Over Under Betting Strategy: Totally Nuts in Sports Betting

Superstar handicapper Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. He explains why betting unders so often is the sharpest of sharp bets. Duffy has spectacular betting systems that pro gamblers use and destroy the bookies. Duffy’s daily wagers are the strongest in gambling. Here are some show notes;

• Twice lost unders in OT that ended regulation more than 30 points under the total
• Totals excruciating to bet
o MLB late innings
o Bomb and foul, especially NBA
o Overtimes, especially CFB
• Phycological juice
o Never make a bet based on which is “easier” to root for
• Even out?
• Highest percentage of unders in college football 
• Oddsmakers have to adjust to public
• No pain, no gain

Over Under Betting Strategy: Totally Nuts in Sports Betting

Superstar handicapper Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. He explains why betting unders so often is the sharpest of sharp bets. Duffy has spectacular betting systems that pro gamblers use and destroy the bookies. Duffy’s daily wagers are the strongest in gambling. Here are some show notes;

• Twice lost unders in OT that ended regulation more than 30 points under the total
• Totals excruciating to bet
o MLB late innings
o Bomb and foul, especially NBA
o Overtimes, especially CFB
• Phycological juice
o Never make a bet based on which is “easier” to root for
• Even out?
• Highest percentage of unders in college football 
• Oddsmakers have to adjust to public
• No pain, no gain

Critical NBA Injury Report

Entire card 7:30 ET or later for Joe Duffy. Look out bookies. JDP off a 2-0 sweep and the best is ahead. March Madness is around the corner it is it going to be bad for the books. Three NBA totals. Another sweep is in store. Get the picks now 

Updated Injuries:

Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL vs OKC, Probable 

Luka Doncic      DAL @ MIA, Probable to Questionable 

Khris Middleton MIL vs OKC, Out

De’Aaron Fox    SAC @ MEM, Questionable 

Serge Ibaka      TOR vs CHR, Out

Bruce Brown     DET @ PHX, Questionable 

Danilo Gallinari OKC @ MIL, Out

Trae Young       ATL vs BKN, Confirmed

Bam Adebayo   MIA vs DAL, Confirmed

Fred VanVleet   TOR vs CHR, Out

College Basketball Picks, News, Notes

Look out bookies. JDP off a 2-0 sweep and the best is ahead. March Madness is around the corner it is it going to be bad for the books. Three NBA totals. Another sweep is in store. Get the picks now 

CBB

Davidson at Dayton (-11, 141)

Dayton won 15 straight by average of 20 ppg 

Cain’t manufacture emotion 

National TV, plus Davidson a named team in that traditional miid-major power 

Vitale going to be there

Gary and Gudmundsson 

Dayton’s only two losses in OT

The pick: Dayoton 

Wright St at Northern Kentucky (-3.5. 145.5)

Wright State won by 32 in first meeting

Though team won first meeting generally the good bet, about 50-50 if team lost by 30 or more and are favorites in rematch 

NKU gotten healthy while WSU sliding after 9-1 start

Dantez Walton is NKU’s leading scorer

–14-4 SU with him, 7-4 without 

Wright State is deep and loves to play fast 

The pick: Northern Kentucky 

Quick Hitters

Washington St at Washington (-9.5.137)

Washington just snapped nine-game losing streak 

Fade home teams off a win that snapped a losing streak of nine or more is 62-48 (Washington State)

WSU expected to get back starting point guard Isaac Bonton, who missed three games

— Bonton averages 14.8 points and 4.0 assists per game

The pick: Washingotn State 

Texas St at UT Arlington (-1, 134)

Independent computer predictions: UT Arlington 66-65, 65-65, 66-65

The pick: UNDER 

Tom Brady, Philip Rivers Next Teams: Bet on It At Offshore Bookie

The Tom Brady free agency saga seared into the headlines once again Thursday as some media sources strongly suggested that Brady will be on the market in the middle of March.

Of course, that means it is time to take another look at Brady’s next team odds, which are provided by SportsBetting

Odds were initially opened on January 5, and they’ve bounced around ever since. The Raiders have been the favorite for three weeks while an earlier favorite, the Chargers, have slipped to third. 

The odds of Brady returning to New England are a tossup with -120 odds each way. 

Additionally, Philip Rivers’ next team odds have also been updated at the sportsbook. The Colts and Bucs remain the favorites despite Las Vegas reportedly having interest in the veteran.

Will Tom Brady be on Patriots in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Yes -120

No -120

Tom Brady team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Las Vegas Raiders  +175

Indianapolis Colts  +200

Los Angeles Chargers  +300

Tampa Bay Buccaneers  +900

Tennessee Titans  +900

Dallas Cowboys +1200

Miami Dolphins  +1400

Chicago Bears  +1600

Cleveland Browns +2000

Green Bay Packers  +2500

San Francisco 49ers +3300

Philip Rivers team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Indianapolis Colts  +150

Tampa Bay Buccaneers  +200
Carolina Panthers +500

Tennessee Titans  +500

Miami Dolphins  +500

Las Vegas Raiders  +1000
Dallas Cowboys +3300
New England Patriots +3300

Tiger Woods Props Lead Golf Odds 2020

With somewhat of “slow week” in golf due to a less-than-stellar tournament field in Florida, we thought it might be a good time to look at some interesting golf odds for the 2020 season. Top sports handicapping website OffshoreInsiders.com has the details. 

