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Saturday’s South Carolina-Florida game at the Swamp has something that no other college football matchup has this week: it’s a winner-take-all for a trip to the conference championship game. The Gators are 6.5-point favorites on Bodog’s NCAA Football Odds and there is live play-by-play betting available.
Indeed, the winner here will claim the SEC’s East Division and earn a trip to Atlanta to likely face Auburn. It’s the first winner-take-all game in the Swamp since Tennessee upset Florida in December 2001.
South Carolina has never won the East and thus obviously never reached the SEC Championship Game. Think Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier would like to stick it to his old team? However, South Carolina enters off its worst showing of the season, a 41-20 home loss to Arkansas last week. That was USC’s most lopsided loss of the year and the most points it has allowed.
Florida has followed a three-game losing streak with wins over Georgia and Vanderbilt. Last week’s 55-point outburst against the Commodores was UF’s highest-scoring game of the year. But the Gators have lost two straight at home; they haven’t had a three-game skid there since 1989.
The key Saturday probably will be South Carolina freshman RB Marcus Lattimore, the SEC’s second-leading rusher at 94 yards per outing. When Florida has lost this year, it was pummeled by the run. Alabama rushed for 170 yards on the ground in a 31-6 rout of UF on Oct. 2. The following week, LSU ran for 161 yards in a 33-29 victory. Mississippi State made it three UF losses in a row in a 10-7 win by rushing for 212 yards.
UF holds a 23-4-3 all-time edge in this series and is 4-1 against the Gamecocks under head coach Urban Meyer. The Gators are looking to sweep their SEC East slate for the third consecutive season. South Carolina is 0-12 in Gainesville. But this is the first time the Gamecocks (No. 22) have ever been ranked higher than the Gators (No. 24) when the two teams met.
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Saturday’s Oklahoma State-Texas game figured to involve one team looking to get closer to a Big 12 South title when the season started, it’s just that not many people thought it would be the Cowboys. But they control their own destiny with three games left, starting with last-place Texas. No. 12 OSU is a 6-point favorite on Bodog’s NCAA Football Odds
That the Horns are in last in the South is a complete shock after UT reached the national title game last year and was a preseason favorite to get back this year. Last week Texas was embarrassed by Kansas State 39-14 for its third straight loss. At 4-5, the Longhorns might have the worst follow-up season by a team that played for a national championship the previous season. In the BCS era, that infamy previously belonged to the 2002 Nebraska Cornhuskers, who finished 7-7 the year after winning a title. UT must win two of its final three to avoid the first losing season under Mack Brown and reach a bowl.
Horns QB Garrett Gilbert still has his starting job for now. He threw five interceptions last week in the loss to KSU – they led to 17 Wildcats points — and Brown said he was on the brink of pulling the sophomore. Texas coaches deliberated after the game and decided to stay with Gilbert for now even though he has a Big 12-high 13 picks in six conference games. No other Big 12 QB has thrown more than six. Freshman backup Case McCoy is probably one more Gilbert mistake from getting in the game.
OSU has no offensive problems, ranking third in the nation in passing and in scoring. The Cowboys have one of the best sets of triplets in the nation in QB Brandon Weeden, RB Kendall Hunter and WR Justin Blackmon.
A win Saturday would be historic for OSU. The Cowboys haven’t beaten the Longhorns on the road since 1944 and just twice in Austin overall. Since the inception of the Big 12, Oklahoma State has never gone 4-0 against the South Division’s Texas schools and OSU already has beaten the other three.
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Who would have believed the hottest team heading in Saturday’s game between Mississippi State and Alabama would have been the up-and-coming Bulldogs? Still, the Crimson Tide are 14-point favorites on Bodog’s NCAA odds.
Of course Alabama was the preseason No. 1 team and the favorite to repeat as national champ. Well, another title is out of the question after last week’s 24-21 loss at LSU. It was Alabama’s first loss to an SEC West team since 2007, ending a streak of 12 straight wins. An SEC title is still a mathematical possibility but highly unlikely. The Tide have to win this game and then the Iron Bowl against Auburn. The Tide need Auburn to lose this week to Georgia and then obviously in the Iron Bowl. And then Bama needs LSU to lose to Arkansas to basically force a three-way tie atop the West. Alabama would win that tiebreaker because while all three teams would be 1-1 against each other, both Alabama and Auburn defeated Arkansas, while LSU lost to Arkansas. That would eliminate LSU and would then revert to head-to-head between Alabama and Auburn, in which Alabama would have won the game.
Mississippi State can’t win the SEC West but is having a resurgent season at 7-2 and currently ranked 17th in the AP poll. The Tigers have won six games in a row, their longest winning streak since 1999. The Bulldogs have turned the football over just four times during the winning streak. If Mississippi State wins Saturday, it will match the fifth-longest winning streak in program history. In a bad omen, Alabama has snapped three of the Bulldogs’ five longest winning streaks at Bryant-Denny Stadium, including the longest in program history.
One of MSU’s signature wins this year came at Florida, where Coach Dan Mullen used to be offensive coordinator. The MSU offense is very similar to Florida’s when Mullen was there. The Bulldogs average 218.7 yards per game on the ground, ranking third in the SEC and 14th in the country. Over the past five weeks, the Mississippi State running game has accounted for 1,336 yards and 13 touchdowns. Through the air, the Bulldogs struggle a bit, ranking 10th in the SEC (164.6 yards per game) and 101st nationally.
The Tide lead the all-time series a whopping 72-18-3 (39-9-1 in Tuscaloosa) and have won the past two meetings.
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