Week 14 NFL breakdown with betting percentages, splits, contrarian action, line moves, injures, and more.
Bowl betting myths exposed, secrets revealed. This is must-watch before betting games
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: NY Jets; Minnesota OVER
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit, Carolina; NY Giants UNDER, Denver UNDER
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Detroit +1 to -1.5, Seattle -6 to -3.5
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Carolina, Detroit; Arizona UNDER
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
NFL injuries:
- Tampa leading rusher Leonard Fournette will play
- San Francisco down to No. 3 QB Brock Purdy
- Giants star RB Saquon Barkley is questionable, described as “50-50” to play
- Brown WR Amari Cooper game time decision
- Seattle RB Kenneth Walker III is doubtful, but WR DK Metcalf is probable
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