Monthly Archives: April 2020
AP NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2020-21
Odds are set for the Associated Press NFL Coach of the Year for the 2020-21 season. Do the Player of the Year odds reveal a decent dark horse? Odds are from Bovada
The favorite, Belichick is of course intriguing. If the Patriots make the playoffs in the post-Brady era, he would be tough to beat. There are plenty of rumors of Deshaun Watson landing in New England, which would lessen the shock of the Pats making the postseason. But if Belichick accomplished this with unproven Jarrett Stidham, he’d be a virtual lock for Coach of the Year.
I’ve preached for years how use oddsmakers’ knowledge against them. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is +1000 to win the MVP, putting him as the No. 4 favorite. Should Murray make a serious run at MVP, his coach Kliff Kingsbury would get serious consideration for COY and at 18-1 is very tempting. At the same odds, Kevin Stefanski is in very good position. He is taking over last year’s bust Cleveland, a team that has nowhere to go but up.
If Baker Mayfield rises to the level of elite QB—and he showed great flashes two years ago—newcomer Stefanski becomes the favorite.
All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1.
AP NFL Coach of the Year 2020-21
- Bill Belichick+650
- Kyle Shanahan+1600
- Mike Vrabel+2000
- Andy Reid+2000
- Bruce Arians+1200
- Frank Reich+2000
- · Kevin Stefanski+1800
- Kliff Kingsbury+1800
- Mike McCarthy+2000
- Sean McDermott+1800
- John Harbaugh+2200
- Sean Payton+2400
- Brian Flores+1600
- Mike Tomlin+2800
- Sean McVay+3000
- Vic Fangio+2500
- Zac Taylor+2800
- Anthony Lynn+3000
- Doug Pederson+2500
- Pete Carroll+2800
- Ron Rivera+3000
- Dan Quinn+3000
- Matt LaFleur+3300
- Mike Zimmer+2500
- Matt Rhule+4500
- Joe Judge+3500
- Jon Gruden+4000
- Matt Nagy+4000
- Adam Gase+5500
- Bill O’Brien+5500
- Doug Marrone+5500
- Matt Patricia+5000
OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy, has been winning since scorephone days. Surely you follow us on Twitter
Sports Betting Podcasts-Do Not Bet With Broken Heart
Simply the best in the business, Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com sports betting podcast tells us one of the most common blunders that middling gamblers make. That’s betting with a broken heart or more accurately, not betting. The Grandmaster reveals all
Sports Betting Podcasts-Do Not Bet With Broken Heart
Simply the best in the business, Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com sports betting podcast tells us one of the most common blunders that middling gamblers make. That’s betting with a broken heart or more accurately, not betting. The Grandmaster reveals all
Sports Handicapping Strategy: Never Bet With Your Broken Heart
In my handicapping infancy in the late 80s, the Dutchman (recall that bloke scorephone junkies?) was doling out copies of some advice column along the lines of Golden Rules of Handicapping. I can’t even recollect most of the provisions, but do recall they ranged from the obvious like, “Bet with your head, not your heart,” to the total bullshit, “Only wager on an underdog to cover if you think they will win outright.”
All the other theorems were fairly unmemorable. I can’t “credit” the author, because I’m not sure who it was. Yes, stuff did go viral back then. However, previous to high tech overtaking the world, going viral meant a 15thgeneration photocopied note changing hands.
Lost in the prudent, yet blatantly evident “not betting with your heart” is a more significant reality: don’t gamble with your broken heart. I’m distressed at how often I hear something along the lines of, “I refuse to bet on any game involving the Detroit Lions. Each time I bet on them whether for or against, I get it wrong.”
Even though I haven’t done an academic inquisition, the ensuing soliloquy generally reveals a very small sample size. Further conversations uncovers a customary paradigm is that the weeper bets on foregoing team to repeat the performance of the last time they wagered for or against them. That is, if the team they bet on got annihilated, they will bet against that team, anticipating to again put up a fiasco effort.
“They lost outright as a 10-point favorite. Next time, I bet against them as an underdog and they won by 20 points,” is a familiar sounding shrieking of annoyance. The fact that sharps bet on capricious teams to be unpredictable notwithstanding, it’s a knee-jerk reflex to eliminate possibilities of betting for or against a certain squad based on short-term heartache.
It’s as preposterous as swearing off unders because a few tormenting setbacks. Most of us have been there, but only squares abandon the ship.
Perchance there is a discernable cause and effect why someone has a bad read on a team, objectively assess and determine why. Make alterations accordingly. But if you are invoking your next bet based on how a certain team executed the last time you place a bet on them—the only bad read you have is on how prosperous handicapping functions.
