Well, that didn’t take long. 

Matthew Stafford is on his way to L.A., and the Rams have seen their Super Bowl LVI chances greatly increase with a seasoned gunslinger under center.

Early last week, SportsBetting had pegged the Rams with 18/1 odds to win next year’s Super Bowl, which was tied for eighth-best. 

Following the trade for Stafford, Los Angeles is now in solo third on the odds board at 10/1. 

The Lions, already a longshot with 80/1 odds last week, are now tied for the worst odds with Jacksonville at 150/1.

Below are the current Super Bowl LVI odds from SportsBetting 
Super Bowl LVI Odds –

Kansas City Chiefs 6/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9/1
Los Angeles Rams 10/1
Buffalo Bills 11/1
Green Bay Packers 12/1
Baltimore Ravens 12/1
New Orleans Saints 15/1
San Francisco 49ers 18/1
Seattle Seahawks 20/1
Indianapolis Colts 25/1
Miami Dolphins 25/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 25/1
Cleveland Browns 28/1
Dallas Cowboys 28/1
Tennessee Titans 28/1
Los Angeles Chargers 33/1
Minnesota Vikings 33/1
New England Patriots 33/1
Arizona Cardinals 40/1
Chicago Bears 40/1
Las Vegas Raiders 50/1
Philadelphia Eagles 50/1
Denver Broncos 50/1
Atlanta Falcons 66/1
Carolina Panthers 66/1
New York Giants 66/1
Houston Texans 66/1
Washington Football Team 66/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1
New York Jets 100/1
Detroit Lions 150/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 150/1

Oh what a day! Interconference Total of the Year among two NBA Wise Guys, plus five NBA Majors. Named plays have hit 56 percent or higher in all sports, every calendar year. Get the picks now

NBA

Free

PHILADELPHIA -7 Minnesota

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued 132-82-1. Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 520-364-27. 

Big bet tonight.  NBA Interconference Game of the Month is among three NBA, two Wise Guys. I should not give away too much, but let’s just say those of my clients who have been with me since the 1980s have won with this angle for more than 30 years straight and, yes as if you needed an “and” it is also backed by a newly acquired angle. It’s big.

College basketball is heating up big time for us. College basketball side as well to make it 4-0. Get the picks now

Free

LA Lakers-Detroit UNDER 214.5

This is indicative of the executive decisions required by your Grandmaster Handicapper. So many of our systems are counterintuitive and use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Many massive syndicates are using very similar systems as us. 

Because a half-point variance in the saved system and half-point discrepancy in which books are software are tied into can trigger a bet, yes sometimes a line move can in fact trigger an alert where we wind up chasing steam. 

If you don’t completely follow, that’s okay. That is why pros pay me to track it. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1493-1140-51. A total based on recent form compared to the total goes under 739-456-34. 

One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 62 percent with 209 points expected. But our other model says the steam decreased the probability of under by about seven percent. This is why it falls just short of a premium bet. Chasing steam has pitfalls. 

I bet at Bovada

Joe Duffy sweeps last night with LSU and Knicks UNDER. Tonight is even bigger. Four NBA winners led by three Wise Guys, topped by Western Conference Interdivisional Total of the Year. Get the picks now 

Free

BROOKLYN -6.5 Atlanta 

Brooklyn is 2-4 SU road, while Atlanta 5-3 SU home, yet Nets a huge away favorite. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road favorite with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 524-391-22. 

Big away favorites versus opponent off win is 487-335-16. Big favorites in same season revenge are 835-693-41 including 60 percent since 2013. Road teams more rested are 387-305-9. James Harden, Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving starting to gel a bit. 

Joe Duffy sweeps last night with LSU and Knicks UNDER. Tonight is even bigger. Four NBA winners led by three Wise Guys, topped by Western Conference Interdivisional Total of the Year. Get the picks now 

Free

MIAMI FLORIDA +11 Florida State

Miami matches up very well defensively as they defend the pick and roll and the rim competently, so a blowout is unlikely. 

Betting on some regression as FSU has been shooting the lights out over their last four ranging from 48 percent to 70 percent, while Miami shooting just 39 percent their last two. The three-point difference even bigger. But that short-term difference has this line bloated. 

It doesn’t sound like Matthew Stafford will be around for the Dan Campbell era in Detroit. 

The relationship between Stafford and the Lions’ brass appears too fractured to recover, especially after the team did not retain offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell, so let’s take a look at where the odds project the quarterback landing.

SportsBetting an online sportsbook only available in Colorado, has (possibly optimistically) made the Broncos the favorites in the Stafford sweepstakes. 

