Phillies-Mets Who Will Cover?

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet at Shea Stadium.
The Phillies will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Brett Myers in this game. Myers has a 8-10 record and a 4.40 ERA this season.
The Mets will counter Myers with Michael Pelfrey. Righthander Pelfrey has a 3.66 ERA to go along with a 13-8 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Phillies lost 9-7 to the Nationals last time out, as -155 favorites. The combined 16 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (9).
Ryan Howard belted two home runs and went 2-for-4 at the plate for the Phillies. Chad Durbin allowed four runs off five hits to suffer the loss in relief.
Ryan Church belted a grand slam home run to give the Mets a 9-2 win and a sweep of the three-game series over the Brewers on Wednesday, as +110 underdogs. The 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (9).
Nick Evans hit a pinch-hit two-run single for the Mets. Oliver Perez tossed 6 2-3 innings for the win, allowing two runs off five hits.
Current streak:
New York has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Philadelphia: 76-64 SU
New York: 79-61 SU
Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 5-5
After playing Washington are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 7-3
After playing Milwaukee are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 10 games at home
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Next up:
NY Mets home to Philadelphia, Saturday, September 6

 

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