Yeah, the Notre Dame backdoor showed the bad beats didn’t magically disappear because of the calendar. But then my wife made my childhood good luck meal of pork and sauerkraut. I ate before any NBA tipped off and the kickoff of the second game (of course I had Ohio State). All 11 picks in the NBA in 2021 have been spread or totals blowouts, which means we have hit all 11. This is what happens when you work tirelessly discovering or spending big money acquiring the best computers systems that pro gamblers exploit.
Thanks to sportsbooks popping up in many states, and networks and high-profile websites hiring people who don’t know shit about gambling to make picks, tailed by Joey Bagofdonuts, the sharp versus square chasm is returning to levels I have not seen since the early 1990s. Here is every pick released by Joe Duffy’s Picks in 2021. 11 winners, zero losers, none close. OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy has substantial reason to be confident 2021 will be the most profitable in gambling history.
Saturday 5-0!
NBA
Wise Guy
Atlanta-Cleveland UNDER 233
Saturday Night NBA Total of the Year
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 821-546-38. A math total based on home/road splits goes under 279-146-12. When both apply, it goes under a crazy 68-21. In fact going back further 116-53.
NEW YORK +9 Indiana
Regression to the mean based on ats winning percentage says go with worse ats and SU team is 57-16-2 for 78.1 percent. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 821-764-36.
OKLAHOMA CITY +7.5 Orlando
Regression to the mean based on ats winning percentage says go with worse ats and SU team is 57-16-2 for 78.1 percent. One based purely on ats margin is 258-197. This is also possibly our strongest computer bet of the season so far! One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 64 percent. Our second strongest model has OKC covering 63.5.
Major
Toronto-New Orleans OVER 213
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1247-912-66.
New York-Indiana UNDER 215
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 821-546-38.
Friday 6-0!