Friday’s market report, free pick, sharp MLB trends.
- Oakland 2-23 (-20.7 units) versus starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start
- Seattle 34-21 (+27.5 units) to AL starting pitcher with ERA 3.70 or better
- Paul Blackburn 6-0 (+9.8 units) team record on road
- Charlie Morton’s starts over 9-0 as favorite
Free pick from Joe Duffy:
Miami-Houston UNDER 7.5 (Lopez-Garcia)
Starter with a total less than any recent starts, again listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us because it goes under 3285-2510-255. All seven starts Luis Garcia has made this year has a total of 8 or higher. He has allowed just three runs and 10 baserunners over 13 innings in his last two starts. For the season he is a quiet 3.07 ERA and 1.024 WHIP. No wonder eight of his ten starts have gone under. Pablo Lopez has 2.32 ERA and .970 WHIP. His numbers are even better on the road. Astros have gone under 26-10 to right-handed starters this year.
Golden State-Boston (-3.5, 213.5)
214 available; opened 215.5
🏀 51% of bets but measly 13% of money on Golden State
🏀 52% bets yet just 15% of cash on OVER
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Some whales believe this makes Boston and UNDER both sharp moves
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