Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Thursday, I have NFL and college Wise Guy bets on the sides, and a Major play college total. Get the picks now
****Friday, I have Wise Guy and Major in college football. Saturday, Conference USA West Total of the Year is among five Wise Guys in college football. Sunday, five NFL Wise Guys, two Majors. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks (includes football only weekly) five-day pick pack or longer.
Bet teams in college football to bet on based on margin of cover, AKA sweat barometer. This list compiled by OffshoreInsiders.com home of the greatest and hottest capper ever Joe Duffy. Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Wise Guy college football bets Thursday, Friday, and five Saturday among nine college football winners so far. NFL coming!
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Bowling Green
4-0
+17.6
Rutgers
4-0
+16.4
Georgia
3-1
+14.5
Arkansas
4-0
+13.2
Ole Miss
2-0-1
+12
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Now the best teams to bet against.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Rice
0-4
-21.4
Ohio
0-4
-21
Vanderbilt
1-3
-15.6
Ball State
0-4
-15.2
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Top over teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Pittsburgh
4-0
+19.4
WKU
3-0
+14.7
Texas Tech
2-2
+14.4
Missouri
3-1
+12.6
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Top under teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
San Jose State
1-3
-22.5
Texas A&M
0-4
-20.5
Purdue
0-4
-18.2
North Texas
0-4
-18.1
Clemson
1-3
-17.9
Colorado
1-3
-16.4
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
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At 44 years young, Tom Brady and his Bucs are outplaying Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, and the oddsmakers have taken notice.
SportsBetting updated NFL awards odds for MVP, Offensive/Defensive ROY, Defensive POY, Comeback POY and Coach of the Year.
Mahomes entered the season as the MVP favorite and carried that through Week 1, but after the Chiefs’ loss to Baltimore, the old man has moved past the youngster on the odds board. Mahomes has actually slipped to third behind Kyler Murray.
Could this year’s Heisman Trophy go to a player not on a title-contending team?
In the latest Heisman odds from SportsBetting Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral has moved in front of Alabama signal caller Bryce Young to take over the top spot.
Corral entered the season with 25-1 Heisman odds. Through three games, he’s completed 68.8% of his passes for 997 yards with nine touchdowns and no interceptions.
Ole Miss is undefeated so Lane Kiffin’s squad is still in the CFP National Championship picture, but the Rebels’ current 50-1 odds suggest their chances are still very long. Ole Miss had 100-1 odds going in to Saturday.
Spencer Rattler, the preseason Heisman favorite, has seen his odds fall to 10-1.
The top 10 teams in the country prevailed over the weekend so there wasn’t a ton of shakeup in terms of the national title odds.
Alabama and Georgia separated themselves from the pack a bit more after lackluster victories by Clemson and Oklahoma.
Penn State’s odds moved from 40-1 to 25-1 following the Auburn game.
Heisman Trophy Odds
Matt Corral – Ole Miss 7-4 (+175)
Bryce Young – Alabama 3-1 (+300)
Spencer Rattler – Oklahoma 10-1
CJ Stroud – Ohio State 16-1
CJ Verdell – Oregon 16-1
Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati 16-1
JT Daniels – Georgia 18-1
Malik Willis – Liberty 20-1
Sam Howell – UNC 20-1
TreVeyon Henderson – Ohio State 33-1
Bijan Robinson – Texas 40-1
D.J. Uiagalelei – Clemson 40-1
Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State 40-1
Anthony Brown – Oregon 50-1
Brian Robinson Jr. – Alabama 50-1
Emory Jones – Florida 50-1
Sean Clifford – Penn State 50-1
Dorian Thompson-Robinson – UCLA 66-1
Taulia Tagovailoa – Maryland 66-1
D’Eriq King – Miami 80-1
Jack Coan – Notre Dame 80-1
Jayden Daniels – Arizona State 80-1
John Metchie III – Alabama 80-1
Tank Bigsby – Auburn 80-1
Anthony Richardson – Florida 100-1
Breece Hall – Iowa State 100-1
Grayson McCall – Coastal Carolina 100-1
Kyren Williams – Notre Dame 100-1
Tyler Shough – Texas Tech 100-1
Bo Nix – Auburn 150-1
Top 30 CFP Odds
Alabama 2-1
Georgia 5-2
Clemson 10-1
Ohio State 10-1
Oklahoma 10-1
Oregon 16-1
Penn State 25-1
Texas A&M 25-1
Michigan 40-1
Cincinnati 50-1
Iowa 50-1
Notre Dame 50-1
Ole Miss 50-1
Florida 66-1
Iowa State 80-1
Miami 80-1
LSU 100-1
Michigan State 125-1
North Carolina 125-1
Texas 125-1
Wisconsin 125-1
Auburn 150-1
UCLA 150-1
USC 150-1
West Virginia 175-1
Arkansas 200-1
BYU 200-1
Kansas State 200-1
Kentucky 200-1
Oklahoma State 200-1
Virginia Tech 200-1
Joe Duffy is the top football handicapper to ever walk Earth and no sane person will argue. Get his picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
Joe Duffy has four Saturday college football (more coming) two Wise Guys led by ABC Interconfernce Total of the Year. Seven NFL. Get them at OffshoreInsiders.com
CLEMSON -28 GA Tech
Huge momentum angle based on teams off rout wins. Yes, Tech also off 28-point win, but that’s a bit short of our threshold and it is even better if team we are betting on is a big home favorite. Plus, though if Clemson runs the table, they are still very likely in the playoffs, it’s too early to assume. Clemson already in style points territory.
