Week 10 NFL Injuries; 2 Public Dogs, Major Line Moves, Best Bets ATS

Week 10 NFL betting sees the public loving the away favorites. This is like death and taxes. OffshoreInsiders.com breaks it down. Baltimore on Thursday was the second strongest public consensus of the week. Here is how the rest breaks down.

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Rams (MNF), Tampa. The Lions are the biggest public underdog, followed by Carolina. 

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Buffalo, Detroit. 

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Francisco. 

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Pittsburgh with Roethlisberger injury, went from -9 to -5.5. Green Bay -5.5 to -3, despite Aaron Rodgers expected to play.

Key injuries:

Steelers QB Benji Roethlisberger is out. Mason Rudolph gets the start. 

Redskins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is out for the year. Taylor Heinicke remains the starter.

Packers Aaron Rodgers will get the start at QB after coming off Covid list.

Cardinals QB Kyler Murray and WR DeAndre Hopkins both doubtful. 

Top expert picks are from the best ever, Joe Duffy. Death, taxes, and Joe Duffy will hit a Game of the Year or Total of the Year in football. Yeah, for whatever reason they get too interesting the end, but we always win. Georgia wins as College Football GOY on the heels of Air Force UNDER last week at the CFB TOY. NFL Sunday, Thursday GOYs among the 80 percent with football named plays. Nine NFL winners, led by five Wise Guys off a Wise Guy football sweep yesterday.

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College Football Betting: Biggest Public Plays, including Dogs; Line Moves, Top Expert Pick

Today’s college football super sharp report:

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Houston, Western Kentucky, Fresno State. No shock, the top two are away favorites. Massive underdog Bucknell is the biggest public underdog. Insofar as “reasonable” underdogs, Purdue is the strongest public puppy. 

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: MTSU, Florida, Maine, Hawaii

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Army, Maine. 

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State opened -1 now +2. Charleston Southern -10 to -13 and UCLA -15 to -18. 

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College Basketball Pro bettor’s Report shows 2 Surprising Public Dogs

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Here is your college basketball sharpie breakdown for Wednesday. 

🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Mississippi State, Seton Hall. The power schools versus mid to small majors is always a popular play. A couple of public dogs though enter the chat in Youngstown State and Robert Morris. 

🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Florida A&M, Vanderbilt. 

🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: None

🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Pacific -3.5 now pick, Michigan -15.5 to -12.5.

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Biggest Public NBA Bet of Season, Plus Among Biggest PUblic Underdogs of Year too

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NBA sharp moves including one of the strongest public bets all season. 

🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State (Biggest public consensus thus far this season). Oklahoma City is the biggest public underdog today and pretty significantly. 

🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, New Orleans. 

🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans 

🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: None of significane 

Follow us on Twitter if there are any majors changes before gametime, I will let you know. 

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College Basketball Sharp Betting Report For Opening Night

First night of college basketball and MasterLockLine is lit. Check out OffshoreInsiders.com for every pick you need. 

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Purdue, North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis. This is typical where the public prefers the team they know better and higher profile to blow out smaller conference team. Boston University is a big public dog. 

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Rider, Purdue, Northern Iowa, LSU, Oklahoma, Towson.

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Delaware, Utah State, Portland U, Hofstra, Virginia.

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Towson opened +2 now -2.5, Georgia -11 to -7, Cincinnati -8 to -11.5, UCLA -19 to -23.

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AL MVP Foregone Conclusion, but Odds Tight on Other MLB Awards

With the MLB awards finalists announced last night, the final set of odds predicting which players will be adorned are out.

SportsBetting.ag released its odds Tuesday morning, and there are a couple of categories too close to call, at least according to the oddsmakers.

NL MVP looks to be a tossup between Bryce Harper and Juan Soto. Interestingly, none of the three finalists’ teams reached the postseason.

Another category with very tight odds is NL Cy Young. Jacob DeGrom was the odds-on favorite at the middle of the season, but his injury gave way to a trio of players and the odds suggest anyone could take home the accolade.

Odds are subject to change and current numbers can be found at SportsBetting    

AL MVP

Shohei Ohtani             -2500

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.  +650

Marcus Semien           +3300

NL MVP

Bryce Harper               -110

Juan Soto                    -110

Fernando Tatis Jr.       +1200

AL Cy Young

Robbie Ray                  -1500

Gerrit Cole                  +550

Lance Lynn                  +3300

NL Cy Young 

Zack Wheeler              +150

Corbin Burnes             +160

Max Scherzer              +190

AL ROY

Randy Arozarena        -260

Wander Franco           +225

Luis Garcia                  +900

NL ROY

Jonathan India            -2500

Trevor Rogers             +750

Dylan Carlson              +2000

AL Manager of the Year

Kevin Cash (Tampa Bay Rays)             -110

Scott Servais (Seattle Mariners)         +110

Dusty Baker (Houston Astros)            +550

NL Manager of the Year

Gabe Kapler (San Francisco Giants)                -1000

Craig Counsell (Milwaukee Brewers)             +500

Mike Shildt (St. Louis Cardinals)                     +1200

Best sports picks at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Dramatic Shift in NBA Mvp Odds, Up-to-Minute Championship Odds Too

Stephen Curry dropped a 50-burger last night to help the Warriors improve to 9-1 on the young season.