SportsBetting has created a slew of futures odds and prop bets that can be fun to follow throughout the year, including whether or not Tiger Woods will serve milkshakes for desert at the Masters Champions Dinner. Currently, the “Yes” is a slight favorite.

Will Tiger Woods serve milkshakes at Masters Champions Dinner?

Yes -150 

No +110

People can also wager on the players to make the U.S. Ryder Cup team, who will win a major and who will lead the money list. 

There are also specific props for Woods, Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy regarding wins, majors, gold medals and more. 

Which Will Happen First in 2020 

An American wins the Open Championship  (12/5)

Woods or McIlroy wins the Masters  (7/2)

Thomas, Cantlay or Schauffele wins The Players  (5/1)

USA wins the Ryder Cup  (13/2)

An American wins Gold at Olympics  (15/2)

Koepka or D. Johnson wins PGA Championship  (8/1)

Koepka or Woods wins the US Open  (11/1)

None of these happen  (9/2)

Player to Qualify for U.S. Ryder Cup TeamPlayer to Win a Major in 2020
Brooks Koepka1/16Rory McIlroy7/4
Dustin Johnson1/8Brooks Koepka11/5
Tiger Woods1/4Dustin Johnson5/2
Justin Thomas1/3Jon Rahm11/4
Patrick Reed1/3Justin Thomas7/2
Xander Schauffele1/3Tiger Woods4/1
Webb Simpson2/5Justin Rose5/1
Bryson DeChambeau10/13Adam Scott6/1
Patrick Cantlay10/13Bryson DeChambeau6/1
Tony Finau10/13Rickie Fowler6/1
Gary Woodland5/6Xander Schauffele6/1
Matt Kuchar1/1Jordan Spieth13/2
Rickie Fowler1/1Patrick Cantlay13/2
Jordan Spieth3/2Tommy Fleetwood13/2
Bubba Watson2/1Patrick Reed7/1
Brandt Snedeker11/4Jason Day15/2
Kevin Kisner7/2Hideki Matsuyama8/1
Phil Mickelson7/2Tony Finau8/1
Billy Horschel9/2Webb Simpson8/1
Chez Reavie5/1Francesco Molinari12/1
Colin Morikawa5/1Gary Woodland12/1
Charles Howell III11/2Louis Oosthuizen12/1
Kevin Na11/2Paul Casey12/1
Jim Furyk6/1Shane Lowry16/1
Max Homa6/1
Scottie Scheffler6/1PGA Money List Winner
Cameron Champ8/1Rory McIlroy7/4
JB Holmes8/1Justin Thomas5/2
Keegan Bradley8/1Jon Rahm6/1
Brendan Steele10/1Brooks Koepka18/1
Kevin Streelman10/1Patrick Reed18/1
Ryan Palmer10/1Webb Simpson22/1
Andrew Landry12/1Xander Schauffele22/1
Brendon Todd12/1Adam Scott28/1
Chan Kim12/1Tiger Woods28/1
Tom Hoge12/1Bryson DeChambeau33/1
Joel Dahmen16/1Dustin Johnson33/1
Lucas Glover16/1Hideki Matsuyama33/1
Ryan Moore16/1Patrick Cantlay33/1
Andrew Putnam20/1Tony Finau50/1
Jason Kokrak20/1Cameron Smith100/1
JT Poston20/1Justin Rose100/1
Nate Lashley20/1Marc Leishman100/1
Vaughn Taylor20/1Matt Kuchar100/1
Kurt Kitayama25/1Rickie Fowler100/1
Scott Brown25/1Andrew Landry125/1
Collin Morikawa125/1
Tiger Woods Wins in 2020 Jordan Spieth125/1
One or more4/7Joaquin Niemann150/1
None5/4Lanto Griffin150/1
Two or more5/2Matthew Wolff150/1
Three or more10/1Viktor Hovland800/1
Four or more28/1
Brooks Koepka Wins in 2020 
Tiger Woods Major Wins in 2020 One or more4/11
None 1/8Two or more1/1
At least one4/1None9/4
At least two18/1Three or more7/2
At least three90/1Four or more14/1
All four250/1
Brooks Koepka Major Wins in 2020 
Tiger Woods Wins Gold at OlympicsNone 5/13
Yes9/1At least one11/5
No1/20At least two12/1
At least three66/1
Rory McIlroy Major Wins in 2020 All four200/1
None 1/2
At least one7/4Brooks Koepka Wins Gold at Olympics
At least two10/1Yes7/1
At least three66/1No1/16
All four200/1
Americans Major Wins in 2020 
Rory McIlroy Wins a MajorExactly two7/5
Yes7/4Exactly three2/1
No5/11Exactly one7/2
All four8/1
None 

College Basketball Free Picks, Betting Notes; NBA Injuries

Is there a logical reason to be on the outside looking in when it comes to The Great One, Stevie Vincent’s bets? Off yet another sweep last night, TGO is 11-5 in his recent explosion. Three winners led by two Level 5. Get the picks now

Critical news and notes for today. 