The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. He’s been dominating handicapping publicly since the 1980s scorephone days. With all the time off during coronavirus, he both added to his systems arsenal and started the dad jokes YouTube channel Hey Abby D with his daughter. The first video is below.
Post Draft NFL Rookie Of Year Odds Among Many Prop Bets
The draft is in the books so now it’s time to project what these highly-touted rookies will accomplish during their inaugural NFL seasons.
SportsBetting has put up a ton of odds surrounding the 2020 rookie class, and this page will have current numbers throughout the offseason:
It’s no surprise that Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa lead the Offensive ROY list, which you can find below (as well as DROY candidates). Justin Herbert has 12/1 odds, but he and Tagovailoa are decent underdogs just to be their team’s starters in Week 1.
And what might be considered an ominous sign for the ever-questionable health of Carson Wentz, Jalen Hurts has 50-50 odds to start one game for the Eagles this season.
Additionally, there are over/under season statistical prop bets for these players:
Chase Young o/u 8.5 sacks
Clyde Edwards-Helaire o/u 950 rushing yards
D’Andre Swift o/u 625 rushing yards
Jeff Okudah o/u 3 interceptions
Jonathan Taylor o/u 550 rushing yards
Justin Jefferson o/u 750 receiving yards
CeeDee Lamb o/u 850 receiving yards
Henry Ruggs III o/u 800 receiving yards
Jalen Reagor o/u 700 receiving yards
Jerry Jeudy o/u 900 receiving yards
Joe Burrow o/u 16.5 interceptions, 22.5 passing TDs, 3800 passing yards
Justin Herbert o/u 17.5 interceptions, 21 passing TDs, 3400 passing yards
Tua Tagovailoa o/u 15.5 interceptions, 19 passing TDs, 3200 passing yards
Jalen Hurts starts game at QB: Yes -120, No -120
Finally, there are already odds for next year’s No. 1 pick:
No. 1 Selection in 2021 NFL Draft
Trevor Lawrence -400
Justin Fields +500
Penei Sewell +1200
Gregory Rousseau +1800
Ja’Marr Chase +2000
Dolphins starting quarterback in Week 1
Ryan Fitzpatrick -270
Tua Tagovailoa +200
Josh Rosen +2500
Chargers starting quarterback in Week 1
Tyrod Taylor -370
Justin Herbert +260
Easton Stick +3200
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Joe Burrow +250
Tua Tagovailoa +800
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +900
Jonathan Taylor +900
Jerry Jeudy +1000
D’Andre Swift +1200
Justin Herbert +1200
Ceedee Lamb +1400
J.K. Dobbins +1600
Henry Ruggs III +1800
Cam Akers +2000
Zack Moss +2000
Denzel Mims +2200
Tee Higgins +2200
Jalen Reagor +2800
Justin Jefferson +2800
K.J Hamler +2800
Laviska Shenault Jr. +2800
Brandon Aiyuk +3300
Jordan Love +3300
Joshua Kelly +3300
Lamical Perine +3300
Chase Claypool +4000
K.J Hill +4000
Michael Pittman Jr. +4000
Tyler Johnson +4000
A.J. Dillon +5000
Jacob Eason +5000
Jalen Hurts +5000
Jauan Jennings +5000
Jake Fromm +6600
Anthony Gordon +8000
Antonio Gandy-Golden +8000
Donovan Peoples-Jones +8000
Gabriel Davis +8000
Ke’Shawn Vaughn +8000
Adam Trautman +10000
Antonio Gibson +10000
Brycen Hopkins +10000
Cole Kmet +10000
Harrison Bryant +10000
Hunter Bryant +10000
John Hightower +10000
Mekhi Becton +10000
Van Jefferson +10000
Defense Rookie of the Year
Chase Young +500
Isaiah Simmons +800
Kenneth Murray +1400
Patrick Queen +1400
A.J. Epenesa +2000
Jeff Okudah +2000
Xavier McKinney +2200
Akeem Davis-Gaither +2500
Ashtyn Davis +2500
CJ Henderson +2500
Curtis Weaver +2500
Derrick Brown +2500
Grant Delpit +2500
Javon Kinlaw +2500
Jordan Elliot +2500
Julian Okwara +2500
Kristian Fulton +2500
Trevon Diggs +2500
Troy Dye +2500
Willie Gay Jr. +2500
Jaylon Johnson +2800
K’Lavon Chaisson +2800
Marlon Davidson +2800
Zack Baun +2800
A.J. Terrell +3300
Darrell Taylor +3300
Geno Stone +3300
Jeff Gladney +3300
Josh Uche +3300
Kyle Dugger +3300
Malik Harrison +3300
Terrell Lewis +3300
Yetur Gross-Matos +3300
Davion Taylor +4000
Logan Wilson +4000
Anfernee Jennings +5000
Antoine Winfield Jr. +5000
Bradlee Anae +5000
Bryce Hall +5000
Cam Brown +5000
Kenny Willekes +5000
Nevilled Gallimore +5000
Ross Blacklock +5000
Terrell Burgess +5000
Cameron Dantzier +6600
Justin Madubuike +6600
K’Von Wallace +6600
Trevis Gipson +8000
Davon Hamilton +10000
Jalen Elliott +10000
Julian Blackmon +10000
Markus Bailey +10000
Raekwon Davis +10000
Troy Pride Jr. +10000
Alohi Gilman +15000
David Woodward +15000
During the Covid disaster, OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy and his wonderful daughter started a dad jokes YouTube channel. It is must-watch “TV” YouTube style.
