Joe Duffy already has several NFL plays up at press time at OffshoreInsiders.com

Las Vegas-Kansas City

• Vegas is 3-1 ats covering by an average of 5.4 points per game, second best mark in NFL

Mami-San Francisco 

• Jimmy Garappolo is likely to play for 49ers as starting QB was questionable
  • 4 TDs, 0 INT
• Niners RB Raheem Mostert is questionable
  • 148 rushing, 110 receiving yards
• Niners WR Deebo Samuel is questionable
  • 3 receptions for 35 yards

Indianapolis-Cleveland

• Colts are 3-1 ats covering by 5.1 points per game
• Browns are the top over team based on margin of cover, going over by 14.2 points per game, going over 3-1
• Browns RB Nick Chubb is out

Carolina-Atlanta 

• Falcons WR Julio Jones game-time decision
  • 15 receptions for 213 yards

Minnesota-Seattle 

• Seattle is one of just two teams in NFL that are 4-0 ats, covering by 5 points per game

Arizona-Jets 

• Jets are 0-4 ats failing to cover by -10.2 points per game, both worst in league
• Joe Flacco starts at QB for Jets
• Arizona is the top public consensus bet with 67 percent of wagers on them

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Rams-Washington

• Terry McLaurin WR is probable
  • 26 receptions for 387 yards
• Kyle Allen starts at QB for Washington
• 63 percent chance of rain

Jacksonville-Houston

• Houston is 0-4 ats failing by an average of -7.2 points per game

NYG-Dallas

• Dallas is one of three 0-4 ats team, missing by an average of 5 points per game
• Dallas has gone over 3-1, with a second in the league over margin of 13.1 points per game

Cincinnati-Baltimore 

• Bengals RB Joe Mixon is questionable
  • 315 rushing yards, two touchdowns, 88 receiving yards plus another TD
• The biggest totals consensus is on this game over with 68 percent of bets on such
• 43 percent chance of rain

VIRGINIA -7.5 NC State at GTBets

• Third of four straight road games for UVA
• Off big upset at Pitt, play at Clemson next week
• Home favorites versus an opponent off conference win as large underdog are 122-63-2
• Virginia’s defenses numbers much better than points per game would suggest
• Allow just 2.8 yards per rush teams normally allowing 3.7 and 5.5 yards per play to 5.8
  • Too many turnovers, but these are correctable

Free pick: VIRGINIA -7.5

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Saturday, two Wise Guys and two Majors up already. Two NFL winners posted as well at OffshoreInsiders.com

With the NLCS set, oddsmakers were quick to post a line for the series, and they’ve made the Dodgers sizable favorites against Atlanta.

The initial series line from SportsBetting set L.A. as a 1:2 favorite.

NLCS Odds –

Atlanta Braves    +160    (8-5)
Los Angeles Dodgers    -200    (1-2)

In a hypothetical ALCS matchup, the Yankees would be -180 favorites over the Astros (+160). In the other scenario, the Rays would be -155 favorites over the Astros (+135).

The Dodgers started the MLB postseason as World Series favorites, and after sweeping San Diego, nothing has changed.

World Series Odds (will update after tonight’s game)

Los Angeles Dodgers     +175     (7-4)
New York Yankees     +375     (15-4)
Atlanta Braves     +400     (4-1) 
Tampa Bay Rays     +500     (5-1)
Houston Astros     +500     (5-1)

SportsBetting is also offering odds on the exact World Series matchup and outcome. The numbers suggest that the Dodgers will defeat the Yankees, or vice versa, in what would be a dream matchup for the league.

Exact World Series Outcome
Dodgers defeat Yankees     +550     (11-2)
Yankees defeat Dodgers     +550     (11-2)
Dodgers defeat Astros     +700     (7-1)
Dodgers defeat Rays     +700     (7-1)
Rays defeat Dodgers     +700     (7-1)
Astros defeat Dodgers     +750     (15-2)
Yankees defeat Braves     +1100     (11-1)
Braves defeat Yankees     +1100     (11-1)
Braves defeat Astros     +1400     (14-1)
Braves defeat Rays     +1400     (14-1)
Astros defeat Braves     +1400     (14-1)
Rays defeat Braves     +1400     (14-1)

It’s early, but Joe Duffy already has a big weekend portfolio up at OffshoreInsiders.com

MISSISSIPPI STATE +2 Kentucky

If you listen to VSIN no doubt you’ve heard them rightfully tout a “short road dog” angle. We know the software they use, BetLabs. Rest assured, it’s good software as many of my top systems originated there. But I perfect on a database that not only goes back much further, but also has enormous versatility. Using  with a Boolean algebra, I can eliminate times there are conflicting systems. Because college football has more systems pointing to home favorites than any other sport, this feature is invaluable. Actually, BetLabs also has this, but I still love the versatility elsewhere. Regardless, my turbo-enhanced version is 921-693-44. A subsystem takes it to 58 percent with a large sample size of 660-477-32.

One of our simulations gives Miss State 53.5-44.4 percent chance of covering at +2. Another a tiny edge to Miss State. Best power ratings have MSU winning by one. Granted, none of the simulations emphatically say the Bulldogs, but the fact all three at least lean that way is significant, which is why the line dropped.