Look for Clemson to leave offensive starters in a long time after scoring just three in their only game against Power 5 team. Tech lost to Northern Illinois. Of course Clemson lost a ton from last year on offense, but they are infinitely better and have reasons to run it up.
Joe Duffy, the leader in betting analytics breaks down ATS trends for many games including Chiefs-Ravens, Rams-Colts, 49ers-Eagles, Titans-Seahawks, Raiders-Steelers, Bills-Dolphins, Patriots-Jets, Cowboys-Chargers, Saints-Panthers, are among the big games for week 2 NFL picks.
Two Friday sides, four Saturday college football, two Wise Guys led by ABC Interconfernce Total of the Year. Seven NFL Sunday from Joe Duffy of PicksDepot.comSince 1988, no handicapper has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL. This is indisputable. PicksDepot.com
Week 1 of the NFL regular season is in the books, but plenty of storylines emerged from the action on the field.
SportsBetting has rolled out a host of prop bets to accompany some of the hottest topics circulating in the league. If you have any odds requests, please don’t hesitate to reach out.
Will Patrick Mahomes lose a game in September?
Yes -120
No -120
(Mahomes is 11-0 in 11 September starts during his career.)
Will Patrick Mahomes throw an INT in September?
Yes -150
No +110
(Mahomes has never thrown an INT during the month of September.)
Will Chandler Jones break Michael Strahan’s sack record?
Yes +700
No -2000
(Jones recorded 5 sacks in Week 1. Strahan’s record is 22.5. Odds imply 12.5% chance record is broken.)
Will Trevor Lawrence break Peyton Manning’s rookie INT record
Yes +1000
No -4000
(Lawrence threw 3 INTs in Week 1, putting him on pace to throw 51 in 17 games. Manning’s record is 28 INTs. Odds imply 9.1% chance record is broken.)
Will Trevor Lawrence lead the league in INTs?
Yes +500
No -900
(Odds imply 16.7% chance Lawrence leads the league in INTs.)
Trevor Lawrence total INTs during reg. season
Over 18.5
Under 18.5
Which player will start a game first?
Justin Fields -300
Trey Lance +200
Who will have a higher QB rating at end of season?
Jalen Hurts -140
Carson Wentz +100
First Head Coach Fired
Urban Meyer 7-2
Matt Nagy 4-1
Mike Zimmer 9-2
Joe Judge 9-1
Vic Fangio 12-1
Kliff Kingsbury 14-1
Mike McCarthy 14-1
Zac Taylor 14-1
Frank Reich 20-1
Dan Campbell 25-1
Jon Gruden 25-1
Mike Tomlin 25-1
Mike Vrabel 25-1
Ron Rivera 25-1
David Culley 28-1
Matt Rhule 40-1
Sean Payton 40-1
Arthur Smith 50-1
John Harbaugh 50-1
Matt LaFleur 50-1
Robert Saleh 50-1
Brian Flores 66-1
Kyle Shanahan 66-1
Nick Sirianni 66-1
Pete Carroll 66-1
Brandon Staley 80-1
Sean McVay 80-1
Bill Belichick 100-1
Kevin Stefanski 100-1
Sean McDermott 100-1
Andy Reid 200-1
Bruce Arians 200-1
Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is the Industry Standard. He already has a bunch of winners up for the weekend.
Aaron Rodgers wasn’t telling Packers fans to “relax” after Sunday’s dismal performance against New Orleans, and the oddsmakers mildly took notice of the man who may not be fully committed to playing out this season.
The Super Bowl odds board at SportsBetting remained top heavy with many of the favorites (Chiefs, Bucs, Rams, 49ers) pulling out victories in Week 1, but there was some shakeup in the second tier of contenders.
Green Bay slid out of the favorites and into that second tier with 18-1 odds. The Steelers, Seahawks and Saints greatly improved their Super Bowl odds positions with quality Week 1 victories.
Below are the notable movements, as well as the current championship odds. Other teams’ odds moved very little or not at all.
Packers: 11-1 to 18-1
Saints: 35-1 to 20-1
Steelers: 40-1 to 28-1
Seahawks: 24-1 to 18-1
Eagles: 125-1 to 66-1
Super Bowl LVI
Kansas City Chiefs 5-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11-2
Los Angeles Rams 12-1
San Francisco 49ers 12-1
Buffalo Bills 14-1
Baltimore Ravens 16-1
Cleveland Browns 16-1
Green Bay Packers 18-1
Seattle Seahawks 18-1
New Orleans Saints 20-1
Los Angeles Chargers 28-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 28-1
Arizona Cardinals 33-1
Tennessee Titans 33-1
Dallas Cowboys 35-1
New England Patriots 35-1
Denver Broncos 40-1
Miami Dolphins 40-1
Indianapolis Colts 45-1
Minnesota Vikings 50-1
Philadelphia Eagles 66-1
Washington Football Team 66-1
Carolina Panthers 80-1
Chicago Bears 80-1
Las Vegas Raiders 80-1
Atlanta Falcons 100-1
Cincinnati Bengals 100-1
New York Giants 100-1
Houston Texans 200-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 200-1
New York Jets 200-1
Detroit Lions 250-1
Want picks from the best NFL handicapper in history? That’s Joe Duffy and get the picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
While Alabama and Georgia have separated themselves from the rest of the country in terms of CFP Championship odds, there’s been a ton of volatility below the top two through two weeks of the regular season.
SportsBetting reset its college football title odds Sunday morning. The Tide and Bulldogs are the overwhelming favorites, but take a look at some of the early-season movement for the rest of the contenders.
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