Yankees-Orioles Who Will Cover?

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet at Camden Yards.
The Yankees will trot Mike Mussina out to the mound in this one. Righthander Mussina has a 16-7 record and a 3.35 ERA this season.
Mussina’s opponent in this one will be Radhames Liz. The Orioles righthander has a 7.47 ERA to go along with a 4-3 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 180-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Yankees were crushed 14-3 by the Blue Jays last time out, as +170 underdogs. The 17 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (8.5).
Hideki Matsui hit a three-run homer in a losing effort for the Yankees. Sidney Ponson gave up seven runs over two innings in the loss.
The Orioles scored 10 runs in the first four innings in an 11-6 win over the Red Sox to avoid a three-game sweep on Wednesday. The Orioles won that game as +115 underdogs, and the 17 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (11).
Melvin Mora belted a three-run homer and finished with four RBIs for the Orioles. Chris Waters gave up five runs over five innings in earning his second straight win.
Team records:
New York: 67-60 SU
Baltimore: 61-65 SU
New York most recently:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Baltimore are 2-8
After playing Toronto are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing NY Yankees are 7-3
After playing Boston are 4-6
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Next up:
Baltimore home to NY Yankees, Saturday, August 23

 

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