SportsBetting.ag’s latest MVP odds, updated Tuesday morning, have the two-time MVP and three-time champ at the top of the board with +200, or 2-1, odds.

The next-closest competitors are Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant at 13-2, or +650.

Curry came into the season with 8-1 MVP odds.

You can find the full field of players below and updated odds each day at SportsBetting  

Also, below are the latest NBA Championship futures. 

The Warriors and Jazz have moved up the board significantly after starting the season at +1200 and +1400, respectively. 

MVP

Stephen Curry             +200

G. Antetokounmpo     +650

Kevin Durant               +650

Luka Doncic                 +800

Donovan Mitchell       +1400

Joel Embiid                  +1600

Ja Morant                    +1800

Nikola Jokic                 +1800

LeBron James              +2000

James Harden             +2500

Jason Tatum                +2500

Jimmy Butler               +2500

Anthony Davis             +3300

Damian Lillard             +3300

LaMelo Ball                 +3300

Paul George                +3300

Trae Young                  +3300

Karl-Anthony Towns   +4500

Devin Booker              +5000

Zach Lavine                 +5000

Bradley Beal                +6600

Chris Paul                    +6600

Jaylen Brown              +6600

Julius Randle               +6600

Bam Adebayo             +8000

Brandon Ingram          +10000

Russell Westbrook      +10000

NBA Championship

Brooklyn Nets                         +270

Los Angeles Lakers                  +575

Golden State Warriors            +750

Utah Jazz                                 +750

Milwaukee Bucks                    +900

Miami Heat                             +1400

Phoenix Suns                          +1400

Los Angeles Clippers               +1800

Denver Nuggets                      +2000

Philadelphia 76ers                  +2000

Dallas Mavericks                     +3300

Atlanta Hawks                         +4000

Chicago Bulls                           +4000

Boston Celtics                         +5000

New York Knicks                     +5000

Memphis Grizzlies                  +5500

Portland Trail Blazers              +6600

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +10000

Indiana Pacers                        +10000

Washington Wizards              +10000

Charlotte Hornets                   +12500

Toronto Raptors                     +12500

Minnesota Timberwolves       +15000

Sacramento Kings                   +17500

New Orleans Pelicans             +20000

Oklahoma City Thunder          +30000

San Antonio Spurs                  +40000

Orlando Magic                        +50000

Detroit Pistons                        +75000

Houston Rockets                     +100000

Best sports betting picks on a daily basis is at OffshoreInsiders.com, home of Stevie Vincent, the NBA guru of gurus. 

NBA Sweat Barometer: Best Teams to Bet on and Fade so far in 2021-22

Off a rare rough day, you knew Joe Duffy would bounce back with a vengeance. I’m just getting started. 4-1 NBA last night, get two very strong college football sides using a tried and true metric, plus three more NBA and a college basketball side. Get the picks now More CBB could be on the way

Here are the best teams in the NBA ATS based on margin of cover. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Cleveland8-38.2
Golden State6-3-17.3
Washington7-36.1
Miami 7-35.7
Chicago7-35.2

Notes: Memphis is tied for the second best ATS record at 7-3 yet on average they have a -3.5 spread margin. 

The best fades this season using the same criterion. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Minnesota2-7-5.7
Detroit3-6-5.7
Dallas3-7-5.5
LA Lakers3-8-5.5
New Orleans4-7-5.2
Atlanta 3-8-5.1

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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College Football Sweat barometer: Best NCAAF Teams to bet on/against, Over/Under

These are the best team to bet on according to margin of cover.  This list is compiled by OffshoreInsiders.com the top sports handicapping site in the world. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Georgia 6-3+10.4
UTSA8-1+10.2
Pittsburgh7-2+8.2
Syracuse9-1+8
Michigan State6-2-1+7.1
NC State6-3+7.1

Top teams to bet against:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Temple 2-7-12.3
Rice 2-7-9.8
Florida 3-6-8.9
Florida International3-6-8.8
Southern Miss1-8-8.6
Missouri1-8=8.3

Notes: New Mexico and Kansas are also 1-8 but by -6.8 and -6.3 respectively. 

Top over teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Army4-4+12.2
Pittsburgh7-2+11
Northern Illinois 5-4+9.4
Wake Forest4-5+7.9

Notes: Utah is tied for Pitt with best over record at over 7-2, but by a more modest 6.5 points per game. 

Top under teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Illinois1-8-1-11.6
Boston College2-7-10.4
Clemson 3-6-10.2
Washington1-8-9.3
Purdue2-7-9.2
Virginia Tech2-7-9
New Mexico3-6-8.9
Mississippi3-6-8.7
UL Lafayette1-8-8.6
Penn State 2-7-8.6

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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Sunday NBA Super Sharp report

LateInfo’s roll continues! Another spectacular season at 16-6 with football. Big Red with 4:25 ET NFL. Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo. Get the picks now 

🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Sacramento, Cleveland (rare public dog), Orlando (another public underdog)

🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Clippers, Sacramento 

🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers, Orlando 

🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none                                       

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