Week 3 NFL Picks, Power Trends Against the Spread

Week 2 of NFL betting restored order in the universe – sort of. Plenty of favorites won but many of them didn’t cover the spread! That simply showcases how important it is to know the sports betting trends. Here are some to watch for in the early games for Week 3.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

Cowboys (0-2) vs Texans (2-0)

Can the Cowboys bounce back in this must-win game? They’re 11-2 in their last 13 against the spread when allowing 250-plus passing yards the previous game. But will the terrain be a problem? Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last six games on grass whereas the hosting Texans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five on grass.

Falcons (1-1) vs Saints (2-0)

Though the Saints are a powerhouse, they didn’t cover the spread against San Francisco last week and the betting trends point Atlanta’s way this week. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six tries against teams with winning records. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six following a straight-up victory and 1-6 ATS over their last seven against NFC South neighbours. The OVER looks solid here; it’s 4-1 over the last five meetings.

Titans (1-1) vs Giants (1-1)

Both teams show some contradictory sportsbook trends in this cross-conference matchup. The Titans have beaten the spread in the last four meetings with the Giants but are 1-4 ATS over their last five overall. The Giants are 9-4 ATS over their last 13 games after allowing 30-plus points the previous contest but 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.

Lions (0-2) vs Vikings (0-2)

Crazy to think how close the 0-2 Lions were to being 2-0, isn’t it? Still, the trends overwhelmingly favor Minnesota this week. Detroit is 2-6-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings and 1-5-1 ATS over its last seven against the NFC North whereas the Vikes are 4-1-1 ATS over their last six versus the NFC North. But bettors beware, as Lions and Vikings both look very different from their 2009 incarnations so far.

49ers (0-2) vs Chiefs (2-0)

The 49ers play better after a loss and a talking to from Mike Singletary; that’s why they beat the spread this past Monday. San Francisco is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five following a straight-up loss and may be playing for Singletary’s job this week. While the Chiefs are hot, going 4-0 ATS over their last four, the long-term trend is that they don’t always cover at home. They’re 6-16 ATS over their last 22 games at Arrowhead.