NFL Handicapping: Dolphins vs Patriots

The division rival Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots are set to renew hostilities on Sunday when they meet at Gillette Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 11-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 47.
The Dolphins defeated the Jets 30-25 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Ted Ginn Jr. ran back a pair of kickoffs for touchdowns for Miami, while Chad Henne passed for 112 yards with a touchdown in the win.
The Patriots defeated Tampa Bay 35-7 as a 15.5-point favorite in Week 7. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44.5).
Tom Brady passed for 308 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions for New England, while Wes Welker caught 10 passes for 107 yards with a touchdown in the win.
Current streak:
New England has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Miami: 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS
New England: 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS
Miami most recently:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

New England most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games on the road
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England’s last 7 games at home
New England is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Next up:
Miami home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, November 15
New England at Indianapolis, Sunday, November 15

 

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