The Dallas Mavericks are at the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.  The point spread is Oklahoma City (-3) with a total of 202. The best-of-seven game series is deadlocked at a game apiece.

Dallas enters with a 66-28 straight up mark, 55-37 against the spread going over 54-29. On the road they are 31-15 outright, 30-16 to the sportsbooks going over 27-19. In the postseason, they are 9-3 outright, 11-1 to the number.

Oklahoma City is 64-32 straight up and 50-43 to the number. At home they are 36-12 straight up and 24-22 spread wise. In OKC, they have exceeded the total at a 29-19 rate. In the playoffs, they are 9-5 and 7-6 respectively.

For the year Dallas makes 47.5 percent of their field goals to teams that normally allow 45.9 while allow 45.0 to teams normally getting 45.8.

The Thunder make 46.2 percent from the field to defenses that permit 45.9. They allow 45.4 to teams that usually get 46 percent.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5, 12-3 to teams with a winning record.

Oklahoma City 6-1 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or above, but 3-8 home versus an opponent with a winning road record. Road team is 18-7 in the series.

Over/under trends: Oklahoma City over 8-2 road underdogs.

Top expert pick on this game: The wunderkinds of The Canadian Crew have the biggest release by any sports betting service all postseason. It’s the 2011 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year. The Crew has never had a losing month and is well on the way to a May treasure chest.  Get the picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick winner for Friday is on the Tampa Rays (+137) to Florida.

Anibal Sanchez of late has looked like the guy who threw that no-hitter a few seasons back but with that said the number is still too high.  Florida is all in all not as good as they played over the first six or so weeks. Hanley and the boys flew out of the gate to a well above .500 record but they are just not 24-16 type good, no how no way. Certainly I like Ramirez and the upside of Mike Stanton and Logan Morrison among a few others but the fish are not an elite type squad at this point and will come back down to Earth as we have seen in these last few games.

Tampa Bay meanwhile stunk the first week of the season but has been really good since. Andy Sonnanstine isn’t great but he is good enough to hold his own as we saw a few seasons back in the World Series season when he was actually very good at times. With Evan Longoria back the Rays have been solid and Joe Maddon is once again proving to be a top-notch manager.

If Sanchez twirls another gem tonight which he has done the past few starts then so be it but both of those were against the fairly weak and banged up Nationals and today I expect the right-hander to be in some more jams against the surging Rays.

This game is once again the epitome of how to win betting baseball. It’s not an absolute lock of my life or anything of that nature. In fact after 9 innings we may lose this thing. But Tampa Bay most definitely can win this game and if this situation plays out 1,000 times we will win more than enough to make money against this too high price and that is a value, period.

Top expert pick on this game: Tampa from Matt Rivers

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The free pick Wednesday is on the Cleveland Indians (+105) White Sox.

Reasoning: I am not at all going to call this price a value because going to Chicago with this Cleveland team, no matter what the records say, is not going to be easy. Sure the Indians are playing out of their minds and definitely appear to be the far better team right now but they are still a bit of a little brother in this relationship as the White Sox have been the far superior team for a few years now. With that said though Ozzie Guillen’s boys have been sketchy for the bulk of the season and I just do not trust Jake Peavy at all anymore making me all right with Cleveland.

Justin Masterson was pitching lights out until that last start at home against Tampa. That egg erased seven straight quality starts and I’ll give the tall right-hander a mulligan for that performance and chalk it up to something that will just happen every now and then to every pitcher in the league. The guy has been striking out a ton of batters and just flat out dominating. Peavy used to fit that description but after all of the injuries and time off who the heck really knows what this guy even has anymore. I would say five or six decent innings would be about the ceiling today for the former Padre.

Grady Sizemore is on the shelf again but Santana, Hafner, Choo, Cabrera and the visitors are playing at a ridiculously high level and in a complimentary type play I’ll jump on their bus today against the “good guys”.

Top expert pick on this game: Cleveland

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Your free pick winner for Tuesday is on the Minnesota Twins (+170) at Seattle.

Reasoning: I backed Minnesota yesterday in this spot and I’m going to do the exact same thing for pretty much the exact same reason despite getting burned. No matter how bad Ron Gardenhire’s Twinkies have been to start the season and no matter how good Seattle’s starting pitcher Felix Hernandez is tonight the Mariners are still an awful ballclub that can’t be laying such a number to anybody anywhere.

