452-1102-55. Since 2014, it is 295-157-13.
CLEVELAND -2.5 -117 Buffalo 1
When a team is favorite or small underdog despite substantial discrepancy in records implying they should be a pretty big underdog, going with such team is 63-25 for 71.6 percent. Bad ats teams are a good bet at 217-137.
ATLANTA +14 New Orleans 1
There are a ton of angles, not all overlapping either, that say to go with much colder team or horrible ats team. Many involve at least 400 games, one is 323-243. Another that says bad team benefit from a bye is 36-14 for 72 percent.
Green Bay-Carolina UNDER 47 4:25
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1452-1102-55. Since 2014, it is 295-157-13.
Pittsburgh-LA Rams UNDER 43.5 4:25
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1452-1102-55. Since 2014, it is 295-157-13.
Minnesota-Dallas OVER 48 SNF
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 717-517-25.
NBA
Wise Guy
Portland-Atlanta OVER 227.5
Interconfernce Total of Month
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1131-838-62. When it involves two over teams, it goes under at 115-48 rate for 70.7 percent.
MILWAUKEE -7 Oklahoma City
Road favorites off loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 746-592-20, including 707-550-19 subset, plus an even better subset of 158-90. And yet another subset that is 38-16-1 all-time for 70.4. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 368-284-8.
Major
Brooklyn-Phoenix UNDER 232.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1652-1327-69.