Bovada Announces Poker Play Guarantee
Bovada and Bovada poker continue to be industry leaders. Here is the latest from them:
Players are our priority. Period.
Since launching Bovada, we have always been dedicated to enhancing your gambling experience – now, we guarantee it.
Premium Processing
100% guaranteed withdrawals to put your money back in your pocket faster.
- We will never miss your payout
- We will always lead the industry in withdrawal processing times
- We will get your money to you within 24 hours for Bitcoin (or other cryptocurrency) and any player transfer vouchers
Guaranteed Gameplay
We have a zero-tolerance approach towards interruptions to your play.
- No matter the season or the circumstances – you will always have a variety of exciting wagers to choose from in the sportsbook
- No pre-match wager cancellations due to incorrectly posted lines or information
- We will always follow our onsite Poker Tournament Cancellation Policy
Self-service Solutions
We want any questions you may have answered – even faster.
- We will continue to expand our onsite Help Centre based on your feedback
- You have access to a fully-moderated and player-led Bovada Community
- When required, we will use a 3rd party resolution to ensure every player feels fairly treated
- Every bonus will be issued to you according to the Bonus Terms and Conditions onsite
- If you do prefer an agent, we’ll answer all of your chat requests within minutes and reply to your emails within 48 hours
‘No Excuse’ Notifications
We guarantee honest and timely communication without any excuses.
- If an unexpected site outage occurs, we will let our players know the details within 60 minutes
- If we determine that any player deserves extra consideration as result of unexpected downtime, we will resolve it within 2 days
- You will be given notice a minimum of 24 hours before any planned maintenance
- We will let you know 7 days in advance of any changes to existing programs, products or bonuses
Our commitment to every Bovada player is to continue working hard at improving every day, giving you the best online gambling experience possible.
Thank you for playing with us.
Last Minute NFL Draft Betting Props and More
Football fans are having a good week.
The NFL Draft is tonight, Rob Gronkowski un-retired and Tom Brady is going to tee it up with Peyton Manning, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson.
Details of the Champions for Charity golf match that will be televised live on TNT next month have yet to be released, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers at SportsBetting from creating some very fun and unique prop bets for the event.
Do you think Tiger and Peyton will say “deflate” to get under Brady’s skin with a little trash talk? The odds say there’s a chance. Or how about an “audible” or “Omaha” on the course? Will there be a hole-in-one?
Woods and Manning are decent favorites in the match odds. Manning is favored to record the most birdies, and find the fairway on the first hole.
Current odds:
The Match: Champions for Charity winner
Tiger Woods/Peyton Manning -200
Phil Mickelson/Tom Brady +160
Which logo will be on front of Tom Brady’s hat?
TB12 -400
Buccaneers +250
Will “Gronk” be said by any player?
Yes -300
No +200
Will “audible” be said by any player?
Yes -120
No -120
Will “Omaha” be said by any player?
Yes +175
No -250
Will “deflate” be said by any player?
Yes -200
No +150
Will any player spike a football?
Yes +150
No -200
Will any player spike a golf ball?
Yes -150
No +110
Will a Lombardi Trophy be seen during broadcast?
Yes -800
No +450
First player to have football highlight shown
Peyton Manning -130
Tom Brady -110
Total commercials Peyton Manning is in during broadcast
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
Which player will have the most birdies?
Peyton Manning -175
Tom Brady +135
Which player will have the most bogeys or worse? (Must finish par stroke to count. Manager’s decision.)