It’s interesting to see the Cowboys in the top 5 in terms of odds. Stafford grew up north of Dallas with good friend Clayton Kershaw…could he be returning to his roots?

Below are the opening odds for Stafford’s next team and you can find current ones here: 

 
Matthew Stafford next team
Denver Broncos 3/1
Indianapolis Colts 4/1
Washington Football Team 5/1
Chicago Bears 6/1
Dallas Cowboys 8/1
New England Patriots 9/1
Carolina Panthers 10/1
New York Jets 10/1
Los Angeles Rams 12/1
Las Vegas Raiders 12/1
Houston Texans 12/1
Miami Dolphins 12/1
New Orleans Saints 15/1
San Francisco 49ers 20/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1
Atlanta Falcons 25/1
Green Bay Packers 25/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 25/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 30/1
Minnesota Vikings 30/1
New York Giants 30/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1
Cleveland Browns 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 100/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1
Cincinnati Bengals 125/1
Baltimore Ravens 150/1
Los Angeles Chargers 150/1
Buffalo Bills 200/1
Seattle Seahawks 200/1
Kansas City Chiefs 300/1

I told you in December why the best was ahead of us. And it’s been promises made, promises delivered ever since. Off an 11-3 weekend, 10-2 in hoops. Seven NBA winners led by three Wise Guys continues the winning. Under teams become over bets. That applies twice today, though none apply to our Wise Guys, so it is common, yet not our strongest intel tonight. Get the picks now 

Free winner:

BOSTON -4 Chicago

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 361-232-12. Road favorites off of a win that broke a losing streak 440-316-15.

Best NBA teams to bet on based on ATS margin:

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Chicago	11-5	+4.1
New York	9-9	+3.7
Lakers	10-7	+2.8

 Best NBA teams to bet against based on ATS margin:

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Sacramento	6-10	-6.2
Orlando	8-9	-4
Miami	6-8-1	-3.9
Portland	6-9	-3.9

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

We win! TNT Interconference Total of the Year wins on Milwaukee-Lakers UNDER was easy. Five winners in the NBA led by Southwest Divisional Total of the Year. Three are Wise Guys.

Looking for a great capper? Taking people behind the scenes of all the work that goes into every pick, every day at Joe Duffy’s Picks has convinced a few more to become sharp bettors. Are you ready? Get the picks now 

Free pick:

ATLANTA -6 Minnesota 

Road favorites or small underdogs on a high scoring streak is 359-231-12 as Atlanta has topped 106 in three straight. Road favorites versus teams off home win or very close loss are 588-463-24. Our top-rated simulator program has them covering 67 percent of time, winning by 12. Our second best model has them covering 55.8 percent, winning by nine. MasseyRatings gives a mild edge to Atlanta. 

This one is big. Really big. The TNT Interconference Total of the Year is among two NBA winners. Not only a math total, but a stunning 73 percent angle corroborates it and rarely applies. Get the 2-0 sweep from Joe Duffy. Get the picks now 

Free 

Utah-New Orleans OVER 216.5

Utah has been a big under team, going under 9-5 by -4.9 points per game. Though New Orleans has gone over 7-6, the margin is -2.9. Two cumulative under teams tend to go over 775-569-25. We almost made it a premium play. However a math total that had to do with performance over the last 10 games pointed towards the under. But the the two went head-to-head, it went over 11-6, a very good winning percentage but a small enough sample size to keep it below premium bet, but still with a lot of intel behind it. Our number two simulator has this going over 58.1 percent of the time. Another has it going over 57 percent of simulations. 

Best college basketball teams to bet on this season in terms of ATS margin. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Colgate	4-2	+13.8
Drake	11-0	+12.5
UC Riverside	6-2-1	+9.5
Missouri State	7-1	+8.5

Best teams to bet against based on ats margin

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Boston U	0-6	-15.4
McNeese State	1-6-1	-11
Duke	1-8	-10.1
Eastern Michigan	2-4	-9.2
Northern Illinois	2-10	-8.6

 Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Bet Now college basketball odds which include added rotation games, big and small colleges. Bet Now is among the elite and approved sportsbooks now offering a 100 percent sign-up bonus, with easy deposits and easy cash out. 

The same administration remains in power here, but with more systems than ever. NBA Wise Guy among five NBA winners. Two are sides, three totals. This is the scary good intel that goes into every pick, every day at Joe Duffy’s Picks. Get the picks now 

Free

ORLANDO -3.5 Minnesota

Road team off three straight road losses 324-245-18. Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game 825-654-23. This includes a subsystem of 784-612-22. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate 67 percent, winning by 10.