The integration of human and artificial intelligence has given Joe Duffy’s Picks an unparalleled edge, further enhanced by the use of cutting-edge technology. This competitive advantage has enabled me to remain a full-time capper since 1988 and continuously thrive, even against multi-million-dollar corporations. Yesterday’s record was 9-3, and we’re currently 60-35 in the NFL, including a rewarding preseason. With services available at OffshoreInsiders.com, you’ll receive advanced analytics on a daily basis.
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NFL
Wise Guy
CLEVELAND +7 San Francisco 100
UPGRADED TO WISE GUY.
Fade big road favorites off three straight home games is 39-15. We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. It is out top power ratings bet as our power line has San Francisco -4.4 for a 6.9 percent edge.
Home dogs versus teams off a home win is 131-66. Underdogs versus a team with a great and hot offense is 170-111. The more disappointing offense based on delta points scored is 129-90. Based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.
CAROLINA +14 Miami 100
When our metrics indicate a home team is likely to be overconfident and/or grossly overvalued by the public, going with the road team is 39-7. This includes a perfect 4-0 getting 13 or more points. Non-divisional away underdogs on the road under specific situations that apply in this game relative to time of possession are 21-4. Non-divisional road dogs based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt are 63-32-2. Going with terrible winless teams off consecutive blowout losses is 35-14-2.
We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide.
NEW ENGLAND +3 Las Vegas 405
Teams that hit the road off horrid back-to-back offensive efforts are 26-7. Home teams off big blowout loss are 47-18-4.
NY GIANTS +14 Buffalo SNF
The Bills have the second-best margin of cover in the NFL at 3-2 ATS covering by an average of +11.2 points per game. The Giants are the second worst at 0-5 by -13.5 points per game. So the Bills must be the best, right? Nope, here comes regression towards the mean. A team in consecutive road games and off a loss is 367-261-14.
Road dog not on a massive losing streak versus opponent off a loss is 131-72-6. Going with a bad ATS team is 293-202-7. The more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 352-259-14. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total.
Major
BALTIMORE -5 Tennessee 930 AM
***Added Saturday night
This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.
WASHINGTON +2.5 Atlanta 100
Non-divisional road teams off spread blowout loss is 92-44-6.
Minnesota-Chicago UNDER 44 100
Total based on recent offensive performance relative to the posted total goes under 224-127-8. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1617-1268-64.
San Francisco-Cleveland UNDER 37 100
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1617-1268-64.
Miami-Carolina UNDER 48.5 100
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1617-1268-64.
NY Jets-Philadelphia UNDER 41 425
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1617-1268-64.
NY Giants-Buffalo UNDER 45 820
Total based on recent offensive performance relative to the posted total goes under 224-127-8.
Prop bets are counted separate from our overall record and are .20 of a Wise Guy.
Prop bets
Jonathan Mingo (Carolina) OVER 32.5 receiving yards
Jerome Ford (Cleveland) UNDER 11.5 rush attempts
Cade Otton (Tampa) UNDER 13.5 Longest reception
Calvin Ridley (Jacksonville) OVER 100 receiving yards +380 alternate lines
Raheem Mostert (Miami) TO SCORE 3 OR MORE TDs +1100
TJ Hockenson 90+ RECEIVING YARDS & 2+ TDs +3000