Bill Belichick, the defensive mastermind, is having a rough time without the greatest quarterback of all time, Tom Brady. The New England Patriots have struggled to cover the spread this season, earning the title of the NFL’s worst team based on the “sweat barometer” metric. Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys, aka America’s Team, are crushing it.
Without further ado, here are the top NFL teams of 2023 in terms of covering the spread and the teams that you might want to bet against.
Top ATS teams:
| Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
| Dallas | 8-3 | 8.2 |
| Baltimore | 8-4 | 6.7 |
| San Francisco | 6-5 | 5.4 |
Take note, my sports-savvy friends! Here’s a nugget of info: The Eagles are the kings of the spread, winning 7 out of 11 games with two pushes, but only covering an average of 1.6 points per game. The Jaguars are also no slouch, winning 8 of their matches but only covering by 1.3 points per game. Keep these figures in mind when placing your bets for the 2023 NFL season!
| Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
| New England | 2-9 | -7.5 |
| Washington | 5-6 | -6.6 |
| Carolina | 1-8-2 | -5.3 |
Fun fact alert: Did you know that New Orleans is having a tough season with a 2-8 record and an average point difference of -2.1 per game? When it comes to sussing out the reliability of ATS and OU records, veteran cappers use the trusty margin of cover tool. It’s like margin of victory, but with a twist! It measures the margin compared to the point spread or OU because sometimes, those tricky bets can be a real sweat-inducing ride.