Yes Hernandez is the reigning Cy Young award winner and a guy that can be as filthy as they come but his supporting offense is as weak hitting as there is in baseball and even Ichiro isn’t great anymore. Certainly these guys have the better record than their opponent as today’s visitors continue to implode without Joe Mauer but I’m truly hard pressed to believe that this Twins squad has just completely lost it. Guys like Morneau, Kubel, Young and Span are quality ballplayers including a former MVP and if we get the good Francisco Liriano could get a total steal of a price.

Liriano was not sharp in that last outing but it is somewhat excusable as he hurled that no-hitter in the previous start. The southpaw isn’t the same electric superstar before all of the injuries but he still has a world of upside and in the end I’ll certainly grab the price with the Twins and be just fine with it, win or lose.

Top expert pick on this game: Minnesota

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OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick winner for Monday is on the Minnesota Twins (+147) to Seattle.

Reasoning: Ron Gardenhire’s Twinkies have had one of the worst six or so weeks to a season that I have ever seen them have. I don’t know how Minnesota is as bad as they are, even knowing that Joe Mauer has been injured, but they are not good at all right now and it shows in the dismal record. I’m sure these guys will pick it up a bit at some point and make a run but more than likely it will be too little too late.

Meanwhile Seattle had played a little better at times than expected and didn’t appear to be as horrific as some thought they would be but then came this current six game losing skid and the M’s are currently a bad 16-23 overall and proved once again to be one of the weaker teams in all of the major leagues. Even Ichiro doesn’t seem to be the same hitting machine, base stealing threat that he used to be and the franchise as a whole just seems to be plummeting.

Michael Pineda has been really good this season and a rare bright spot. He is a guy who should once again hold his own against the struggling Twins. Pineda has literally hurled a quality start in each of his seven trips to the hill this season and may continue that trend today. But Scott Baker is not bad at all and in what I believe will be a pitcher-dominated affair I can see the visitors poke across an extra run and pull this thing out. After all the Twins still have Morneau, Cuddyer, Young and Kubel and have to be a better overall ballclub that they have been displaying, they just have to be.

This Minnesota organization has been too good to believe they are all of a sudden regressing to this point. Baker had four great starts before that rough last outing. I expect him to atone for that here against a very weak hitting opponent and in the end to get a hefty takeback like this against a bad team is a must play, period.

Top expert pick on this game: Minnesota from Matt Rivers

For more information: It’s now five of six winning days and 45 of the past 71 after the solid 3-2 Sunday which included da 300,000* Bulls by a zillion along with the 200,000* White Sox plus 150! The profit is now north of 7.5 million stars in the past few months as the Crookie is getting his clocked cleaned as per usual!

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Top sports handicapping website OffshoreInsiders.com is reporting that the Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom is the favorite on the 2011 Preakness Stakes odds at Pimlico.

Here is the latest line for the 2011 Triple Crown second leg, the Preakness Stakes.

Sat, May 21, 2011 EST

Speaking of Animal Kingdom winning the Triple Crown 2011, of course there are odds posted on that.

For winning point spread picks, Joe Duffy has his picks part of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com A long-time veteran of the sports betting industry, Duffy got his start at Dial Sports 976 Dial It service and eventually became the most decorated scorephone handicapper in history.

Your free pick for Sunday is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (-6.5) to the Memphis Grizzlies.

Reasoning: Here’s the deal with this game, Oklahoma City is winning it and I am fairly sure of that, but to lay north of half a dozen to a spunky and confident Grizzly squad is too rich to go too crazy over.

Memphis has been very game and are extremely legit. Zach Randolph is a beast that at times has been unstoppable and guys like Gasol, Mayo and Conley have stepped up in a big-time way. But this is a game seven on the road with a young team that hasn’t been in this spot and Oklahoma City is still without a doubt the better team and the team with two amazing superstars in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook who should rise up and take care of business.

The Thunder have nobody to blame but themselves for being in this decisive seventh game as they have blown huge leads on the road helping this series continue. Today though I expect Durant to play his best game of the series as the guy is just too good to be bottled up the way he has been and for the home Thunder to feed off of the raucous crowd and advance. I’m not saying this is going to be an absolute beatdown as Lionel Hollins has a very good team right now that believes they can win this game but in the end I do see a 10-12 point victory as the City has the experience from last season to go along with a ton of depth and talent which should win out in the end.

