Free winning pick from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
Ravens (-7.5)-Eagles
- Baltimore is 4-1 SU including 2-0 road, Philly 1-3-1 SU, 0-1-1 home
- Sets up anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home is 142-108-11 (Eagles)
- Eagles 1-4 ats -5.8 but sets up a great regression to the mean angle about betting on bad teams 194-116-13
- Yes Jackson is one of the top road QBs, but you can’t bet retroactively and 7.5 points on the road is a ton
- Eagles allowed to have about 6,000 fans
- Admittedly our power ratings, two say the line is about right; another simulator likes Ravens and big road favorites have been good plays in recent years
- Probably short of premium play
FREE: EAGLES
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