Patriots-Dolphins Preview

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins meet at Dolphin Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 1-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 42.
The Patriots were upset 34-31 in overtime by the Jets last time out, as 3-point favorites at home. The 65 points sailed OVER the posted total of 41.
Matt Cassel threw for 400 yards with three touchdowns in a losing effort.
The Dolphins defeated Oakland 17-15 as a 10-point favorite in Week 11. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).
Ted Ginn Jr. caught four passes for 51 yards and rushed for 42 yards and a touchdown on two carries for Miami, while Ronnie Brown rushed for 101 yards on 16 carries in the win.
Current streak:
Miami has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
New England: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
Miami: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 8-2

Miami most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
New England is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
New England is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New England’s last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
Next up:
New England home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, November 30
Miami at St. Louis, Sunday, November 30

 

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