Top expert pick on this game: Oklahoma City

For more information: The 400,000* on the Red Sox plus 125 won in shutout fashion, 6-0, and the 200,000* on the Reds prevailed by a billion. It’s now four of five winning days and 44 of the last 70 in the win column to go along with the 7.4 million stars of profit. Those numbers are as gaudy as they come…until today!

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The Miami Heat are sportsbooks favorites to beat the Chicago Bulls in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Stevie Vincent is the former Executive Editor of the scorephone Tailgate Parties, which were the reports every gambler flocked to in the pre-Internet days. A pro gambler since 1993, his picks went public in 2007. He is the founder of groundbreaking forensic sports handicapping.

It’s time for MLB picks from the nation’s best MLB baseball handicappers. Starting out with the best ever, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world, it’s to go with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

LA DODGERS (BILLINGSLEY -136) Arizona (Collmeter)

By our standards this is a big chalk. But so many key metrics scream to bet on the Dodgers. They have gotten some of the ownership distractions behind them winning three straight and 4-of-5.

Arizona has lost five straight and they are 4-13 their last 17 on the road. For the year, the Diamondbacks are hitting just .230 on the road with a rancid .289 OBP. Their their last seven games overall it’s an even more embarrassing .220 BA and .282 OBP.

Arizona has a slugging percentage of just .296 in their last five games. That’s .53 points fewer than the Dodgers on base percentage in that span.

LA is 8-3 to left-handed starters. That’s a powerful split considering they are just 11-17 to righties. Speaking of splits, Chad Billingsley has a home ERA of 1.71 with a fantastic WHIP of 0.762.

Going back to last year Arizona is 27-63 in their last 90 road games against a right-handed starter. They are 17-38 versus an opponent with a losing record including 5-16 on the road.

The Dodgers are 35-17 in the series.

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Now to OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers. He has a free sports pick Saturday is on the Philadelphia Phillies (+150) to the Atlanta Braves.

There aren’t many bigger Jair Jurrjens fans out there as I really believe in the Atlanta righthander but this is just too much, flat out too much. Certainly Jurrjens is better than the mediocre Joe Blanton but I don’t care. Anything I can get Charlie Manual’s great baseball team plus such an amount I’m in. Granted I’m not dropping a bomb and saying how this is the most phenomenal play I have ever seen but Rollins, Howard, Victorino, Polanco and the potential 2011 World Champions plus this much? Yes please.

The Braves are a high quality club that will win this game more times than they won’t. But with that said I don’t think they win it at the pace that the oddsmakers seem to believe. Blanton hasn’t been great and has been banged up but the guy is a veteran who can hold his own. It’s not like Blanton is complete and utter garbage at all. The northpaw could get hit and the Fightin’ Phillies could lose the game but the price is too good to pass up in some way, shape or form.

Philadelphia is always a must play at this sweet takeback, period.

Top expert pick on this game: Philadelphia from Matt Rivers

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an MLB lock Friday is on the Baltimore Orioles (+140) to Tampa Bay.

I backed the O’s in that first series at Tropicana Field and they came through like a charm resulting in the Baltimore sweep and the 4-0 start to the season. Certainly things have changed since as Joe Maddon’s squad has really picked it up after their 0-6 skid out of the gate unlike Buck Showalter’s who have come back down to Earth with the sub .500 record but Baltimore has a quality lineup and to get a hefty takeback here against what is still a fairly mediocre Tampa squad is of value. Crawford and Pena are gone and even with Longoria back this Tampa team is nothing more than good, they’re just not.

Jeremy Guthrie doesn’t have the upside of Jeremy Hellickson but the Oriole right-hander has been around the block and was very good to begin the season including that start at the Trop. No doubt Guthrie was rocked in that last outing by these same Rays at Camden Yards but adjustments will be made and I think the veteran will be alright today back in the dome.

I definitely like Hellickson and his high upside and don’t have many negative thoughts about the right-hander. But it’s not like the guy is an elite hurler just yet and to get Buck’s batters consisting of Roberts, Markakis, Jones, Wieters, Lee and Guerrero plus such a price is too good to fully pass up.

This game is just the epitome of how to win gambling on baseball. Yes they are at home and probably have the overall superior squad. But on this day there is every way in the world that the boys from Baltimore can win the game and I’ll take my chances on what is probably the more potent lineup plus a number that is a bit overinflated.

Top expert pick on this game: Baltimore Orioles from Matt Rivers

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