We continue our NFL betting trend analysis with the late games and Monday nighter for Week 5. How will the Randy Moss-to-Brett-Favre connection fare in its debut?
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 10
Saints (3-1) vs Cardinals (2-2)
Despite the Super Bowl title, the New Orleans Saints don’t always blow opponents out. They’re just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games when favored. They have, however, beaten five of their last six spreads against Arizona. The Cardinals are 8-3 ATS over their last 11 against teams with winning records but still may be hard pressed to cover with rookie Max Hall drawing the his first NFL start at quarterback.
Chargers (2-2) vs Raiders (1-3)
All the major betting trends point San Diego’s way against Oakland this week. The chargers are 10-3 ATS over their last 13 against the Raiders and 7-1 ATS over their last eight trips to the Black Hole in Oakland. The OVER is 3-1-1 over the last five games in this series.
Titans (2-2) vs Cowboys (1-2)
Do the Titans reward as at the sportsbook the bigger underdogs they are? They’re 10-2 ATS over their last 12 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. The hosting Cowboys, however, are 5-1 ATS over their last six seasons in the game following their bye week.
Eagles (2-2) vs 49ers (0-4)
Philadelphia is just 1-6 ATS over its last seven games but there could be some nice value in picking them this week, as Kevin Kolb gets the starting quarterback call over injured Michael Vick. The Eagles are underdogs of around 3.5 points at most books. They’re 7-1 ATS over their last eight games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.
Vikings (1-2) vs Jets (3-1)
What’s with the Jets in Monday nighters? They’re 1-5 ATS over their last six Monday games. They’re 7-2 ATS over their last nine games overall but 3-10 ATS over their last 13 October games. The Vikings, who will have Randy Moss in the lineup, are 4-1 ATS over their last five against teams with winning records. And you know Moss will be out to impress after being held catchless in his final game as a New England Patriot last Monday.