NCAA Football Handicapping: Oregon vs UCLA

The Oregon Ducks and the UCLA Bruins will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Rose Bowl.
Oddsmakers currently have the Ducks listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Bruins, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.
Oregon dominated from start to finish in a 52-6 rout of Washington State in Week 5. Oregon covered the 35-point spread, and the 58 points made it OVER the posted total of 55.
Jeremiah Masoli threw for 115 yards and a TD, while rushing for another in leading the way.
Kevin Craft put up 202 yards in the air but did not convert any touchdowns for UCLA in a 24-16 loss to Stanford in Week 5.
The Bruins did not cover the 4.5-point spread, while the final score played UNDER the day’s posted total of 45.
Current streak:
Oregon has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Oregon: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS
UCLA: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS
Oregon most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

UCLA most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Oregon is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 5 games when playing UCLA
Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing UCLA
Oregon is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against UCLA
UCLA is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA’s last 5 games when playing Oregon
UCLA is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Next up:
Oregon at Washington, Saturday, October 24
UCLA home to California, Saturday, October 17
 
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