NCAA Football Handicapping: South Florida vs Rutgers

The South Florida Bulls and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will both be gunning for a victory on Thursday when they meet at Rutgers Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Scarlet Knights listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Bulls, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.
B.J. Daniels threw three touchdown passes to lead South Florida to a 30-19 victory over West Virginia in Week 9. South Florida won the game as a 3-point underdog, while the 49 points made it OVER the posted total of 47.5.
Daniels completed 13-of-26 pass attempts for 234 yards for South Florida, while Carlton Mitchell ran for 132 yards and a TD in that win.
Tim Brown scored on an 81-yard touchdown pass with 22 seconds left to give Rutgers an improbable 28-24 win over Connecticut in Week 9.
The Knights pulled off the upset and covered the 7.5-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 44.
Current streak:
Rutgers has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
South Florida: 6-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
Rutgers: 6-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
South Florida most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Rutgers most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida’s last 5 games
South Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida’s last 7 games on the road
South Florida is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Rutgers is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Rutgers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Next up:
South Florida home to Louisville, Saturday, November 21
Rutgers at Syracuse, Saturday, November 21

 

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