GodsTips sweeps Wise Guys Friday, Saturday, and Sunday to improve to 11-3 with all football Wise Guys led by the Browns as the AFC Game of the Year from the top sports handicapper of all-time.
Overall it was 4-1 with a Wise Guy on the 49ers, plus Major plays on the Jets and Panthers, both easy covers from the top expert on football handicapping the NFL.
Here is what the pro gamblers got.
Wise Guy…
CLEVELAND +3 Cincinnati
AFC Game of the Year
As far as one of our favorite and productive truism, predictably unpredictable, that is the Cincinnati Bengals for sure. There is no way they win two straight on the road and three straight overall.
In fact, they opened up the year against New England, so this would be a perfect spot for a letdown even for a consistent team.
Cleveland is actually pretty competitive losing all three games by a touchdown or less.
We have said time and time again, straight up won-loss stats are the most overrated facet of handicapping. Looking to the key indicators, Cleveland gets 1.3 more yards per rush offensively than the road favorites do. They average .9 more passing yards per completion.
On defense, the Bengals allow .7 more yards per rush. The only edge they have is slight in the defensive passing yards per completion.
The Browns’ O-line is playing pretty well; they’ve only surrendered three sacks this season.
Cleveland will win with the ground game. Peyton Hillis is coming off his best game of his career. He’s averaging 5.6 yards per carry for the season and the Bengals are allowing 4.5 yards per carry on defense.
The Browns likely get their first straight up win of the year. Carson Palmer is grossly overrated.
SAN FRANCISCO +7 Atlanta
Yes the 49ers are much better than they’ve shown. They are much more an underacheiver than overrated. My word, talk about a letdown—and it’s only been in recent years that we’ve fully utilized the “situation” angle. The big chalk is off a dramatic overtime win at their hated rivals, the defending Super Bowl Champs. Now they host the most undervalued team in the NFL.
Yes Atlanta is nine ahead of San Francisco in turnover margin, but this is correctable and very difficult to maintain. San Francisco has one of the best—and vastly underrated—defensive lines in the league. It is a very physical group that should be a great test for Atlanta’s nondescript o-line.
Very tough spot for Atlanta, and the perfect chance for a talented San Francisco team to put misery behind them.
Major…
Yes there was a last second loser on Pittsburgh, but everything else won early.
CAROLINA +14 -120 New Orleans
This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.
NY JETS -6 Buffalo
Buffalo is a team that’s given up 72 points the last two weeks. The Jets need to get more confidence in their upstart offense. There is plenty of motivation to run up the score.
Buffalo can’t stop the run either. The Bills are allowing 141 yards per game on the ground. That’s four yards per attempt. LaDainian Tomlinson and company may feast in this game
Jets coach Rex Ryan and his crew bring it from multiple angles almost all game. That should be effective against the Bills, who have offensive chemistry issues. But as noted above, don’t over-blitz, because they could get you deep and ignite their crowd.
The Jets are getting .7 more yards per rush and 2.7 more passing yards per completion on offense. They are allowing 1.6 fewer yards per rush on defense. It’s a big blowout coming.
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