OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA lock Monday is on the Miami Heat (-1) to Boston.

Top expert pick on this game: The Celtics pretty much staved off elimination with that great second half in game three but can they do it again? I say no.

The last thing that I am going to do is sit here and try and bag on Doc Rivers’ squad. Boston is still extremely capable with very experienced players and a foursome as good as any. Pierce, Garnett, Allen and Rondo are super dangerous and can beat anybody anywhere. But I do believe that Wade and LeBron are going to step things up tonight and play a full 48 minutes, something they did not accomplish in that last game.

The Heat were somehow flat in that last game, I saw it as did many of you. Besides the solid second quarter they didn’t show all that much. I don’t see that happening again here in Beantown against what is still a banged up Boston squad. Pretty much all of the key cogs for the home C’s are hurting with maybe Garnett being the most healthiest and at any time that can change, as we have seen in recent seasons. Rondo still has the back issue, Allen with the chest and Pierce with you name it.

Boston is still a fairly confident bunch and should be in this thing but in the end I do believe the true cream will rise to the top and that will be King James and his mates.

Two plays today and two winners today. The numbers are still top notch for sure but after the recent skid I just don’t deserve to tout them and won’t tout them. But when I go 2-0 tonight I’ll come with them tomorrow that you can be sure of. 300,000* Oklahoma City-Memphis plus a 200,000* Chicago-Anaheim. Click now to purchase