Peyton Manning +120
Tom Brady -160
Will Peyton Manning record an FIR on Hole No. 1?
Yes -150
No +110
Will Tom Brady record an FIR on Hole No. 1?
Yes -120
No -120
Will Peyton Manning record a GIR on Hole No. 1?
Yes +110
No -150
Will Tom Brady record a GIR on Hole No. 1?
Yes +150
No -200
Will there be a hole-in-one?
Yes +950
No -3500
Will Donald Trump attend?
Yes +800
No -1500
Bucs’ odds drop after Gronk trade
The Buccaneers are beginning to feel like the Browns of last offseason. Every football fan was buying into the hype, and Cleveland became one of the most bet on teams to win the Super Bowl.
The Bucs are now one of the top three favorites on the Super Bowl LV odds board. Here are the five teams with the best odds:
Chiefs 13/2
Ravens 7/1
49ers 12/1
Buccaneers 12/1
Saints 14/1
However, a representative from the sportsbook suggests that the Gronkowski trade didn’t really impact the odds for anything other than public perception.
“Bettors react to big news and Gronk coming out of retirement to reunite with his quarterback is big news,” Robert Cooper, odds manager at SportsBetting.ag, said. “We have to move the odds because we anticipate additional action from bettors, but in terms of the algorithms and power rankings we use to formulate the numbers Gronk doesn’t move the needle.”
All at SportsBetting
The Last Dance Betting Props; Michael Jordan Documentary ESPN
The sports world has been teased about the Michael Jordan documentary for months, and we finally get our first look this weekend.
‘The Last Dance’ will air on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, and some bookies are offering up ways to wager while you watch (you know, since there aren’t any actual sports to bet on at the moment.) Jordan should probably approve.
SportsBetting has created a dozen prop bets for first of two episodes set to air Sunday. All props except the last one are for Episode 1 (the first hour) only.
Here there are, along with some unrequested commentary some of you might enjoy (for those that don’t, sorry).
Will “The Last Dance” documentary win an Emmy Award in 2020?
Yes +300
No -500
(Ouch. No love from the early voters.)
Will Michael Jordan cry?
Yes -120
No -120
(There’s an MJ teary-eyed meme waiting to happen)
Will LeBron James be seen?
Yes -120
No -120
(Will the GOAT be interviewed in the other GOAT’S feature doc?)
Will Kobe Bryant be seen?
Yes -300
No +200
(Have to imagine the producers feature him early after January’s tragedy)
Will “gambling” be said?
Yes -200
No +150
(We know Jordan skipped White House visit to golf and gamble, but when will that story be told?)
Will “Space Jam” be said or clip shown?
Yes -120
No -120
(Come on…we could all use some Wayne Knight on Sunday night.)
Will “Sirius” song be heard?
Yes -500
No +300
(This feels like the lock of the century, take out the mortgage.)
When will Air Jordan logo be seen?
Before 10 minutes (+150)
After 10 minutes (-200)
(Tough one…will Disney/ESPN try to hide their non-products?)
Will Jordan’s game-winning national championship shot be shown?
Yes -300
No +200
(Patrick Ewing here we come.)
Will impeachment trial of Bill Clinton be shown or mentioned?
Yes -140
No +100
(Significant event in October 1998, the setting of Episode 1.)
Will Yankees World Series Championship be shown or mentioned?
Yes +100
No -140
(See above. And (un)fortunately, they left off Britney Spears’ debut single “…Baby One More Time.”)
Will Barack Obama tweet about the documentary?
Yes +200
No -300
(He’s in it at some point, but probably more important matters to tend to this week.)
First person to be shown?
Phil Jackson +300
Scottie Pippen +350
Kobe Bryant +400
Magic Johnson +500
Dennis Rodman +500
Deloris Jordan +800
Barack Obama +1000
Steve Kerr +1000
Bob Costas +1200
Charles Barkley +1400
Justin Timberlake +1400
Jerry Seinfeld +2000
Pat Riley +2000
Adam Silver +2500
(We all assume MJ will be the first person shown, so who’s next?)
OffshoreInsiders.com will hopefully resume being the top place for sports picks very soon. Get vetted sportsbooks and more. Check out the best dad jokes YouTube channel Hey Abby D.
MLB Baseball Betting Tip: Bite the Bullet and Bet the Chalk Sometimes
Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com built up a great reputation in the 1980s on the national score phones as the greatest underdog and small favorites baseball handicapper in history. He’s added a new weapon to his baseball betting picks arsenal. Believe it or not, it’s betting big favorites. He hates it, but it is mostly on the runline. A fact based sports gambling podcast as to why.