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Free NBA pick:

Cleveland-Utah OVER 205

The Cavs are the top UNDER team in the name going under 9-2 by an average of -13.2 points per game. Utah is under 6-4 by -4.2 points per game. Under bet, right? Nope. Two cumulative under teams regress to the mean and go over at a rate of 769-556-25. One of our top simulators has this going over 67 percent of the time.