WIS @ MICH (-6.5, 130.5)

Isaiah Livers back for Michigan, deep and hot

Wisconsin lives off three, but Michigan defends it well 

–40 percent of Wisconsin points from downtown 

–Five players with at least 25 three-point shots 

Michigan seventh best team in nation defending three 

Independent computer predictions: Michigan 67-60; 68-60; 68-61

Pick: OVER 

COL (-9, 128) @ CAL 

Cal a decent 10-6 SU and ats at home

Barring a collapse, Colorado in tournament, so no pressure but motivation for style points

Tightest race on country 

–Big road favorites solid play late in year

Independent computer predictions: Colorado 69-60, 69-57; 67-58

The pick: Colorado 

OSU (-8.5, 145) @ NEB 

Barring a collapse, Ohio State in tournament, so no pressure but motivation for style points

Nebraska has lost 4-of-5 at home, outscored by 13.8 ppg 

–Big road favorites solid play late in year

Independent computer predictions: Ohio State 77-67; 79-65; 77-68

The pick: OHIO STATE

ORST @ ORE (-10.5, 136.5)

Oregon State won three straight in Civil War

OSU has slowed down UO senior point guard Payton Pritchard

Oregon should have N’Faly Dante and Francis Okoro in lineup

–Dante missed nine games but probably limited basis 

–5 star recruit has missed more than he’s played’

— He’s averaging 6.2 points and 2.7 rebounds in 14.4 minutes per game this season

Independent computer predictions: Oregon 75-65; 74-64; 76-66

Pick: OVER 

Anthony Davis LAL @ GS, Probable 

Joel Embiid, PHI vs NY, Out

Draymond Green, GS vs LAL, 75%

Victor Oladipo IND vs POR, will play

NBA Free Play, Critical Injuries

Grandmaster is 3-1 with Wise Guys. Six winning picks led by two Wise Guys, including NBA Total of Month. Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick:

PHILADELPHIA -8 Cleveland

Big away favorites versus opponent off win is 478-320-14. 

NBA injuries:

Andre Drummond, CLE vs PHI , Out

Trae Young, ATL vs ORL, Questionable 

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs MIN, Questionable 

LaMarcus Aldridge, SAN vs DAL, Out

Elfrid Payton, NY @ CHR, Doubtful

Eric Gordon, HOU vs MEM, Out

Dewayne Dedmon, ATL vs ORL, Doubtful

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Clippers 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Philadelphia, LA Clippers 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Pittsburgh opened +1.5 now -1

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time. 

4 Free College Basketball Picks

I went 3-2 overall led by a Wise Guy sweep New York OVER, Milwaukee OVER. Six NBA winners led by another 2-0 Wise Guy sweep. Get the picks now

Duke (-11, 150) at Wake Forest

Duke 12-0 series by 15 ppg

Devils freshman 55 percent of scoring including 62 last five games

Teams that won first meeting by at least 31 are 741-637-23 (Duke)

-54.5 percent when laying at least nine points in rematch (though better if rematch is at home)

Independent computer predictions: Duke 80-70; 84-69, 80-71

The pick: Duke

Iowa at MSU (-7, 152) 

Iowa F Luka Garza 23.7 ppg, 9.6 rebounds 

-MSU Marcus Bingham Jr. has played well against elite big men 

Michigan State can counter with small ball line-up and make Garza run 

MSU get support from players other than Cassius Winston or Xavier Tillman versus Nebraska 

Look for MSU to go with smaller line-up and build on secondary scoring

Independent computer predictions: MSU 79-73;79-71; 78-73

The pick: OVER 

Kanas St. at  Baylor) (-15, 124.5) 

Kansas State lost eight straight road by 10 ppg 

Baylor among best defense and K State horrible on offense 

Fading teams off loss, snapping a winning streak of 12 or more is 114-77-5 (Kansas State)

Large underdogs in a game expected to be low-scoring 305-264-14

Computer likes fave 

Independent computer predictions: Baylor 70-53; 70-52, 72-49

The pick: Kansas State

NCST at UNC (-2.5, 145) 

UNC seven straight conference losses 

UNC 77 percent of scoring from senior, including 85 percent last five games

Home teams lost seven or more straight good fade at 560-515-29, even better in conference play

Independent computer predictions: NC State 73-72, 72-72; 73-72

The pick: NC State at 5 Dimes