Miss State wins at LSU +14.5, then loses home to Arkansas -16.5. Mike Leach is predictably unpredictable, so off a home loss, hitting the road, is when they will play best. Star RB Kylin Hill, who can also catch out of backfield. He was hurt early in loss last week.

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Storylines continue to be abundant in the NFL following three weeks of action.

As usual, oddsmakers have turned some of those talking points into wagers. People can bet on a number of props such as who will be the next quarterback benched, when Jalen Hurts will make his first start (if at all), Mitchell Trubisky’s future, 0-3 teams qualifying for the playoffs and much more.

Odds from SportsBetting are subject to change and your readers can view real-time numbers via the link below.

Week 4 NFL Props:

Next QB benched (non-injury related)

Sam Darnold       3-1    (+300)

Ryan Fitzpatrick  4-1   (+400)

Justin Herbert    5-1    (+500)

Daniel Jones      6-1     (+600)

Gardner Minshew         8-1     (+800)

Kirk Cousins      10-1   (+1000)

Nick Foles          12-1   (+1200)

Teddy Bridgewater 12-1         (+1200)

Baker Mayfield              14-1   (+1400)

Philip Rivers      16-1   (+1600)

Cam Newton     33-1   (+3300)

Which week will Jalen Hurts make first start?

Weeks 4-7      +400

Weeks 8-11    +250

Weeks 12-14  +225

Weeks 15-17  +150

Will Carson Wentz be benched during regular season? (non-injury related)

Yes  +200

No   -300

Will Mitchell Trubisky start another game? (non-injury related)

Yes  +250

No   -400

Will Mitchell Trubisky start for any team during 2021 season?

Yes  +200

No   -300

Will Tyrod Taylor start another game? (non-injury related)

Yes  +110

No   -150

Will any 0-3 team qualify for playoffs?

Yes  +450

No   -750

Will the Eagles make the playoffs?

Yes  +300

No   -500

Will the Texans make the playoffs?

Yes  +550

No   -1000

Will the Vikings make the playoffs?

Yes  +600

No   -1200

Which team will win a game first?

Jets       -300

Giants  +200

Will Jets and Broncos have new coach in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes  +100

No   -140

Will the Chiefs go 16-0?

Yes  +900

No   -2000

Winning picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

The Big 12 is perceived to be so feeble that the oddsmakers still have Oklahoma listed as the conference favorite despite two early-season losses.

Undefeated Oklahoma State is a close second on the board while Texas and Iowa State are third and fourth, respectively.

For the two major conferences waiting to play, USC is listed as the early frontrunner for the Pac-12 title and Ohio State is the odds-on favorite in the Big Ten.

SportsBetting  a licensed sportsbook in Colorado, has the latest odds for all of the Power 5 conferences, which you can find below.

ACC Odds –

Clemson: 1-5
Notre Dame: 5-1
Miami: 8-1
North Carolina: 10-1
Virginia Tech: 18-1
Pittsburgh: 33-1
Virginia: 40-1
Louisville: 75-1
NC State: 100-1
Wake Forest: 125-1
Boston College: 150-1
Florida State: 200-1
Duke: 250-1
Georgia Tech: 250-1
Syracuse: 250-1

Big 12 Odds –

Oklahoma: 2-1
Oklahoma State: 3-2
Texas: 3-1
Iowa State: 7-2
TCU: 9-1
Baylor: 14-1
West Virginia: 16-1
Kansas State: 18-1
Texas Tech: 150-1
Kansas: 750-1

Big Ten Odds –

Ohio State: 2-3
Wisconsin: 8-1
Penn State: 11-1
Michigan: 12-1
Minnesota: 28-1
Iowa: 35-1
Northwestern: 45-1
Nebraska: 45-1
Indiana: 75-1
Michigan State: 130-1
Purdue: 140-1
Illinois: 500-1
Maryland: 500-1
Rutgers: 1500-1

SEC Odds –

Alabama: 1-2
Florida: 5-2
Georgia: 3-1
Tennessee: 20-1
Auburn: 25-1
Texas A&M: 25-1
LSU: 33-1
Mississippi State: 33-1
Kentucky: 66-1
Ole Miss: 150-1
Arkansas: 250-1
South Carolina: 250-1
Missouri: 500-1
Vanderbilt: 750-1

Pac-12 Odds –

USC: 3-2
Oregon: 2-1
Washington: 6-1
Arizona State: 9-1
California: 9-1
Utah: 9-1
Stanford: 12-1
UCLA: 12-1
Washington State: 33-1
Arizona: 100-1
Colorado: 100-1
Oregon State: 100-1

Get the winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

Big weekend up at OffshoreInsiders.com Joe Duffy has a free pick on:

MINNESOTA +3.5 Houston

This is the first time Houston is favorite this season. Fading favorites that have usually been in underdogs role is 153-93-12 including 18-4 the last 22.  That being said, they’ve played KC, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh. Go with the much more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 331-244-14. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.

Winless teams that blew at least an eight point lead the previous week are 49-24-1. Vikings led 24-12 last week against Titans.

Fading terrible teams (based on winning percentage) as favorites are 153-108-8. Vikings distraction as Titans players tested positive? If anything, just something to rally around. One simulator has Minnesota covering 52 percent, as a three-point win projected. Another has Minnesota covering 57.3 percent of time. Another power ratings has Minnesota -1.5 and projected to win by two.  We bet at GTBets